The "experts" in May predicted a more active hurricane season for 2018. In August they changed it to a less active season. The same experts said Florence would make landfall as a Cat 4, possibly a Cat 5 - it was a Cat 1 (still very powerful and dangerous, but nothing like was expected). Also note that hurricane forecasts include storms that form and never make landfall, and storms that never reach hurricane force. And, those hurricane predictions include the entire Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico - not just Florida. Think of it this way: The footprint of Florida is close to that of the UK. A hurricane strike in Miami would not affect Orlando. Just as a storm in Scotland would not affect London. Orlando is listed as the 2nd safest city in Florida in terms of hurricanes, according to homeinsurance dot com studies. You are more likely to experience a tornado in Orlando, than a hurricane. The most severe tornados can happen between February and April. But, June - September is the most active tornado season for Orlando, but with weaker tornados.I’m from the UK I wouldn’t risk 3 days of my holiday by booking during hurricane season when the experts have predicted more hurricanes. I’d like to hope Americans would have the common sense too to think about the potential impact of the weather, when it costs so much to book and alter.
So, if you are really concerned about severe weather, best not to visit Orlando between February and November. If we planned vacations around severe weather seasons, we might as well stay home. Or... we can plan for the best, but buy travel insurance to protect the investment - just in case. Weather happens. Don't let fear of weather limit what you can experience.