Spirited Monday Musings:
I can't believe that Manic Monday by the Bangles is actually older than a significant number of my friends. But that's what today was with the amazing numbers put out by Jurassic World (again, no spoilers please ... I hope to see it tomorrow, but may not see it until the weekend!)
When a film, expected to be a blockbuster to start, comes in over $75 million above projections, that speaks loudly about two things: 1.) People wanted to see it; and 2.) Projections are just that ... educated predictions. No more, no less.
Now, before starting another world war here over what I am about to write, please think about it before you post angry.
JW does nothing but help Universal/Comcast. It gives them a completely unexpected bounce and shows there's plenty of life in them dere dinos (I am sure
@WDWFigment could have told them the same thing!)
Now, compare that to Disney and Star Wars. The hype started almost as soon as the ink was dry on the contract from George Lucas. It went up a few notches when the original cast was brought back and JJ was brought in to lead the effort. Wall Street has already planned for record box office. Disney has set itself up for one of only two scenarios: 1.) the film does as expected; 2.) the film does less than expected.
There is no other option.
The value of owning Lucas and of making The Force Awakens has been built into forecasts by analysts and the stock price itself. If the biggest film of the year winds up being the one with Star Lord and not the one with the wookie, then Disney stock will take a hit.
It's all about expectations. Can you get a bounce from something that already is expected? Something that already is in the math?
I don't know. But I don't think so.
And I'm also not at all convinced that Star Wars will outdraw Jurassic World, let alone become the highest grossing film of all time. Make no mistake, that's what Wall Street has priced in. Anything less and you're going to hear the groans of ''can the franchise thrive with all the stand alones?'' ... ''can Lucas be handled the same way Disney is handling Marvel and get the same results?'' (please keep all sharp objects away from
@PhotoDave219 !)
Again, before posting angry, just think about the above ... it's not about whether Star Wars will make billions. It's about the fact that Bob Iger and Company has sold the Street on the idea that The Force Awakens will be the biggest film of all-time (until the next one). I'm just not all that sure.
Oh, and one UNI Parks note, but I'm thinking that Beijing JP concept just got signed, sealed and delivered (even though it seemed a sure thing anyway!)