Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
You almost can’t make this up…
Tracking is showing Disney is about to have its biggest opening weekend score in…how long?
And this thread has tangented to AI and “economic theories of streaming”
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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs
- Thread starter Disney Analyst
- Start date
Tracking is showing Disney is about to have its biggest opening weekend score in…how long?
And this thread has tangented to AI and “economic theories of streaming”
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Old tech get phased out in favor of new or different tech, doesn't mean its bad just means its different. This is the nature of how technology evolves over time.
Also streaming isn't trying to replicate linear 1:1. While some aspect of it are similar its a different type of distribution method. The main thing that makes it the same is that you pay x company to get access to y content, which is always going to be the case no matter the distribution method used.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
How exactly is trying to lock people into longterm monthly subscriptions with rising fees and ads not like linear?
Did you have the Betamax of linear back in the day?
This take is less stable…since the bailout can be done with a swipe (not the company giving you the runaround about a guy with plumbers crack coming out in 6 weeks to turn it off)…and with enhanced tech an alternative would come far faster than it did for linear.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Probably be the biggest since Avatar 2, which will be surpassed by Avatar 3 later this year.
It all affects the box office.
Pix E. Dust
Well-Known Member
I agree. Netflix is hands down my favourite. The price is good too. Crave (Canadian) would be my second choice and Prime would be my third. I subscribe to D+ from time to time but cancel it after the month. (For instance, at Christmas, we wanted to watch Hamilton.) I just don't find there is enough on there for adults.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
I said that the payment of content is the similarity. But that is going to be the case no matter how the content is being shipped to the consumer. There will not be this "free" option for all content without some payment, whether that be a direct subscription or with ads. The "man" will always get the dollar in the end.
I've had all the tech going back to the 70s, so yes. I even had the first cable offering in my area back before Disney Channel was even a thing in Jimirro's eye.
This was always going to happen even before streaming, as I don't know about your area up in the North East, but out here in the West we can cancel our cable with the click of a button. No visit from a guy, no runaround on the phone. Just a click and cancel, this has been the case for a long time now.
So yeah the lock-in days of linear has pretty much also ended. Its a new world my friend, lots of things change.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Back to front…
The review aggregators are up to 75-85% for the blue guy…despite some usual vile from the “high standards” outlets…
So it’s gonna be big. I know the theaters around me are juiced with presells…and we’re miserable and have no joy here
The review aggregators are up to 75-85% for the blue guy…despite some usual vile from the “high standards” outlets…
So it’s gonna be big. I know the theaters around me are juiced with presells…and we’re miserable and have no joy here
Figments Friend
Well-Known Member
Yes!
Saw the film earlier today.
It is a fun romp for Stitch fans, and features some excellent animation of the blue menace himself.
Families and kids will eat this up….
This will be a huge money maker.
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Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
The blue monster - it appears - set the record for a Thursday preview (doubling up cruise) and will set up for the biggest Memorial Day weekend by a Disney movie…
…in other news: COVID killed the Box office
…in other news: COVID killed the Box office
Hawkeye_2018
Well-Known Member
Avengers moving dates is a massive win for the Mando movie
Serpico Jones
Well-Known Member
Marvel has now moved to the SW Christmas release schedule. Interesting. Also interesting to note that Disney has not dated or announced another Marvel film after Secret Wars...or am I misremembering?
Nevermore525
Well-Known Member
They removed November Marvel films from 2026, and 2027.
The Star Wars film originally planned for December 2026 was removed in 2024 in favor of Ice Age 6.
Phroobar
Well-Known Member
Because the world needs another Ice Age movie.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Those two movies are gonna be hot garbage…get the sharks and the water skis ready for the MCU
TP2000
Well-Known Member
It makes no sense, really. I get all the Disney commercials on YouTube for whatever new tentpole Burbank is releasing from; Pixar, Marvel, WDAS, Disney, etc. I don't subscribe to Disney+ or Hulu, only have a passing interest in ESPN during the US Open or Wimbledon, and I no longer have a Disneyland AP or any financial account linked to Disney, and I don't watch any Disney podcasts or lifestylers on YouTube.
That said, the YouTube algorithm is spooky but not entirely accurate yet. My hunch is that I get all the Disney commercials because I am subscribed and watch repeatedly the "Disney" content Jack Plotnick releases. He's been a favorite of mine for over a decade now! Hysterical stuff, like this....
I cut the cord years ago too. But I only subscribe to Netflix, and get Amazon Prime as a love gift from Jeff Bezos and his benevolent empire. I recently watched two (2) episodes of From Meghan, With Love just to see how awful it was. And it turns out people weren't lying, it is truly an awful and cringey fabrication of a show. Thumbs Down for the Duchess!
