The Official Hurricane Frances thread...

speck76

Well-Known Member
Nothing is going on outside.

The winds have calmed down.

The French Toast are half gone :slurp:

Ok...EVERY channel has 24/7 hurricane coverage....the storm is doing the same thing it was doing 2 hours ago....but they have pre-empted the Michigan football game, which I wanted to watch. :cry:
 

Atta83

Well-Known Member
speck76 said:
Ok...EVERY channel has 24/7 hurricane coverage....the storm is doing the same thing it was doing 2 hours ago....but they have pre-empted the Michigan football game, which I wanted to watch. :cry:

It is getting a little old.. i mean yeah leave it to continuing coverage for the weather channel.. I mean its either hearing about the hurricance or ex. pres. clinton getting his heart fixed......o well i guess.....but i have to agree with you on this one speck.
 

speck76

Well-Known Member
Atta83 said:
It is getting a little old.. i mean yeah leave it to continuing coverage for the weather channel.. I mean its either hearing about the hurricance or ex. pres. clinton getting his heart fixed......o well i guess.....but i have to agree with you on this one speck.


Yeah....they pre-empted Leno and Conan last night so "Hardball with Chris Matthews" would spend 2+ hours talking about the ex-president's heart problem.....at 1:00 in the morning....NOBODY CARES!!!!!!!
 

Gail Hayden

New Member
Bored dog may equal good news. Animals have a sense that people don't regarding weather. I generally trust their instincts far more than I trust the weather people.
Cute dog and nice apartment complex, btw. They don't build anything that lovely here in my area of CT.
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
<TABLE><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width=472>12:45 PM EDT Sat-Sep-04 - The National Weather Service has issued a HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>02:39 PM EDT</NOBR>



Florida counties
<NOBR></NOBR>
<NOBR>Brevard</NOBR>
<NOBR></NOBR><NOBR>Indian River</NOBR>
<NOBR>Lake</NOBR>
<NOBR></NOBR><NOBR>Orange</NOBR>
<NOBR></NOBR><NOBR>Osceola</NOBR>
<NOBR></NOBR><NOBR>Seminole</NOBR>
<NOBR></NOBR><NOBR>Volusia</NOBR>

</TD><TD vAlign=top width=120></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=467 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>
These bulletins are currently in effect for your area:

Florida counties

Alachua
HURRICANE STATEMENT


Brevard
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>02:39 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Citrus
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Flagler
HURRICANE STATEMENT

Hernando
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Highlands
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Hillsborough
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Indian River
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>02:39 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Lake
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>02:39 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Levy
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Marion
HURRICANE STATEMENT

Orange
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>02:39 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Osceola
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>02:39 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Pasco
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Pinellas
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Polk
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Putnam
HURRICANE STATEMENT

Seminole
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>02:39 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

St Johns
HURRICANE STATEMENT

Sumter
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>03:00 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH

Volusia
FLOOD WARNING
HURRICANE STATEMENT until <NOBR>02:39 PM EDT</NOBR>
FLOOD WATCH


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
Hurricane Francis Atlantic Position

Image 60 Mins. Delay

2055Frances-20.gif
 

TimeTrip

Well-Known Member
Well.. the wind is picking up a bit here... there are waves on the lake that are whitecapped (which rarely happens).
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
Brevard County - Hurricane Bulletin, Flood Watch


Hurricane Bulletin:

