“Cases in Florida may be starting to come down” - CNN.
To a 10,000 cases a day baseline.
Shocking at best.
In fairness, the last few days have been below 10,000. To me, "shocking" is the collective shrug that seems to be coming from Florida. I'm not defending Florida and find their approach appalling, but the numbers have been better the last few days. Death reports are definitely going to be a lagging indicator. No way to know if it's a bit of a dip before another peak or a sign of things to come.
The problem is we look at one number or another number to form a judgment (not you, "people" in general). Here in NJ, we have many good metrics (very manageable case numbers, declining hospitalizations, declining death reports, very good positivity), but the 2nd or 3rd highest rate of spread in the country. Worse than Florida, Texas, Arizona or other hotspots. We could be fine and that's a blip, or we could be about to explode.
The difference is rollbacks are likely to happen if numbers don't improve and there is a general sense of where these numbers are coming from.
The hardest part in all of this for me is that we haven't wrapped our minds around the reality we have to deal with this for another year most likely, and remain vigilant. This isn't a a storm that blows over. We're in a full scale World Calamity: World Pandemic I, if you will. "When will shows resume? When will cruising resume? When can we stop wearing masks?" Not in any predictable time frame.