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The Official Hurricane Frances thread...
- Thread starter GoCamels
- Start date
Tim G
Well-Known Member
Officials Fear 'Massive Flooding' From Frances
Rain Biggest Danger From Slow-Moving Storm
UPDATED: 9:59 AM EDT September 4, 2004
MELBOURNE, Fla. -- Winds from Hurricane Frances littered the streets of eastern Florida with tree branches, palm leaves and other debris on Saturday as the massive, slow-moving storm steamed toward the United States
An evacuation order now covers 2.8 million people, the largest in Florida history. Some 55,000 people are crowding into emergency shelters, while others are headed inland or out of the state.
As of 9:30 a.m. ET, the eye of the category 2 storm remained a little more than 100 miles offshore. Forecasters said they expect it to make landfall late Saturday or early Sunday, then move slowly across the state.
Frances' slow pace could cause massive flooding throughout Florida, including areas hit three weeks ago by Hurricane Charley, forecasters said. Most hurricane deaths come from flooding, officials said
If there is flooding, evacuees are being warned that it could be some time before they are allowed back home.
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush declared a state of emergency for the entire state.
"Tropical force winds, and inches and inches of rainfall, are going to impact the places that have already been devastated by Hurricane Charley," Bush said during a Saturday news conference.
At least 40,000 residents were without electricity Saturday morning as a result of the storm.
Bush said state and federal officials were mobilizing to respond to the disaster.
"One this storm has passed, there are all sort of assets that will be on the ground in the impacted areas," he said.
Mike Brown, the director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said residents should not take Frances lightly, even though it has been downgraded to a category 2 hurricane.
Frances packs 105 mph winds that are spread out more than 105 miles from the center of the hurricane, Brown said.
"It is a massive storm," he said. "Unlike Charley, this storm has an awful lot of moisture with it. ...This could be a very significant flooding event."
FEMA has four urban search and rescue teams ready to respond to the hurricane if needed, he said. In addition, Bush said the state is ready to handle post-hurricane aid, including distributing up to 1 million meals per day.
The Red Cross said they already have more than 15,000 cleanup kits ready to distribute to people whose homes have been flooded.
More kits are on the way, the organization said.
In Florida, a hurricane warning remains in effect for the east coast of Florida from Florida City northward to Flagler Beach, including Lake Okeechobee. A hurricane warning also remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas.
A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remain in effect from north of Flagler Beach to Fernandina Beach, while a tropical storm warning remains in effect on the southern Florida peninsula from Englewood to south of Florida City, and for the middle and upper Keys from south of Florida City to the Seven Mile Bridge, and for Florida Bay.
Frances is moving between the west-northwest and northwest near 6 mph. A turn more to the west-northwest is expected later in the day.
Storm total rainfall amounts could reach 20 inches in the northwest Bahamas. Rainfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches, with locally higher amounts, are expected over the Florida peninsula in association with Frances.
Swells generated by Frances are affecting portions of the southeastern coast of the United States. These swells could cause dangerous surf and rip currents.
Rain Biggest Danger From Slow-Moving Storm
UPDATED: 9:59 AM EDT September 4, 2004
MELBOURNE, Fla. -- Winds from Hurricane Frances littered the streets of eastern Florida with tree branches, palm leaves and other debris on Saturday as the massive, slow-moving storm steamed toward the United States
An evacuation order now covers 2.8 million people, the largest in Florida history. Some 55,000 people are crowding into emergency shelters, while others are headed inland or out of the state.
As of 9:30 a.m. ET, the eye of the category 2 storm remained a little more than 100 miles offshore. Forecasters said they expect it to make landfall late Saturday or early Sunday, then move slowly across the state.
Frances' slow pace could cause massive flooding throughout Florida, including areas hit three weeks ago by Hurricane Charley, forecasters said. Most hurricane deaths come from flooding, officials said
If there is flooding, evacuees are being warned that it could be some time before they are allowed back home.
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush declared a state of emergency for the entire state.
"Tropical force winds, and inches and inches of rainfall, are going to impact the places that have already been devastated by Hurricane Charley," Bush said during a Saturday news conference.
At least 40,000 residents were without electricity Saturday morning as a result of the storm.