My favorite thing to do is to wait for something I want to watch, like I'm currently waiting for Season 3 of the Gilded Age on HBOMax. Then I subscribe to that outlet for one month, watch and enjoy the new thing, and promptly unsubscribe with a few taps at the remote. That can't be what the streamer execs are hoping people will do, but I think it's fun.
My gosh yes! Burbank has lost hundreds of millions of dollars at the 2025 box office already (Captain America 4, Rachel Zegler's Snow White, The Amateur, Thunderbolts?), so they desperately need a huge tentpole hit. With it's bargain basement budget of just $100 Million, and Variety reporting Disney spent $100 Million on its global marketing, it should be able to become profitable for Burbank by early June.
Burbank needs this right now!
Will ‘Lilo & Stitch’ and ‘Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning’ Fuel a Memorial Day Box Office Record?
"Lilo & Stitch" and "Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning" hope to fuel the largest Memorial Day weekend box office on record.
variety.com
Nevermore525
Well-Known Member
Tbf Cap 4 and Thunderbolts won’t lose a whole ton of money if any when all is said and done. Between box office, PVOD, and licensing they’ll break even to turn a small profit.My gosh yes! Burbank has lost hundreds of millions of dollars at the 2025 box office already (Captain America 4, Rachel Zegler's Snow White, The Amateur, Thunderbolts?), so they desperately need a huge tentpole hit. With its bargain basement budget of just $100 Million, and Variety reporting Disney spent $100 Million on its global marketing, it should be able to become profitable for Burbank by early June.
Burbank needs this right now!
Will ‘Lilo & Stitch’ and ‘Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning’ Fuel a Memorial Day Box Office Record?
"Lilo & Stitch" and "Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning" hope to fuel the largest Memorial Day weekend box office on record.
Snow White was DOA with every controversy and budgetary issues surrounding it. That was a lost cause and Disney cut back on their marketing with that one too.
Stitch had $1B written on it in the box office before reviews even dropped just from the hype machine behind the character and how much in merch sales he brings.
Serpico Jones
Well-Known Member
Disney doesn’t make movies like Cap 4 and Thunderbolts to break even in theaters.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
We gonna do this again? They failed to meet their objectives…whether or not they can line item account them down to “break even” misses the entire point of Disneys core business: money and returns
Stitch is what they want…what they wanted from mermaid and all the marvel flops…and what they got from Moana and Inside Out. The ability to make a lot of money for a lot of years to come.
I think people don’t really understand Disney all that well…behind the boardroom door.
They expect nothing but success.
It’s similar to discussions where I say they expect all there hotel rooms to be occupied 365 days a year at 100%.
“They can’t expect that”
No…they really can.
TP2000
Well-Known Member
Okay gang, here we go into Memorial Day Weekend! I put up my HOA approved patriotic overlay on the house this morning, and I've got a fridge full of red meat to grill for folks. In the midst of all the summer kickoff fun, fun, fun this weekend... let's not forget we are enjoying this long weekend because of all the brave men and women who died defending our great nation over the past 250 years. Thank you to all of them! 
And of course, Memorial Day Weekend is the kickoff to the summer box office! Lilo & Stitch in 4,410! theaters beat out Mission: Impossible 8 at the previews yesterday. Burbank has to be pleased about that!
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thenumbers.com
And of course, Memorial Day Weekend is the kickoff to the summer box office! Lilo & Stitch in 4,410! theaters beat out Mission: Impossible 8 at the previews yesterday. Burbank has to be pleased about that!
The Numbers - Daily Box Office Chart for Sunday August 24, 2025
Daily Domestic Box Office Chart for Sunday August 24, 2025
thenumbers.com
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
I dispute this…technically it’s only 249 official yearsOkay gang, here we go into Memorial Day Weekend! I put up my HOA approved patriotic overlay on the house this morning, and I've got a fridge full of red meat to grill for folks. In the midst of all the summer kickoff fun, fun, fun this weekend... let's not forget we are enjoying this long weekend because of all the brave men and women who died defending our great nation over the past 250 years. Thank you to all of them!
And of course, Memorial Day Weekend is the kickoff to the summer box office! Lilo & Stitch in 4,410! theaters beat out Mission: Impossible 8 at the previews yesterday. Burbank has to be pleased about that!
View attachment 860277
The Numbers - Daily Box Office Chart for Sunday August 24, 2025
Daily Domestic Box Office Chart for Sunday August 24, 2025
(But it actually is 250)