Issued at: 12:39 PM EDT 9/4/04, expires at: 2:39 PM EDT 9/4/04

Strong outer rainbands with gusts to hurricane strength spreading over indian river st. Lucie and martin counties,
Frances getting better organized and heading toward east central florida coast,
flood warning for indian river martin, st. Lucie counties,
Hurricane warning from south of flagler beach to Florida city which includes all of the east central Florida coast,
Inland hurricane wind warning for all interior counties of east central Florida,
Flood watch is in effect through Sunday for all of east central florida,
Areas affected. this hurricane local statement recommends actions to be taken by residents of the following counties, volusia, lake, seminole, orange, brevard, osceola, indian river, saint lucie, martin and okeechobee.
Precautionary/preparedness actions. conditions are rapidly deteriorating as high winds and heavy rain move onshore in outer rainbands. Power outages and downed trees and limbs have already been reported in coastal brevard county. Wind gusts ranging from 55 to 67 mph in brevard county and 59 mph at vero beach and 87 mph at jupiter inlet this morning. Residents of brevard, eastern osceola, indian river, saint lucie, martin and okeechobee counties should stay in shelter through tonight as conditions will only get worse.
This will be a long duration wind and rain event. Do not get caught trying to do things outdoors in between rainbands, stay put in shelter. As frances makes landfall this evening people in and close to the core of maximum winds should take shelter in a small room on the lowest floor such as a closet or bathroom. Put as many walls between you and the hurricane winds as possible. Stay away from windows. Keep a battery operated noaa weather radio with you or am fm radio to receive updates and warnings. Tornado warnings will be issued if a high threat of tornadoes or destructive winds with hurricane rainbands are forecast using doppler radar.
Wind impacts. with winds of 105 mph, frances is a strong category two hurricane. It is likely that some reorganization and strengthening will take place today as frances moves slowly over the gulf stream. Frances could still make landfall as a category three storm with winds near 110 mph.
At 1155 am edt, national weather service doppler radar indicated strong winds around the large circulation center of hurricane frances located just offshore martin and saint lucie counties. These winds were associated with the inner convection of frances and will support hurricane force winds of 75 mph moving onto the coast from fort pierce to jupiter, and then overspreading inland sections. The winds will approach from the north and northeast.
Storm surge flood and storm tide impacts. storm surge models using the official track forecast indicate that frances will be making landfall during the time of high tide around midnight tonight between jupiter inlet and cape canaveral. This would produce maximum storm tides of seven or eight feet near and to the right of where the center makes landfall, most likely brevard and indian river counties. North of cape canaveral, a surge of 3 to 4 feet is likely. Battering waves of very long duration will be of great concern along the beaches. Significant wind and wave damage is likely in the intracoastal waterway.
Flood impacts. a flood warning has been issued for indian river, st lucie and martin counties through tonight. A flood watch has been issued for all east central Florida counties through Sunday.
At 1220 pm edt, weather service doppler radar indicated a large area of very heavy rain associated with hurricane frances covering indian river, saint lucie, and martin counties, and extending well over one hundred miles offshore into the atlantic.
Radar estimates between one and three inches of rain has fallen over the warning area since early this morning. Continuous rainfall rates of between one half and one inch per hour are expected over the next 6 hours, resulting in the potential for additional rainfall totals between 3 and 6 inches through early evening. Additional rainfall is forecast through tonight and Sunday, so an extended period of flooding is possible. This warning is likely to be extended.
Excessive rainfall will cause flooding of streets, intersections low lying and poor drainage areas, as well as flooding of rural roads, small creeks and streams.
Storm information. at 11 am edt the center of hurricane frances was located near latitude 26.9 north, longitude 78.8 west or about 135 miles southeast of melbourne and 95 miles east southeast of fort pierce. Frances is moving toward the west northwest near 6 mph.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph with higher gusts. This makes frances a strong category two hurricane. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible today as frances becomes a little more organized.
Watches and warnings. a hurricane warning is in effect from flagler beach south to florida city, which includes all of the east central Florida coastal counties, and also lake okeechobee. An inland hurricane wind warning is in effect for okeechobee, osceola, orange, lake inland volusia and seminole counties. A flood watch is in effect through Sunday for all of east central Florida.
Tornado impacts. isolated tornadoes are possible in some of the stronger outer rainbands and the threat will increase as the inner rainbands of frances move in later tonight.
Next update. the next hurricane local statement will be issued around 3 pm or sooner if conditions warrant.