Bush said state and federal officials were mobilizing to respond to the disaster.
"One this storm has passed, there are all sort of assets that will be on the ground in the impacted areas," he said.
Mike Brown, the director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said residents should not take Frances lightly, even though it has been downgraded to a category 2 hurricane.
Frances packs 105 mph winds that are spread out more than 105 miles from the center of the hurricane, Brown said.
"It is a massive storm," he said. "Unlike Charley, this storm has an awful lot of moisture with it. ...This could be a very significant flooding event."
FEMA has four urban search and rescue teams ready to respond to the hurricane if needed, he said. In addition, Bush said the state is ready to handle post-hurricane aid, including distributing up to 1 million meals per day.
The Red Cross said they already have more than 15,000 cleanup kits ready to distribute to people whose homes have been flooded.
More kits are on the way, the organization said.
In Florida, a hurricane warning remains in effect for the east coast of Florida from Florida City northward to Flagler Beach, including Lake Okeechobee. A hurricane warning also remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas.
A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remain in effect from north of Flagler Beach to Fernandina Beach, while a tropical storm warning remains in effect on the southern Florida peninsula from Englewood to south of Florida City, and for the middle and upper Keys from south of Florida City to the Seven Mile Bridge, and for Florida Bay.
Frances is moving between the west-northwest and northwest near 6 mph. A turn more to the west-northwest is expected later in the day.
Storm total rainfall amounts could reach 20 inches in the northwest Bahamas. Rainfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches, with locally higher amounts, are expected over the Florida peninsula in association with Frances.
Swells generated by Frances are affecting portions of the southeastern coast of the United States. These swells could cause dangerous surf and rip currents.
Tim G
Well-Known Member
Frances Drifts West-Northwest, Packs 105 MPH Winds
Hurricane Warning Issued For Central Florida
UPDATED: 10:54 am EDT September 4, 2004
Hurricane Frances is slowing down again, but there are signs Friday the storm may be strengthening.
A hurricane warning is in effect from Florida City northward to Flagler Beach including Lake Okeechobee.
At 11 a.m., Frances was about 110 miles east of West Palm Beach centered at latitude 26.9 north, longitude 78.8 west.
Forecasters said the storm has developed a large eye about 70 miles wide, and satellite imagery suggests a more organized cloud pattern, as well.
Top winds of 105 mph may bring up to 20 inches of rain and heavy flooding. Hurricane-force winds are about 105 miles wide. The Labor Day weekend plans of millions of residents and tourists have been interrupted by evacuations.
Residents along the coastline in southern Brevard County are already experiencing sustained winds approaching tropical-storm force. Police also made their first looting arrest. Officials said they arrested two men dressed in camouflage who were trying to break into a local church.
Officials at Florida Power and Light said about 40,000 customers are already without power. They are primarily in Broward, Miami-Dade, Palm Beach and Martin counties. That's where the outer bands of intermittent rain and squalls have breezed by.
Government offices have shut down in 30 counties.
Officials are asking residents to make final preparations for Hurricane Frances now as conditions are expected to deteriorate across Central Florida through the afternoon.
Hurricane Warning Issued For Central Florida
UPDATED: 10:54 am EDT September 4, 2004
Hurricane Frances is slowing down again, but there are signs Friday the storm may be strengthening.
A hurricane warning is in effect from Florida City northward to Flagler Beach including Lake Okeechobee.
At 11 a.m., Frances was about 110 miles east of West Palm Beach centered at latitude 26.9 north, longitude 78.8 west.
Forecasters said the storm has developed a large eye about 70 miles wide, and satellite imagery suggests a more organized cloud pattern, as well.
Top winds of 105 mph may bring up to 20 inches of rain and heavy flooding. Hurricane-force winds are about 105 miles wide. The Labor Day weekend plans of millions of residents and tourists have been interrupted by evacuations.
Residents along the coastline in southern Brevard County are already experiencing sustained winds approaching tropical-storm force. Police also made their first looting arrest. Officials said they arrested two men dressed in camouflage who were trying to break into a local church.
