Is attendance really down at WDW this or…

HauntedPirate

Park nostalgist
Premium Member
I don't think there are many that just chose to believe everything is great. Nearly all of us see problems. The difference is the magnitude and solutions.

Sure, attendance is down now and I bet the powers that be are absolutely concerned but the endless drum beat of "it's all over" is just as much BS now as it has always been. Concern is valid, predictions of the end times are not.

Regardless of what we all might think is going on, el_super does have a valid point. There has been record profit after record profit for the parks for a while now despite all the folks claiming the end is near. If that happens again this quarter and/or next quarter? What then? Is it still falling apart? What if it is down but not by much and streaming is in the black and/or studios start to improve? Still doom and gloom?

Profits are not at record levels, but per guest spending is. That's what happens when you charge more for tickets, food, beverage, merchandise, etc. How much can you squeeze the orange before there's no more juice? Disney believes there are endless groves of oranges to squeeze.
 

Dranth

Well-Known Member
Record profit aside, the current debt of TWDC is $47 Billion.
True, but that isn't that bad. They have something like 10 billion on hand, they aren't losing money and they have low interest rates on what they do have outstanding. The only real upcoming debt is the share of Hulu coming due soon but that won't add much debt if the use the cash on hand to pay for most of it.
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
True, but that isn't that bad. They have something like 10 billion on hand, they aren't losing money and they have low interest rates on what they do have outstanding. The only real upcoming debt is the share of Hulu coming due soon but that won't add much debt if the use the cash on hand to pay for most of it.

Is that ten billion on hand including the estimated 9 billion they are about to have to write to Comcast?
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
That was my thought. If you have 47 Billion in debt, and en estimated ten billion on hand, but owe an estimated ten billion to another company.

You still have 47 billion in debt.
By your logic you are infinitely rich and poor at the same time... because you are trying to count infinite future obligations as if they were current obligations.

You don't know how any Hulu transaction will be financed, so you can't really claim it's debt... nevermind the nonsense of claiming FUTURE deals as debt today.
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
By your logic you are infinitely rich and poor at the same time... because you are trying to count infinite future obligations as if they were current obligations.

You don't know how any Hulu transaction will be financed, so you can't really claim it's debt... nevermind the nonsense of claiming FUTURE deals as debt today.

Yes, one is infinitely rich and poor at the same time. This is known as opportunity. But that is getting into a discussion on terms and philosophy of business.

What we do know are the facts.

Comcast is owed an estimated 9 billion according to reports. That is all we can go by. The poster here states Disney has an estimated 10 billion on hand.

We also know the company is in 47 billion debt depending on latest report.

What was said is not true?

How would you prefer to frame it?
 

networkpro

Well-Known Member
In the Parks
Yes
(USD)JUL 2023info
FISCAL Q3 2023 ENDED 7/1/23. REPORTED ON 8/9/23.
Y/Y CHANGE
Cash and short-term investments
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11.46B-11.58%
Total assets
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203.78B-0.14%
Total liabilities
Sum of the combined debts a company owes
92.84B-5.47%
Total equity
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110.94B
Shares outstanding
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1.83B
Price to book
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1.59
Return on assets
A financial ratio that shows a company’s profitability compared to its assets
3.34%
Return on capital
Company’s return above the average cost it pays for its debt and equity capital
4.30%
 

Willmark

Well-Known Member
This thread has been around for five months, and while people keep asserting that there are "attendance" problems, revenues are breaking records left and right.

How many more months will it be before we start to see actual signs of this "problem?"
Why did you leave out the next paragraph? Get back to me when your respond back with that.
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
Comcast is owed an estimated 9 billion according to reports. That is all we can go by. The poster here states Disney has an estimated 10 billion on hand.
The company has a future obligation for Hulu. You have a valuation, but you don't know how it will be transacted, so you can't claim it's debt. It's not debt today, it may not even be debt then either.

The point that it's something in the FUTURE and not necessarily something funded with borrowing is why people use the term 'obligation' -- not debt -- because they are different things.
 

el_super

Well-Known Member
Attendance has been lower at Disney World, it's in their Q3 earnings report.

Yes. True. But that wasn't the point I was trying to make. I am questioning, again, whether this is a problem and whether they are as concerned about it as the people on this thread have been.

I suspect, that many here have overinflated the importance of this attendance decline, because they want to believe that Disney is concerned /hurting /distraught /panicked / scared and all sorts of other negative emotions for their own personal vindication. Hence the need to spin this as a problem.

I don't think they care about attendance if the money is still rolling in. Certainly Wall St doesn't.

Do you have a link to record revenues at Disney World (cause this thread is not about all of the company)? Only thing I can find with breakdowns in a quick skim of the report is operating income, which is down at WDW.

You can search for past Annual Reports on their site. They break down the numbers for parks and consumer products, separate from media, under DPEP. They posted 28 billon in revenue for FY22, which was a record. Operating Income was also 7.8 Billion, which again was a record.

