Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Ugh! That evil WDWPro keeps saying that Moana 2 is going to flop! Is he for real? I know Disney Irish will get on me on this, but I want Moana 2 succeed at the box office, even though it’s probably likely. But seriously, what is wrong with WDWPro? Is he trying to get Disney to go bankrupt?
You just need to stop paying attention to them. They have no power over the box office.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
Ugh! That evil WDWPro keeps saying that Moana 2 is going to flop! Is he for real? I know Disney Irish will get on me on this, but I want Moana 2 succeed at the box office, even though it’s probably likely. But seriously, what is wrong with WDWPro? Is he trying to get Disney to go bankrupt?
The beginning of Pro's descent on these forums when he tried to pass himself off as an insider was when he said that Disney had projections that Frozen 2 would bomb.

Frozen 2 made more than Frozen and was temporarily the number one animated film.

Pro never admitted he was wrong.

Stop watching his YouTube channel. It's toxic.
 

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
The beginning of Pro's descent on these forums when he tried to pass himself off as an insider was when he said that Disney had projections that Frozen 2 would bomb.

Frozen 2 made more than Frozen and was temporarily the number one animated film.

Pro never admitted he was wrong.

Stop watching his YouTube channel. It's toxic.

The trouble was he I think was committed to this position a couple weeks into the gross. He also actively did not understand how box office was split between domestic and global.

Which is quaint when you are claiming to be an expert and/or authority.

I’m sure his guess record last year was better and this year is awful.
 

HauntedPirate

Park nostalgist
Premium Member
Here is the article about it -


Its very possible this doesn't end up being a standalone Charming story, we'll see what happens.
More:


🤷‍♂️
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
More:


🤷‍♂️
Yep sounds like it won’t be a standalone film but more part of a larger story or universe.
 

Miss Rori

Well-Known Member
I don't think there's much potential in this Prince Charming project. Disney itself already had the Enchanted films and the film of Into the Woods tackle this particular archetype, and with all the other parodies out there (not least the Shrek franchise, which is getting a fifth installment that will likely reach theaters before this does) there's no meat left on this bone. And while I think Paul King is a genuinely talented writer-director - Wonka worked far better as a Disney-style fairy tale musical than Wish did, and he sure has a knack for coming up with the "classic Disney villains" Disney Adults insist audiences want more of - I think he's benefitted from not being under the extreme corporate oversight he'd be under if he were actually working for Disney. There's no way a project like this doesn't get focus-tested to death, especially if Disney's trying to make it their equivalent of another company's work.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Thursday night previews -

1729894169762.png


Not much going going on besides MCU adjacent Venom 3 which had a respectable but not out of this world preview, predictions are $60-$80M for the weekend.

DP&W after moving into 12th place on the all time domestic chart above Barbie last weekend, it has gone way down to 300 theaters, so effectively out of theaters for this weekend. Rumors are its getting is physical media release November 2nd, which is right around when D+ should be getting it as well.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Here's the weekend tally's so far -

1730059854708.png


MCU adjacent Venom 3 just didn't bring in the butts this time around coming in under even the most conservative predictions. Doesn't bode well for the hunter in December's Kraven. Sony might be looking to Disney/Marvel to save the day again in the near future. One hopes they just give up and sell the rights back soon, they (and the IP) would just be better off in the long run.
 

Miss Rori

Well-Known Member
Venom - The Last Dance had to go up against both early Halloween celebrations and the first games of a big-deal World Series, as noted by the analysts. And it's getting clearer and clearer that the occasional Deadpool & Wolverine aside, that is to say movies that feature really really really popular characters, general audiences are just running out of interest in comic book-derived movies. Still, I didn't have this managing a better opening than Joker Folie a Deux on my metaphorical bingo card.

Looks like a thin few weeks ahead until Wicked Part One and Gladiator II roll in, unless anyone here's excited for Red One or The Best Christmas Pageant Ever...
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
Venom - The Last Dance had to go up against both early Halloween celebrations and the first games of a big-deal World Series, as noted by the analysts. And it's getting clearer and clearer that the occasional Deadpool & Wolverine aside, that is to say movies that feature really really really popular characters, general audiences are just running out of interest in comic book-derived movies.
Or... Let There Be Carnage got bad to middling reviews and scores and thus was the cause of a lack of interest in a sequel.

Cf. Cars 3
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Venom - The Last Dance had to go up against both early Halloween celebrations and the first games of a big-deal World Series, as noted by the analysts. And it's getting clearer and clearer that the occasional Deadpool & Wolverine aside, that is to say movies that feature really really really popular characters, general audiences are just running out of interest in comic book-derived movies. Still, I didn't have this managing a better opening than Joker Folie a Deux on my metaphorical bingo card.

Looks like a thin few weeks ahead until Wicked Part One and Gladiator II roll in, unless anyone here's excited for Red One or The Best Christmas Pageant Ever...
Just like anything I think it comes down to execution. Venom 3 while fun wasn't executed very well, so it didn't have any hook in my opinion to bring people back. And I could have told you it would have done better than Joker 2, as it didn't try to do the bait-and-switch of it being a musical. Its why, while I think it'll do well overall, some maybe turned off by Wicked since the trailers aren't 100% clear its a musical. As believe it or not there are people out there that don't know its a musical.

There are a few other mid-level movies that may interest people such Here, Heretic, and Elevation before Wicked and Gladiator 2 open.
 

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
We still haven’t really seen a good superhero film severely underperform yet. Maybe The Marvels in the extreme sense?

But I feel too like this remains largely just a quality control issue out of Warner and Sony.

The MCU box office average benchmark post-Endgame is largely consistent with the pre Endgame run.
 

TalkingHead

Well-Known Member
Venom - The Last Dance had to go up against both early Halloween celebrations and the first games of a big-deal World Series, as noted by the analysts. And it's getting clearer and clearer that the occasional Deadpool & Wolverine aside, that is to say movies that feature really really really popular characters, general audiences are just running out of interest in comic book-derived movies. Still, I didn't have this managing a better opening than Joker Folie a Deux on my metaphorical bingo card.

Looks like a thin few weeks ahead until Wicked Part One and Gladiator II roll in, unless anyone here's excited for Red One or The Best Christmas Pageant Ever...
Inching closer and closer to the inevitable Marvel/DC crossover movie(s). Alan Smithee’s dying to have another credit.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member

A rising tide raises all ships. Theatres are having a much, much better second half of the year.
I know we've had to adjust expectations post-2020, but $80M seems low even by adjusted standards for something like Wicked. Especially since predictions from just a week or so ago was $100-$125M. So that seems to indicate that pre-sales are not going as well as originally hoped. Is it possible Moana 2 is having an effect?

I wonder if it'll be adjusted down again as we get closer to release.
 

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