The Official Hurricane Frances thread...

WDWScottieBoy

Well-Known Member
prberk said:
Do we have a comprehensive list of the locals that post here, and where they have gone (or will go) to wait out the storm?

I know MKT said that he was going to the Wilderness Lodge.

Perhaps we can start this list, and then continue to add to it; then, after the storm, we will have a place to start for the "heard from" list. We could check each off (or add to the list) as we hear from them to know that they are safe.

Just an idea.

Actually MKT (Rob) didn't go to the Wilderness Lodge, PhotoDave219 (Dave), who is Rob's roommate is the one at the Wilderness Lodge. Rob is at his work (another hotel) waiting out Frances. I know Grizz left his cave and will be back sometime later. Once the storm hits and leaves, we'll get a list of everyone so that they can check in and let us know they are ok.
 

tigsmom

Well-Known Member
prberk said:
Do we have a comprehensive list of the locals that post here, and where they have gone (or will go) to wait out the storm?

I know MKT said that he was going to the Wilderness Lodge.

Perhaps we can start this list, and then continue to add to it; then, after the storm, we will have a place to start for the "heard from" list. We could check each off (or add to the list) as we hear from them to know that they are safe.

Just an idea.


Check this out...
 

Atta83

Well-Known Member
prberk said:
Do we have a comprehensive list of the locals that post here, and where they have gone (or will go) to wait out the storm?

I know MKT said that he was going to the Wilderness Lodge.

Perhaps we can start this list, and then continue to add to it; then, after the storm, we will have a place to start for the "heard from" list. We could check each off (or add to the list) as we hear from them to know that they are safe.

Just an idea.


PhotoDave219 is actually at Fort Wilderness right now and having a nice time there, making me so jelouse that he is staying there and now telling me on the phone how nice it is.....arrrr

Rob, on the other hand will be at his hotel from my understanding workind during this.
 

prberk

Well-Known Member
Well, Tigsmom, I see the other thread.

Good idea maybe, but the name does not make it obvious that the list will be there. I thought that was the usefulness of the official-type thread. The one for Charley gave ONE place, with an obvious name, to go to find all up to date info for the people who post here.

I would rather see the list kept here (in the official thread), like it was before. One standard place to look to hear from people, with the obvious name.

Just my opion. But I do appreciate the idea, brkgnews. So, I guess we should decide now.
 

prberk

Well-Known Member
So, partial list for now, is...

MKT (Rob) -- in his hotel working
PhotoDave219 (Dave) -- Wilderness Lodge
General Griz -- Left town

Cut and paste to add to the list if you know more.

Paul
 

tigsmom

Well-Known Member
MKT (Rob) -- in his hotel working
PhotoDave219 (Dave) -- Wilderness Lodge
General Griz -- Left town
speck5576 -- in his hotel working/riding out the storm
 

brkgnews

Well-Known Member
It's fine with me to keep everything in this thread -- no hard feelings. I've gone in and edited the other thread to point people this way.
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
<TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="98%" border=1><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#ff0000><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=large>STORM STATUS</TD><TD class=small align=right>September 3, 4:41 PM EDT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#cccccc><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="95%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2>Name: Hurricane Frances</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small vAlign=top>Location: About 90 miles, 145 km, East-Southeast of Freeport Grand Bahama Island And 200 Miles East-Southeast Of The Florida Lower East Coast.

Lat/Long: 25.9N, 77.5W
Max Winds: 115 mph
Category: 3

</TD><TD class=small vAlign=top noWrap>Heading: West-Northwest

Speed: 8 mph
Pressure: 28.32 inches

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

2055Frances-12-med.gif
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
18 counties are now under advisories,
watches, or severe weather warnings.

Friday, September 3, 2004 6:48 pm EDT

Northern Brevard County
Southern Brevard County
Citrus County
Flagler County
Hardee County
Hernando County
Highlands County
Indian River County
Lake County
Southern Lake County
Marion County
Okeechobee County
Orange County
Osceola County
Pasco County
Polk County
Putnam County
Seminole County
Sumter County
Coastal Volusia County
Inland Volusia County
 

NemoRocks78

Seized
Premium Member
Slowing, Frances will still have 'tremendous impact'
Leslie Postal and Maya Bell | Sentinel Staff Writers
Posted September 3, 2004, 5:55 PM EDT


Hurricane Frances, a powerful and dangerous hurricane, continues to crawl toward Florida's shore this evening, bringing with it the potential for torrential rains and flooding once it hits land and starts a slow journey across the state.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami said late today that Floridians have no cause to breathe easier.

