Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
As pointed out above…issue polling is far less trustworthy than campaign pollingRecent polls tend to be relatively accurate to within a few percentage points.
The problem is that this nation is so evenly divided, that even a swing of 4% (the typical margin of error) can make a huge difference in election results.
So then the narrative becomes “polls are inaccurate” even though the results were within the margin of error.
And the latter isn’t all that reliable either…
If you miss a national election by 4%…it would be more than 6,000,000 votes…
Or Wisconsin…in practical terms