Officials at Florida Power and Light said about 40,000 customers are already without power. They are primarily in Broward, Miami-Dade, Palm Beach and Martin counties. That's where the outer bands of intermittent rain and squalls have breezed by.
Government offices have shut down in 30 counties.
Officials are asking residents to make final preparations for Hurricane Frances now as conditions are expected to deteriorate across Central Florida through the afternoon.
HorizonsMan
New Member
good luck and godspeed
![Dean[AU]](https://d3ofq03apmfb8c.cloudfront.net/data/avatars/m/8/8019.jpg?1339212325){kind=avatar}
Dean[AU]
New Member
http://www.hurricanecity.com/live.ram
Its moving so slowly, the eye will last around 10 hours. Good luck guys.
Its moving so slowly, the eye will last around 10 hours. Good luck guys.
Tim G
Well-Known Member
Hurricane Frances Advisory Number 43
Issued at: 11:00 AM EDT 9/4/04
Frances heading for Florida, weather expected to worsen,
A hurricane warning remains in effect for the east coast of Florida from Florida city northward to flagler beach, including lake okeechobee. A hurricane warning also remains in effect for the northwestern bahamas. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
At 11 am edt, 1500z, the tropical storm warning is extended northward along the georgia coast to altamaha sound. A tropical storm warning is now in effect from north of flagler beach to altamaha sound.
A hurricane watch remain in effect from north of flagler beach to fernandina beach.
At 11 am edt, 1500z, the tropical storm warning is extended northward along the Florida west coast to anna maria island. A tropical storm warning is now in effect for the Florida peninsula on the west coast, from anna maria island around the southern end of the pennisula to just south of Florida city on the southeast coast, and for the middle and upper keys from south of Florida city to the seven mile bridge, and for Florida bay.
At 11 am edt, 1500z, the tropical storm watch has been extended northward along the the Florida west coast to st. Marks. A tropical storm watch is now in effect for the Florida west coast to just north of anna maria island to st. Marks.
At 11 am edt, 1500z, the center of hurricane frances was located by radar and reconnaissance near latitude 26.9 north, longitude 78.8 west or about 80 miles, 130 km, east of palm beach Florida.
Frances has been drifting between the west and west-northwest during the past few hours but is expected to resume a west-northwest track near 5 mph, 7 km/hr today. On the forecast track, the large eye of hurricane frances will be very near the Florida east coast by late tonight or early Sunday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph, 165 km/hr, with higher gusts, stronger winds, especially in gusts, are possible on high rise buildings. Some strengthening is possible before landfall
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles, 165 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles, 295 km. Strong winds are already affecting the east coast of Florida and will be spreading inland, where warnings for hurricane force winds has been issued. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local weather office. A wind gust of 91 mph was reported at jupiter inlet at 9 am edt and a wind gust of 70 mph was reported at boynton beach at 1020 am edt.
Minimum central pressure reported by a reconnaissance plane was 961 mb, 28.38 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels can be expected on the west side of islands of the northern bahamas.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, is expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in Florida. Storm surge flooding of 5 feet above normal levels is expected in lake okeechobee. Along the southwest Florida coast, storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels is expected south of the path of frances.
Storm total rainfall amounts could reach 20 inches in the northwest bahamas. Rainfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches, with locally higher amounts, are expected over the Florida peninsula in association with frances.
Isolated tornadoes are possible over central Florida today.
Swells generated by frances are affecting portions of the southeastern coast of the united states. These swells could cause dangerous surf and rip currents.
Repeating the 11 am edt position, 26.9 n, 78.8 w. Movement toward, west-northwest near 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 105 mph. Minimum central pressure, 961 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 2 pm edt followed by the next complete advisory at 5 pm edt.
Issued at: 11:00 AM EDT 9/4/04
Frances heading for Florida, weather expected to worsen,
A hurricane warning remains in effect for the east coast of Florida from Florida city northward to flagler beach, including lake okeechobee. A hurricane warning also remains in effect for the northwestern bahamas. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
At 11 am edt, 1500z, the tropical storm warning is extended northward along the georgia coast to altamaha sound. A tropical storm warning is now in effect from north of flagler beach to altamaha sound.
A hurricane watch remain in effect from north of flagler beach to fernandina beach.
