The movie and the success of the rides/lands are completely separate. The existing rides in Tokyo are subpar, to put it mildly. At least one of those is coming here as a direct clone. The land itself, obviously, is immaculately themed. The DK coaster might be better than the Tokyo attractions, but it might not.
But yes, the movie will make a pile of money. I will see it day 1, but I have zero interest in SNW Orlando.
According to Universal Creative, it's not a
direct clone, at least if you're talking about the karting one.
In speaking recently to someone at an event who was involved in the Japan park addition, they've made changes and improved some elements based on what they've learned from the operation of that one, for the one set to open in Hollywood.
Admittedly it was a vague statement and I don't think it's going to be a night-and-day difference but it doesn't sound like it's going to be a Ratatouille-like situation, either.
Either way, I'd argue that the movie and success of the rides/lands are not completely separate, at all.
The current Minions attraction at Universal Studios usually has one of the longest wait times of anything in the two parks (behind Hagrads but some days, the same as Velocicoaster) It's a lameish reskin of the Jimmy Neutron ride which itself was a reskin of Hanna Barbera.
It'd be nice if that attraction were better (and of course, something original that's related is going in across the path from it) but what's there hasn't been unpopular,
at all.
The Mario land may not have an attraction on par with say, FOP but this is a case where the IP matters enough that it doesn't need to either because unlike FOP, people will move through the turnstiles for the IP, alone.