Flood Watch:

Issued at: 6:00 PM EDT 9/3/04, expires at: 4:00 PM EDT 9/5/04

A Flood Watch is in effect for all of east central Florida through Sunday,
Significant Flooding Likely with hurricane frances,
The flood watch is in effect for volusia, Brevard, Seminole, Lake, Orange, Osceola, Indian River, Saint Lucie, Martin, and okeechobee counties.
Hurricane frances is large and slow moving with extensive rainfall in all quadrants. Hurricane frances is also much larger than Hurricane charley, Resulting In Much longer durations of rainfall, with upwards of 12 to 18 hours of rainfall occurring in some locations. These factors are all signs that significant flooding will occur as frances moves onshore Saturday then slowly northwest over the Florida peninsula. The flooding threat will begin to increase early Saturday as frances nears the coast. The flooding danger will persist through Sunday as frances slowly works northwest across the peninsula.
Widespread inland flooding is likely in areas where the heaviest Rainfall occurs. This includes low lying and poorly drained areas, but will also occur in areas not typically as susceptible to Flooding, Due To The long duration of heavy rains occurring on ground that is already nearly saturated.
The flooding impacts will also occur along lakes, Streams, And Along the st johns river in east central Florida, Where Significant rises are expected to occur over the next several days. River levels approaching record stages may occur.
Wide areas of flooding in east central Florida will also make driving very dangerous. If you cannot see the road or its line markings do not drive your vehicle through the water. The water depth may be too great to allow your car to cross safely. Only two feet of water can make most vehicles buoyant and prone to being swept away. Vehicles caught in rising water should be abandoned quickly.
Persons in east central Florida should take necessary measures to protect life and property from flooding associated with frances. Be ready to take quick action if flooding is observed or a flood warning is issued.
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
Northern Brevard County - Hurricane Bulletin, Flood Watch


Issued at: 12:39 PM EDT 9/4/04, expires at: 2:39 PM EDT 9/4/04

Hurricane Bulletin:

Strong outer rainbands with gusts to hurricane strength spreading over indian river st. Lucie and martin counties,
Frances getting better organized and heading toward east central florida coast,
flood warning for indian river martin, st. Lucie counties,
Hurricane warning from south of flagler beach to Florida city which includes all of the east central Florida coast,
Inland hurricane wind warning for all interior counties of east central Florida,
Flood watch is in effect through Sunday for all of east central florida,
Areas affected. this hurricane local statement recommends actions to be taken by residents of the following counties, volusia, lake, seminole, orange, brevard, osceola, indian river, saint lucie, martin and okeechobee.
Precautionary/preparedness actions. conditions are rapidly deteriorating as high winds and heavy rain move onshore in outer rainbands. Power outages and downed trees and limbs have already been reported in coastal brevard county. Wind gusts ranging from 55 to 67 mph in brevard county and 59 mph at vero beach and 87 mph at jupiter inlet this morning. Residents of brevard, eastern osceola, indian river, saint lucie, martin and okeechobee counties should stay in shelter through tonight as conditions will only get worse.
This will be a long duration wind and rain event. Do not get caught trying to do things outdoors in between rainbands, stay put in shelter. As frances makes landfall this evening people in and close to the core of maximum winds should take shelter in a small room on the lowest floor such as a closet or bathroom. Put as many walls between you and the hurricane winds as possible. Stay away from windows. Keep a battery operated noaa weather radio with you or am fm radio to receive updates and warnings. Tornado warnings will be issued if a high threat of tornadoes or destructive winds with hurricane rainbands are forecast using doppler radar.
Wind impacts. with winds of 105 mph, frances is a strong category two hurricane. It is likely that some reorganization and strengthening will take place today as frances moves slowly over the gulf stream. Frances could still make landfall as a category three storm with winds near 110 mph.
At 1155 am edt, national weather service doppler radar indicated strong winds around the large circulation center of hurricane frances located just offshore martin and saint lucie counties. These winds were associated with the inner convection of frances and will support hurricane force winds of 75 mph moving onto the coast from fort pierce to jupiter, and then overspreading inland sections. The winds will approach from the north and northeast.
Storm surge flood and storm tide impacts. storm surge models using the official track forecast indicate that frances will be making landfall during the time of high tide around midnight tonight between jupiter inlet and cape canaveral. This would produce maximum storm tides of seven or eight feet near and to the right of where the center makes landfall, most likely brevard and indian river counties. North of cape canaveral, a surge of 3 to 4 feet is likely. Battering waves of very long duration will be of great concern along the beaches. Significant wind and wave damage is likely in the intracoastal waterway.
Flood impacts. a flood warning has been issued for indian river, st lucie and martin counties through tonight. A flood watch has been issued for all east central Florida counties through Sunday.
At 1220 pm edt, weather service doppler radar indicated a large area of very heavy rain associated with hurricane frances covering indian river, saint lucie, and martin counties, and extending well over one hundred miles offshore into the atlantic.
Radar estimates between one and three inches of rain has fallen over the warning area since early this morning. Continuous rainfall rates of between one half and one inch per hour are expected over the next 6 hours, resulting in the potential for additional rainfall totals between 3 and 6 inches through early evening. Additional rainfall is forecast through tonight and Sunday, so an extended period of flooding is possible. This warning is likely to be extended.
Excessive rainfall will cause flooding of streets, intersections low lying and poor drainage areas, as well as flooding of rural roads, small creeks and streams.
Storm information. at 11 am edt the center of hurricane frances was located near latitude 26.9 north, longitude 78.8 west or about 135 miles southeast of melbourne and 95 miles east southeast of fort pierce. Frances is moving toward the west northwest near 6 mph.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph with higher gusts. This makes frances a strong category two hurricane. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible today as frances becomes a little more organized.
Watches and warnings. a hurricane warning is in effect from flagler beach south to florida city, which includes all of the east central Florida coastal counties, and also lake okeechobee. An inland hurricane wind warning is in effect for okeechobee, osceola, orange, lake inland volusia and seminole counties. A flood watch is in effect through Sunday for all of east central Florida.
Tornado impacts. isolated tornadoes are possible in some of the stronger outer rainbands and the threat will increase as the inner rainbands of frances move in later tonight.
Next update. the next hurricane local statement will be issued around 3 pm or sooner if conditions warrant.


