WDW Reopening Estimates

[Sirwalterraleigh]

Fair criticism, as new information arises, the timeline can be adjusted. The world can never go back to "normal" after this. The Unions will definitely have a say in this to ensure that CM's get back to work asap. That is about 43k+ employees.

A significant number of them will get shaved...

Maybe not immediately upon opening up...but once the wheels start turning and they can reload their free labor college program...jobs will be lost.

 

[deeevo]

I really don't know what to answer now, knowing that the US already has half a million cases more than any other country.

We also have a larger population than every other country in world other than China and India. By far...

 

[jpeden]

I really don't know what to answer now, knowing that the US already has half a million cases more than any other country.

The US has more confirmed cases than any other country. If anyone thinks that China was accurate with less than 90,000 cases, that person is being woefully ignorant.

 

[Calmdownnow]

What? That is the "test" part. We know who is symptomatic. You trace their contacts (friends, places they've been, etc) and test them. In doing so you'll find asymptomatic people.

There is next to no contact tracing going on anywhere other than Washington State and parts of California. In the rest of the country, you are only able to get testing if you present with severe symptoms.

 

[Calmdownnow]

probably by a 50-60 percent at least.

Or 15-20% at least? Who knows?

 

[Giss Neric]

We also have a larger population than every other country in world other than China and India. By far...

Then I assume China is lying about their numbers or they're doing something good cause it's starting to go back to normal there.

 

[jpeden]

Then I assume China is lying about their numbers or they're doing something good cause it's starting to go back to normal there.

China absolutely lied about their initial numbers. It is statistically impossible for them to have the population they have and only have less than 90,000 cases.

 

[wdwfan22]

Then I assume China is lying about their numbers or they're doing something good cause it's starting to go back to normal there.

China has lied about the numbers and where the virus originated from.

 

[UNCgolf]

China absolutely lied about their initial numbers. It is statistically impossible for them to have the population they have and only have less than 90,000 cases.

No it isn't.

It's definitely possible they had more cases, but it's certainly not statistically impossible that they didn't have more. The Hubei province has roughly the same population as Italy, and it was shut down with stricter measures more quickly than Italy.

It's not like the whole population of China lives in one small area. It's almost the same size as the United States.

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

There is next to no contact tracing going on anywhere other than Washington State and parts of California. In the rest of the country, you are only able to get testing if you present with severe symptoms.

And that is why the reopening of Disney parks is going to take a lot longer than people think until people get serious about how to live with this threat moving forward. Need a national/international approach ASAP. Just delaying the inevitable.

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

Thankfully Disneyworld is not in NYC or in terms of population density or cleanliness.

So then we’re not talking about 25-50,000 people per day?
...bottlenecked to enter, bottlenecked to leave, queued up at every stop during the day?

...I must be thinking of the wrong place

 

[UNCgolf]

So then we’re not talking about 25-50,000 people per day?
...bottlenecked to enter, bottlenecked to leave, queued up at every stop during the day?

...I must be thinking of the wrong place

The "population density" (in quotes since obviously no one actually lives there) of the Magic Kingdom would dwarf NYC's. The Magic Kingdom averages around 55,000 guests a day and has a footprint of roughly 0.22 square miles (everything I can find says the Magic Kingdom sits on 142 acres of land).

Of course the number of guests varies daily, and not all of them are in the park at once since people come and go. But even if you said there were only 25,000 people in the park at any given time (which is almost certainly too low), that would still be a "population density" of roughly 113,636 people per square mile. The estimated population density of Manhattan is only 70,826 per square mile.

 

[SourcererMark79]

Unfortunately I see reopening correlating to political influence/pressures. While on a national level, some restrictions get lifted, and possibly even more on a state level, the individual corporations will make decisions and operate within what they believe is in the best interests of staff and customers/guests. That may differ from what government officials deem as appropriate.
A poor decision by a corporation to lift restrictions which causes another massive infection will be scrutinized on every level, even if government officials said it is OK to do so.

 

[Parker in NYC]

Anyone voting a June reopening want to rethink that? I won't touch May because... well, I needed a good laugh.

 

[networkpro]

So then we’re not talking about 25-50,000 people per day?
...bottlenecked to enter, bottlenecked to leave, queued up at every stop during the day?

...I must be thinking of the wrong place

You're assuming ceteris paribas , people left up to their own devices, methodologies, and standards.

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

You're assuming ceteris paribas , people left up to their own devices, methodologies, and standards.

I am...because where do people run amok on their own more than in Disney parks?

...exspectatione humilis

 

[European1992]

June? I know most of us want that, but lets not be delusional. DisneyWorld will stay closed much longer unfortunately.

 

[Josh Hendy]

I am...because where do people run amok on their own more than in Disney parks?

...exspectatione humilis

Gesundheit

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

Gesundheit

Apud Latinae....

Nicht Auf Deutsch

 

[themarchhare]

Unfortunately I see reopening correlating to political influence/pressures. While on a national level, some restrictions get lifted, and possibly even more on a state level, the individual corporations will make decisions and operate within what they believe is in the best interests of staff and customers/guests. That may differ from what government officials deem as appropriate.
A poor decision by a corporation to lift restrictions which causes another massive infection will be scrutinized on every level, even if government officials said it is OK to do so.

They're gonna see a big push from federal AND state, yeah.