Frances may be weakening, wobbling and disheveled, but it's still a huge Category 3 storm capable of doing enormous damage to Florida, especially since its wind bands are expanding.

"It's not good news. Don't let your guard down,'' said Max Mayfield, the center's director. "The wind field is really spreading out, and I can assure you this will have a tremendous impact on Central Florida.''

At 5 p.m., the massive storm was about 200 miles east-southeast of Florida's east coast, with maximum sustained winds of near 115 mph. It was moving about 8 mph, and its core was expected to be near Florida's shores tomorrow afternoon, the hurricane center said.

The exact timing and location of landfall remains difficult to predict, but the hurricane center projects the storm will hit Florida's southeastern coast around 2 p.m. tomorrow and then move slowly northwest across the state, taking it over Central Florida.

The official 24-hour forecast track, which has an average error of about 87 miles, had Frances making landfall just north of Fort Pierce. If Frances follows that track, the storm would traverse the state southwest of Orlando, bringing its eye -- and hurricane force winds -- over Osceola County.

Orange County, however, would probably feel tropical storm-force winds of about 58 mph. As the storm makes its agonizingly slow march to the Gulf of Mexico, its winds will slacken, but the rains aren't expected to. Forecasters expect inland counties in Frances' path to be deluged with 10 to 15 inches of rain and as much as 20 inches in isolated pockets.

State meteorologist Ben Nelson said the area north of the track would still take a beating because the highest winds are at the northeastern side of the storm.

The center's projection shows the storm hitting land somewhere between Stuart and Cape Canaveral and exiting into the Gulf of Mexico in the Tampa area, state officials said. But areas north and east of the storm also will experience blistering conditions.

The storm's slow speed means coastal areas could experience hurricane-force winds for 12 hours or longer. A hurricane warning is in effect along the east coast from Florida City in Miami-Dade County north to Flager Beach.

The storm's delay, and the slight drop in the top wind speed, should not offer any comfort, said Lt. Gov. Toni Jennings.

"Those who are in an evacuation mode need to get out. We're not kidding," Jennings said. "We don't want people to think, 'Oh, this isn't a big, bad storm.' This is a big, bad storm."

Craig Fugate, director of the state Division of Emergency Management, said Frances still is bringing a variety of scary conditions - high winds, heavy rain, a massive storm surge and sporadic tornadoes.

"I don't want people to be scared. I want people to respect this storm," Fugate said.

Frances could push water ashore 14 feet above normal tide levels and drop up to 20 inches of rain on some sections of the state, the center said.

"A lot of people may have water in their homes with this kind of flooding," Fugate said.

Across Central Florida, some residents prepared to wait out the storm in their homes Friday, some behind plywood-covered windows, while others headed to emergency shelters, fearful their homes were unsafe or too vulnerable to flooding.

Local residents in coastal communities, mobile homes and low-lying areas had been ordered to evacuate as Frances approached Florida's shores.

Noel and Betzadia Castro and their three children decided to ride out the storm at Freedom Elementary in Volusia County. The school is one of numerous local schools turned into emergency shelters to house hurricane evacuees. By this afternoon, thousands of residents had set up camp inside these schools.

The Castros moved to a mobile home in DeLand from Puerto Rico three weeks ago, looking for better schools for their children. They now fear their new home will be lost to Frances' high winds.

"It's going to fly away," said Noel Castro, 35, a cook at a Perkins restaurant, as his wife started crying.

They'd brought to the shelter little more than some toys for their children and important papers. "We should have come in a couple of months," he added.

As the massive hurricane came nearer, officials warned that serious flooding could follow the rain Frances will drop on the region. Some municipal offices ran out of sandbags today, though Seminole County said its shortage was temporary and more would be available tomorrow.