At 11 am edt, 1500z, the tropical storm warning is extended northward along the Florida west coast to anna maria island. A tropical storm warning is now in effect for the Florida peninsula on the west coast, from anna maria island around the southern end of the pennisula to just south of Florida city on the southeast coast, and for the middle and upper keys from south of Florida city to the seven mile bridge, and for Florida bay.
At 11 am edt, 1500z, the tropical storm watch has been extended northward along the the Florida west coast to st. Marks. A tropical storm watch is now in effect for the Florida west coast to just north of anna maria island to st. Marks.
At 11 am edt, 1500z, the center of hurricane frances was located by radar and reconnaissance near latitude 26.9 north, longitude 78.8 west or about 80 miles, 130 km, east of palm beach Florida.
Frances has been drifting between the west and west-northwest during the past few hours but is expected to resume a west-northwest track near 5 mph, 7 km/hr today. On the forecast track, the large eye of hurricane frances will be very near the Florida east coast by late tonight or early Sunday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph, 165 km/hr, with higher gusts, stronger winds, especially in gusts, are possible on high rise buildings. Some strengthening is possible before landfall
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles, 165 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles, 295 km. Strong winds are already affecting the east coast of Florida and will be spreading inland, where warnings for hurricane force winds has been issued. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local weather office. A wind gust of 91 mph was reported at jupiter inlet at 9 am edt and a wind gust of 70 mph was reported at boynton beach at 1020 am edt.
Minimum central pressure reported by a reconnaissance plane was 961 mb, 28.38 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels can be expected on the west side of islands of the northern bahamas.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, is expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in Florida. Storm surge flooding of 5 feet above normal levels is expected in lake okeechobee. Along the southwest Florida coast, storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels is expected south of the path of frances.
Storm total rainfall amounts could reach 20 inches in the northwest bahamas. Rainfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches, with locally higher amounts, are expected over the Florida peninsula in association with frances.
Isolated tornadoes are possible over central Florida today.
Swells generated by frances are affecting portions of the southeastern coast of the united states. These swells could cause dangerous surf and rip currents.
Repeating the 11 am edt position, 26.9 n, 78.8 w. Movement toward, west-northwest near 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 105 mph. Minimum central pressure, 961 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 2 pm edt followed by the next complete advisory at 5 pm edt.
Mary Poppins
Member
speck76 said:
I agree. It is a stressful time, but there's no need to feel as if the world is ending. Stay smart, listen to the forecasters and wait it out. I'm just frustrated that I'm going to have to stay in my house all of tonight and tomorrow. Be safe.
Tim G
Well-Known Member
Hurricane Frances Update
(South-East Florida Doppler Radar)
<TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="98%" border=1><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#ff0000><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=large>STORM STATUS</TD><TD class=small align=right>September 4, 11:00 AM EDT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#cccccc><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="95%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2>Name: Hurricane Frances</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small vAlign=top>Location: About 80 miles, 130 km, East of Palm Beach Florida.
Lat/Long: 26.9N, 78.8W
Max Winds: 105 mph
Category: 2
</TD><TD class=small vAlign=top noWrap>Heading: West-Northwest
Speed: 5 mph
Pressure: 28.38 inches
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
(South-East Florida Doppler Radar)
<TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="98%" border=1><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#ff0000><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=large>STORM STATUS</TD><TD class=small align=right>September 4, 11:00 AM EDT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#cccccc><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="95%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2>Name: Hurricane Frances</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small vAlign=top>Location: About 80 miles, 130 km, East of Palm Beach Florida.
Lat/Long: 26.9N, 78.8W
Max Winds: 105 mph
Category: 2
</TD><TD class=small vAlign=top noWrap>Heading: West-Northwest
Speed: 5 mph
Pressure: 28.38 inches
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Mary Poppins
Member
speck76 said:
Hehe. My cat knows something's up. She's acting very skittish and periodically stops to sniff the air. Not to mention she won't leave my side.
HorizonsMan
New Member
my cat is doing the same except she keeps looking outside as wellMary Poppins said:
HorizonsMan
New Member
here comes the rain do do do do , here comes the rain, and i said, its alright do do do do do do do do do doo dooo, its alright