The Spirited 11th Hour ...

BrianLo

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
BrianLo said:
Since we are on the topic of box office, a lot was made of how 2015 was going to be Disney's (Buena Vista's) year at the box office. It totally was, just no one saw Universal coming out of no where and out-topping that.

Humour me as I apparently get way too much joy staring at box office numbers.


BV last year became only the third studio ever to cross 2 billion domestically. They still had a fantastic year before Star Wars as they tied for second fastest studio to 1 billion all time. Universal of course blew through those records and managed to hit a billion dollars by June 14th. Something could be made of how BV managed it with a much smaller slate of films than either Uni/Warner have required in the past... For better or worse, the tentpole strategy is currently working with Disney in that regard.

What I'm particularly impressed by is how well position BV is again this year. Studios are a bit boom and bust from one year to the next, Universal as a point of contention will not be speeding past 2 billion again this year. BV actually looks (in part thanks to the spill-over of Star Wars) positioned to do even better this year on certain metrics.

In order to overtake the fastest studio to 1 billion record set by Universal last year, they need to achieve that by June 12th (since it's a leap year), conveniently which is a Sunday. They've already made 284 million and will surely hit 300 as a very low benchmark from the films they still have in theatre now.

They have four major releases between now and then (Zootopia, Jungle Book, Civil War [which will have had 5 weeks since release] and Alice [which will have wrapped a full 3rd week in release]. It's also nice because we have really solid comparables for all films to at least gauge a starting point for what they might make:



Even being on the extreme conservative side: Civil war performs the same as Cap 2 (ok that's really conservative), Alice sheds nearly half the audience and is more like Cinderella (probably more on the likely side), BV is going to absolutely blow that fastest studio to 1 billion record out of the water. In fact, being that conservative they should be passing 1.1 billion by June 12th.

There's an off chance if Zootopia/Jungle Book perform impressively, and Civil War is the hit we are generally expecting - that they could overtake that record a full three weeks earlier! Certainly the opening weekend numbers for Alice should do the trick if they can't quite get there.
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One final update to the above.

Currently BV is sitting around 735 million domestic.

-Zootopia has another ~15 million (probably a bit more the way it is tracking) that it will make by the end of Captain America's release weekend.
-Disney's live action remakes have consistently performed very similarly to one another. Jungle book will have made ~260 million by that weekend (if it tracks like Oz, Cinderella and Alice), ~275 if it tracks like Maleficent.

That pushes BV over 900 million domestically for Captain America.

Needless to say, that "off-chance" that I mentioned at the end of my long post is a 100% certainty. They'll beat the historical fastest studio to 1 billion dollars by 36-37 days! They'll probably be looking at 1.1 billion by the end of that weekend (May 6-8th) in all actuality.

When I see how the dust settles we can get a good look at how fast they'll make it to 2.
 
the.dreamfinder

the.dreamfinder

Well-Known Member
So it looks like Zootopia is going to outgross BvS worldwide.
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-jungle-book-scores-884596?utm_source=twitter
Disney Animation Studios' Zootopia wasn't far behind BvS in its seventh weekend. The animated hit grossed an estimated $8.2 million from 3,209 theaters to jump the $300 million mark domestically and finish Sunday with a domestic cume of $307 million and global total of $882.3 million (it has yet to open in Japan). Put another way, the animated film will out-gross Batman v. Superman.
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For context, BvS has opened in all of its territories and grossed $827 million worldwide.
 
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Cesar R M

Cesar R M

Well-Known Member
Mike S said:
That sucks. The English cast was fantastic.
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I know, there are so many movies that sound way better in the original language.
There are some very few movies where the Spanish Cast does it better than the original.
Derbez's Donkey of Shrek was a fine example.
And Omar Chaparro (Mexican Comediant and TV show host) as PO from Kung fu Panda.
 
CJR

CJR

Well-Known Member
doctornick said:
Well, it is getting one as we speak, but it would benefit from having another one and Asia would be the perfect place for a high capacity relaxing, family friendly ride.
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I agree with this completely. I hope they'll continue to invest in more indoor attractions at Animal Kingdom and a Pirates-style (aka, not the 5 minute boat ride going in the other end of the park) boat ride in Asia would be perfect.

Jungle Book would be a great fit for AK imo, but not Zootopia (and that's if Disney demands franchise driven attractions for the park, I'd rather get something completely original).
 
Mike S

Mike S

Well-Known Member
doctornick said:
Well, it is getting one as we speak, but it would benefit from having another one and Asia would be the perfect place for a high capacity relaxing, family friendly ride.
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Exactly. After seeing the movie, an action packed E Ticket isn't how to do this justice. What would the ride vehicles be anyway? A Pirates like E Ticket down the river with plenty of AA's, even King Louie, is how to do it. This should go without saying but they should avoid specific plot points from the movie except the songs.
 

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