In Lake County, some cities already are on guard because of the 10 inches of rain that soaked that area when Hurricane Charley stormed through three weeks ago.

In Mascotte, for example, one street already is flooded and water rising near the city's ball field.

"Its just one of those things we're going to have to deal with," said Glenn Irby, city manager in Mascotte, where nearly half of the 4,000-resident population was forced to evacuate from mobile and manufactured homes today.

Officials said residents should remain very wary about Frances.

Mayfield, the center's director, said he expected people to die well outside of Frances' hurricane force winds "because that's what always happens. They're out riding around and a tree falls on their car and kills them. Or they go outside to smoke a cigarette.''

Gwyneth Shaw, Denise-Marie Balona and Robert Sargent of the Sentinel staff contributed to this story.
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
Evacuations For Central Florida

UPDATED:</TEXT> 10:33 am EDT September 3, 2004


<!--startindex-->
BREVARD COUNTY:

Mandatory evacuation for residents living on barrier islands, low-lying areas (including Merritt Island) and in mobile homes, manufactured homes.



FLAGLER COUNTY:

Mandatory evacuation for residents living in low-lying areas and mobile homes, manufactured homes.



LAKE COUNTY:

Mandatory evacuation for residents living in low-lying areas and mobile homes, manufactured homes.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 align=right border=0><TBODY><TR><TD></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



MARION COUNTY:

Mandatory evacuation for residents in mobile homes, manufactured homes.



OSCEOLA COUNTY:

Voluntary evacuation for residents in mobile homes, manufactured homes.



SEMINOLE COUNTY:

Mandatory evacuation for residents in mobile homes, manufactured homes and homes in low lying areas.



VOLUSIA COUNTY:

Mandatory evacuation for mobile home parks and for residents east of the Intracoastal Waterway, including parts of Daytona Beach, Ormond Beach and smaller beach towns. South Daytona, on the mainland, ordered a voluntary evacuation for its 13,100 residents.<!--stopindex-->
 

NemoRocks78

Seized
Premium Member
iws0.jpg


The exact path of Frances is still uncertain. Whether Frances takes a more westerly track and crosses over south Florida or continues to the Northwest and strikes between northern Florida and South Carolina is dependent on the strength of an area of high pressure to the storm's north. If the strength of the high pressure weakens then Frances will take a more northerly track and could make landfall near Georgia or southern South Carolina. However, if the area of high pressure remains dominant, then Frances will make landfall farther to the south, which is the current forecast track.
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
Radio Stations That Will Simulcast WFTV When Necessary

Here is a list of the radio stations that will use Severe Weather Center 9 and will simulcast WFTV coverage when necessary.

Orlando
WWKA - K92.3 FM
WPYO - Power 95.3 FM
WCFB - Start 94.5 FM
WTLN - 950 AM
WHIM - 1520 AM

Daytona/Volusia
WGNE Froggy 99.9 FM

Melbourne/Brevard
WA1A 107.1 FM
WHKR 102.7 FM
WINT 1560 AM
WSJZ 95.9 FM
 

HorizonsMan

New Member
MKT (Rob) -- in his hotel working
PhotoDave219 (Dave) -- Wilderness Lodge
General Griz -- Left town
speck5576 -- in his hotel working/riding out the storm
Horizonsman - in his bottom floor apartment fighting the cold


ill be ok, i think
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
Frances Slows, Weakens As It Nears Florida

Category 3 Hurricane Pounding Bahamas


UPDATED: 6:58 PM EDT September 3, 2004



MELBOURNE, Fla. -- Hurricane Frances is beginning to make its presence felt along Florida's shoreline as officials adjust their forecasts for when it'll hit.

Frances, with cloud coverage the size of Texas, is now about 170 miles east-southeast of West Palm Beach on Florida's east coast, where winds and waves are picking up.

The Category 3 storm has slowed somewhat, giving residents a little more time to flee what some say could be the most powerful storm to hit the state in more than a decade. The National Hurricane Center says the storm has become somewhat disorganized, but they warn it could re-intensify before slamming into Florida perhaps as early as Saturday morning.


Residents and tourists clogged shelters or made last-minute preparations Friday, where the state's second pummeling in three weeks seems inevitable.


