This popped up too. I put it here, because of the "no one was talking $3 Billion." I don't know Nomura. Perhaps they are the ones no one listens to? Ah, I see they are out of Japan.
http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2015...on-star-wars-while-btig-says-to-fadetheforce/
"He crunches some data on ticket pre-sales and concludes that Star Wars could gross $220 million to $276 million at the domestic box office on the opening weekend, and then go on to book between $2.4 billion and $3 billion in global box office receipts."
EDIT: Then I just found this Forbes article that cites the Nomura prediction.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/maggiem...for-a-3-billion-box-office-take/#45f842032e00
In that article it quotes a Goldman Sachs analyst
"Other Wall Street analysts took on a more measured tone in talking about the movie (and its potential effect on Disney’s top and bottom line).
“We now estimate global box office for
Star Wars: The Force Awakens of $1.95 billion in global box office — up from $1.5 billion previously — comprised of $750 million in domestic box office and $1.2 billion internationally,” wrote Goldman Sachs analyst Drew Borst."
1.1 vs 1.95 Billion is a Miss of 77%.
Also in that article, one of the Bullish analysts, BTIG's, Rich Greenfield said:
"Using the hashtag #FadetheForce, Greenfield noted that should
The Force Awakensfail to gross more than $2 billion in worldwide box office revenue, Disney will fail to meet his and the Street’s estimates on earnings."
TFA is currently at
$2,040,854,468