Flood Watch:

Issued at: 6:00 PM EDT 9/3/04, expires at: 4:00 PM EDT 9/5/04

A Flood Watch is in effect for all of east central Florida through Sunday,
Significant Flooding Likely with hurricane frances,
The flood watch is in effect for volusia, Brevard, Seminole, Lake, Orange, Osceola, Indian River, Saint Lucie, Martin, and okeechobee counties.
Hurricane frances is large and slow moving with extensive rainfall in all quadrants. Hurricane frances is also much larger than Hurricane charley, Resulting In Much longer durations of rainfall, with upwards of 12 to 18 hours of rainfall occurring in some locations. These factors are all signs that significant flooding will occur as frances moves onshore Saturday then slowly northwest over the Florida peninsula. The flooding threat will begin to increase early Saturday as frances nears the coast. The flooding danger will persist through Sunday as frances slowly works northwest across the peninsula.
Widespread inland flooding is likely in areas where the heaviest Rainfall occurs. This includes low lying and poorly drained areas, but will also occur in areas not typically as susceptible to Flooding, Due To The long duration of heavy rains occurring on ground that is already nearly saturated.
The flooding impacts will also occur along lakes, Streams, And Along the st johns river in east central Florida, Where Significant rises are expected to occur over the next several days. River levels approaching record stages may occur.
Wide areas of flooding in east central Florida will also make driving very dangerous. If you cannot see the road or its line markings do not drive your vehicle through the water. The water depth may be too great to allow your car to cross safely. Only two feet of water can make most vehicles buoyant and prone to being swept away. Vehicles caught in rising water should be abandoned quickly.
Persons in east central Florida should take necessary measures to protect life and property from flooding associated with frances. Be ready to take quick action if flooding is observed or a flood warning is issued.
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
Citrus County - Flood Watch, Hurricane Bulletin


Flood Watch:

Issued at: 12:22 PM EDT 9/4/04, expires at: 6:00 PM EDT 9/4/04

The Flood Watch remains in effect until 1000 pm edt Sunday Evening. The watch continues for the following counties,
Charlotte, Citrus, De Soto, Hardee, Hernando, Highlands, Hillsborough, Lee, Levy, Manatee, Pasco, Pinellas, Polk, sarasota and sumter.
Some cities in the watch include,
Arcadia, Bartow, Bradenton, Brandon, Brooksville, Cape Coral, Chiefland, Clearwater, Clearwater Beach, Fort Myers, Inverness, Lakeland, New Port Richey, Port Charlotte, Punta Gorda, Sarasota, Sebring, Spring Hill, Tampa, Venice, Winter Haven And zephyrhills.
Hurricane frances is forecast to move onshore the east coast of florida later today and then move in a northwest direction across south and central Florida tonight and Sunday.
The slow movement of frances will prolong heavy rainfall with total amounts of 8 to 12 inches north and east of the track of frances and 4 to 8 inches south and west of the track.
These rainfall amounts are enough to cause moderate to major flooding across a large area.
A flood watch means flooding is possible during the next 24 to 36 hours. Residents living in flood prone areas should take action to protect property.
Residents, Particularly Those In flood prone areas, As Well As Those living near small streams and creeks, Should Be Prepared to move to higher ground.
Stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for updates and possible warnings.


Hurricane Bulletin:

Issued at: 11:28 AM EDT 9/4/04, expires at: 3:00 PM EDT 9/4/04

Hurricane frances slowly approaching Florida''s east coast. a tropical storm warning is in effect from bonita beach north to anna maria island, a tropical storm watch is in effect from anna maria island to the suwannee river, flood watch for all counties in west central and southwest florida, inland hurricane wind warning for sumter polk, highlands and hardee counties,
This statement is for people in the following counties. citrus, charlotte, desoto, hernando, hillsborough, lee, levy, manatee, pasco, pinellas, sarasota, hardee, highlands, polk, sumter,
Watch/warning information. a tropical storm warning is now in effect from bonita beach north to anna maria island. A tropical storm watch is in effect from anna maria island north to the suwannee river.
Storm location. at 11 am edt, the center of hurricane frances was located by radar and surface observations near latitude 26.9 north, longitude 78.8 west or about 240 miles east-southeast of the tampa bay region. This position is also about 80 miles east of palm beach florida. Frances has been drifting between the west and west northwest during the past few hours, but is expected to resume a west northwest track near 5 mph.
Current radar information. the outer band from hurricane frances was over central Florida from orlando to fort myers. Showers with a few thunderstorms were within the band which is producing locally heavy rainfall and wind gust of 35 to 45 mph. The showers were moving southwest at 40 mph, the band was moving west at 5 mph.
Wind information. frances will move slowly across inland counties Sunday producing near hurricane force winds that will weaken as the storm continues west northwest across the Florida peninsula. Tropical storm force winds of 35 to 50 mph, with locally higher gusts, can be expected over west central and southwest Florida tonight and Sunday. The strongest winds will be located near the center of frances as it tracks across the region.
Surge information. as frances moves northwestward Sunday, winds will become onshore and begin to raise water levels 2 to 4 feet above normal.
Flood information. the slow movement of frances will prolong heavy rainfall over the state with rainfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches north and east of the center of frances and 4 to 8 inches on the south and west sides of frances. Locally higher amounts will likely occur. Moderate to major flooding may develop over much of west central Florida late tonight and Sunday, with most rivers and streams rising out of their banks. Residents living along streams, creeks, and rivers across the region should be prepared for significant flooding and take actions to protect property.
Marine information. as frances nears the west coast of Florida winds and seas will increase over the gulf making conditions hazardous Saturday and sunday.
Tornado information. the primary area for tornado development in tropical systems is the right front quadrant of the storm. As frances moves northwestward over the peninsula, that part of the storm will affect Florida''s east coast. There will be an increased threat for tornadic activity late tonight and tomorrow when west central and southwest Florida is on the east side of the storm.
Shelter and road status. please contact your local county emergency management for shelter and road status.
The next hurricane local statement will be issued at 3 pm.
 

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