About 2.5 million residents were ordered to evacuate -- the largest in state history.


The slow-moving storm's core was now expected to hit Florida Saturday afternoon or evening, instead of early Saturday as had been earlier predicted.


At 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Hurricane Frances was located near latitude 25.9 north, longitude 77.5 west, or about 90 miles east-southeast of Freeport Grand Bahama Island and 200 miles east-southeast of the Florida lower east coast.

Frances has been wobbeling, but in general is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph. A west-northwest to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours. On this track, the core of Hurricane Frances will continue to move near or over the northwestern Bahamas Friday and will be near the Florida coast on Saturday.


Frances remains a strong Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale, with maximum sustained winds of near 115 mph, and higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next 24 hours.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles.


A hurricane warning is in effect for the east coast of Florida from Florida City northward to Flagler Beach, including Lake Okeechobee. A hurricane warning also remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas. A tropical storm warning has been issued from north of Flagler Beach northward to Fernandina Beach. A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning are now in effect from north of Flagler Beach northward to Fernandina Beach.


A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the middle and upper Florida Keys, from south of Florida City southward to the Seven Mile Bridge, including Florida Bay. The hurricane warning for the central Bahamas has been discontinued.

Frances has been wobbeling, but in general is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph. A west-northwest to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours. On this track, the core of Hurricane Frances will continue to move near or over the northwestern Bahamas Friday and will be near the Florida coast on Saturday.


Frances remains a strong Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale, with maximum sustained winds of near 115 mph, and higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next 24 hours.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles.


A hurricane warning is in effect for the east coast of Florida from Florida City northward to Flagler Beach, including Lake Okeechobee. A hurricane warning also remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas. A tropical storm warning has been issued from north of Flagler Beach northward to Fernandina Beach. A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning are now in effect from north of Flagler Beach northward to Fernandina Beach.


A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the middle and upper Florida Keys, from south of Florida City southward to the Seven Mile Bridge, including Florida Bay. The hurricane warning for the central Bahamas has been discontinued.
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
Hurricane Frances Advisory Number 40

Issued at: 4:41 PM EDT 9/3/04


Outer squalls of dangerous hurricane frances moving over the florida east coast, weather should begin to deteriorate gradually,

A hurricane warning is in effect for the east coast of Florida from Florida city northward to flagler beach, including lake okeechobee. A hurricane warning also remains in effect for the northwestern bahamas.

A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

At 5 pm edt, 2100z, a tropical storm warning has been issued from north of flagler beach northward to fernandina beach. A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning are now in effect from north of flagler beach northward to fernandina beach.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the middle and upper florida keys from south of Florida city southward to the seven mile bridge, including Florida bay.

At 5 pm edt, 2100z, the hurricane warning for the central bahamas has been discontinued.

At 5 pm edt, 2100z, the center of hurricane frances was located near latitude 25.9 north, longitude 77.5 west or about 90 miles, 145 km, east-southeast of freeport grand bahama island and 200 miles east-southeast of the Florida lower east coast.

Frances has been wobbeling but in general is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph, 13 km/hr. A west-northwest to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours. On this track, the core of hurricane frances will continue to move near or over the northwestern bahamas today and will be near the Florida coast on saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph, 185 km/hr, with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are forecast during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles, 140 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles, 295 km.

Minimum central pressure reported by a hurricane hunter plane was 959 mb, 28.32 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 6 to 14 feet abover normal tide levels, along with dangerous battering waves, can be expected near the eye of frances on the north side of grand bahama island. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels can be expected on the west side of the other islands of the bahamas. Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, can be expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in Florida. Storm surge flooding of 6 feet above normal lake water level is expected in lake okeechobee.

Rainfall amounts of 7 to 12 inches, locally as high as 20 inches, are possible in association with frances.

Swells generated by frances will be affecting portions of the southeastern coast of the united states. These swells could cause dangerous surf and rip currents.

Repeating the 5 pm edt position, 25.9 n, 77.5 w. Movement toward, west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 115 mph. Minimum central pressure, 959 mb.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 8 pm edt followed by the next complete advisory at 11 pm edt.
 

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