Yep, 2015 on Shanghai. And yes, that will 99.999% happen. No pesky regulation or building code. (Kidding, kinda.) Iger's almost certainly staying at least another 2 years, likely 3 or 4 minimum. He does have political ambitions, but that could also take the shape of other influential positions between public/private sectors, and I think he likes the position he's put the company in and wants to enjoy the spoils for a bit. Really, I don't think he's all that bad for the parks. He's a pretty big proponent of the parks, actually,
if someone below shows him what needs to be done and why. The bigger problem is getting the lower echelons to stick their necks out. JL insisted on Carsland, and Bob backed him, even when it overran. The larger problem is TDO and the Parks corp suite, along with the politics at Flower.
WDW won't ever get magically better. It may get systemically better if the individual Parks VPs start to care more, some sort of balance is brought back to the thinking of show quality vs. guest counts, maintenance budgets are ticked up, and TDO has a sea change in thought from the top down. Doable? Absolutely. Probable? Let's wait and see.