For the first three quarters of FY 23, Revenue has been 24.8 Billion and Operating Income was 7.3 Billion. They are on the path to exceeding the records from last year in FY23.

For the FY23 numbers I was referencing this document specifically:

 
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LSLS

Well-Known Member
Yes. True. But that wasn't the point I was trying to make. I am questioning, again, whether this is a problem and whether they are as concerned about it as the people on this thread have been.

I suspect, that many here have overinflated the importance of this attendance decline, because they want to believe that Disney is concerned /hurting /distraught /panicked / scared and all sorts of other negative emotions for their own personal vindication. Hence the need to spin this as a problem.

I don't think they care about attendance if the money is still rolling in. Certainly Wall St doesn't.

You can search for past Annual Reports on their site. They break down the numbers for parks and consumer products, separate from media, under DPEP. They posted 28 billon in revenue for FY22, which was a record. Operating Income was also 7.8 Billion, which again was a record.
For the first three quarters of FY 23, Revenue has been 24.8 Billion and Operating Income was 7.3 Billion. They are on the path to exceeding the records from last year in FY23.

For the FY23 numbers I was referencing this document specifically:



The first 3 quarters do not break down Disney World vs the other parks for revenue. Directly from your linked Q3 report:

Lower operating income at our domestic parks and resorts was attributable to a decrease at Walt Disney World Resort, while results at Disneyland Resort were up modestly compared to the prior-year quarter.

Honestly, I don't think it's fair to say attendance may be down at WDW, but revenues is up overall so it's accomplishing the idea of bringing in more money while having less people. We don't know that based on the reports. The reports even say that China attributes a large part to the growth of volume. We either need to know the attendance across all parks compared to revenue, or we need a revenue breakdown of just WDW to get a truer picture.
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
The company has a future obligation for Hulu.
You are just saying the definition of debt. A financial obligation that is owed.
Splitting hairs on the term debt. If you owe someone something, you are in debt to them.

debt
/det/
noun
something, typically money, that is owed or due.

The payment plan (if the one that the money is owed to decides that fair, it is in their court)does not change the fact that it is a debt.
 

Dranth

Well-Known Member
Profits are not at record levels, but per guest spending is.
Fair, though they have had some pretty good quarters DPEP side post Covid considering not all parks have been up and operational this whole time and the cruise ships didn't really get back into full swing until sometime last year.

That's what happens when you charge more for tickets, food, beverage, merchandise, etc. How much can you squeeze the orange before there's no more juice? Disney believes there are endless groves of oranges to squeeze.
Yes, but that only works if you charge more and enough people keep going which, in the case of Disney, is what has been happening. That being said, I completely agree that there is a limit to how much they can push this but the question is have they hit it?

What we have been hearing about soft bookings is certainly one indicator that people aren't having it right now but does that translate into any significant loss? Does it even last? Does Disney adjust anything that bring people back in enough numbers to offset any attendance decrease? We just don't know yet.

Personally, I think D23 is where we are going to find out a lot. D+ should finally be in the black, studios should finally be releasing films that were developed under the new structure, and Imagineering will have had time to be restaffed and redirected to projects that make more sense then the junk thrown out there in 2021.
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
You are just saying the definition of debt.
No I am not. You are trying to make broad generalization to defend your point and throwing all accuracy out the window in the attempt to cling onto your statement instead of being open to how your assumptions are wrong.

A financial obligation that is owed.
Splitting hairs on the term debt. If you owe someone something, you are in debt to them.
The company has a PROMISE/CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATION to Comcast - they do not have a debt to them.

Debt in this context of financial statements and has a very specific meaning. We do not call the leases the company owes, or their future taxes DEBT even tho they owe people money for those or made promises to pay those. Because debt is not just something they made a promise to pay a bill in the future.

This is also why 'debt' != 'liability'. Debt is a specific kind of liability.. the kind of obligation to a creditor longer than 12 months.

Their obligation for Hulu isn't a payment plan. It's not a debt in their financial statements either. Which is why it's not there on the balance sheet now. As well as the naive hand waving about their cash balance and the Hulu transaction.

Disney isn't going to zero out cash reserves to buy Hulu.
 

Willmark

Well-Known Member
The part where you mentioned that things MIGHT be ok or they might not? I didn't quote it because that sentence didn't add anything of value.
Sure it did you simply took what I said and only quoted one part. The last paragraph acknowledges that there is the possibility that they make it through unscathed.

On the other hand you bypassed other points to attempt what I’m not quite sure.
 

el_super

Well-Known Member
The first 3 quarters do not break down Disney World vs the other parks for revenue. Directly from your linked Q3 report:

How big of a "problem" is there, if only one of your resorts are having issues and apparently those issues are easily overcome by your other operating resorts?
 

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