FYI, they did update the projections today.
COVID-19 policy briefings | Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Read summaries of the latest results for 230+ locations, including WHO regions, national, and subnational locations.www.healthdata.org
Thanks for the heads up!
And Florida's projections were majorly updated. Their crest of the curve was moved back from mid May to the beginning of May. Also, there are now projections that Florida will run short of ICU beds for everyone expected to need critical care.
New York area is going to peak around Apr 10.
If you look closely at the U.S. and state projections closely, you all will see why Jun 1 is being thrown around as the beginning of getting back to normal. By then, enough people will have had it for a significant amount of herd immunity and there is little chance of a second wave that will overwhelm healthcare.