So FastPass is a virtual queuing system. Fast Pass doesn't increase the overall wait for an attraction, it increases the wait for Stand By lines which is offset by a virtual queue that has a 5-10 minute wait on arrival.
I don't like how Fast Pass has changed the WDW experience, but to say it has made rides less available or increased the overall daily wait time is mathematically impossible.
I believe if they adjusted the Fast Pass distro quantities by hour for rides like Soarin and TSMM the stand-by lines would be bearable.
I think I agree with what you are saying. But, the perceived wait also depends on when the guest is looking to ride the ride.
FastPass doesn't increase the
average wait times for the attraction when calculated using FP and Standby wait times when those guests are in the actual queue (10 min FP and 50 min Standby = 30 min average wait time).
However, if you figure in the virtual wait time for an attraction, say I get a Soarin' FastPass at 2 PM for a 7 PM return time, and I figure that additional 5 hour virtual wait time into the average...it increases, at least for that given moment in time. Obviously, at 9 AM when the Soarin' FP return is for 9:30, and the Standby line is 20 minutes, the average is much lower than at 2 PM when the FP return is 7 PM, the FP queue is 10 minutes, and the Standby queue is 2 hours long.
We all agree that FP does increase the Standby wait times. Therefore, once FP distribution is complete for a given ride, anyone wanting to ride will have a much longer wait than they would have had in a world with no FP available at all. THAT is, I believe, what we don't like.
I've not waited in the Standby line for Soarin' at EPCOT since 2009. If I don't get to The Land in time to get a FP, I don't ride the ride. Same for TestTrack. If we don't get FP, we simply skip the attraction. I think that is too bad, but I'm not willing to waste 1 to 2 hours in a queue for a ride. We've never ridden TSMM at DHS because we never get to DHS in time to get a FP.
FastPass doesn't increase the daily capacity for a ride. If you assume each guest arrives at the park at the same time, and has equal access to FP and Standby, then mathematically it hasn't made the rides less available. But, if you assume staggered guest arrival to the park, which is what happens in reality, then guests arriving to the park late have less access to the attractions as the time FP is available while the individual is in the park is less than other guests who arrived earlier in the day.
Hopefully I'm not mistaken, or confusing. I now have the urge to sit outside the Soarin' queue area with my laptop and a spreadsheet, recording the StandBy, FastPass Return, and FP Queue time in 5 minute intervals to show how the average changes through the day and how the sliding average compares to the eventual daily average.