Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

[Disney Analyst]

With a $400 million budget, Mission Impossible: The Final Reckoning will struggle to break even.

the “church” of Scientology is probably helping bankroll it. Let it fail.

 

[Disney Irish]

the “church” of Scientology is probably helping bankroll it. Let it fail.

That didn’t work out too well for them last they did it with Travolta and Battlefield Earth.

 

[Animaniac93-98]

Mission Impossible 1-6 are on Disney+ in Canada, which I thought was odd since they're Paramount movies.

Maybe it's part of some international licensing/distribution deal, but typically Canada and the US are the same for movies.

 

[Nevermore525]

$63M domestic for Lilo and Stitch on current estimates, domestic around $280M

Global up to $610M

MI:8 around $27M domestically

Karate Kid in the low $20M range

‘Lilo & Stitch’ Kicks Up $63M Second Weekend, ‘Mission Impossible 8’ $27M+, ‘Karate Kid: Legends’ At $21M – Box Office Update

'Lilo & Stitch' in its second weekend at the U.S. box office towered over 'Karate Kid: Legends' & 'Bring Her Back'.

deadline.com

 

[LittleBuford]

There's actually a lot of progressive people who dislike the ending of the remake and criticizing it as anti-indigenous/pro-colonialism.

That seems pretty patronising and essentialising to me.

 

[LittleBuford]

As it stands now, Lilo & Stitch is underperforming overseas as a percentage of domestic box office almost as badly as The Little Mermaid did. That's an Oof!, especially in Scandinavia's box office.

“After two weekends on the big screen, the live-action ‘Lilo’ remake has grossed $330.7 million internationally and $280.1 million domestically.”

Box Office: ‘Lilo & Stitch’ Flies to $610 Million Globally, ‘Mission: Impossible 8’ and ‘Sinners’ Hit $350 Million Milestone

Box office milestones abound for Disney's "Lilo & Stitch," Paramont's "Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning" and Warner Bros. "Sinners."

variety.com

Lilo & Stitch (2025) - Financial Information

Financial analysis of Lilo & Stitch (2025) including budget, domestic and international box office gross, DVD and Blu-ray sales reports, total earnings and profitability.

www.the-numbers.com

 

[DKampy]

“After two weekends on the big screen, the live-action ‘Lilo’ remake has grossed $330.7 million internationally and $280.1 million domestically.”

Box Office: ‘Lilo & Stitch’ Flies to $610 Million Globally, ‘Mission: Impossible 8’ and ‘Sinners’ Hit $350 Million Milestone

Box office milestones abound for Disney's "Lilo & Stitch," Paramont's "Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning" and Warner Bros. "Sinners."

variety.com

Lilo & Stitch (2025) - Financial Information

Financial analysis of Lilo & Stitch (2025) including budget, domestic and international box office gross, DVD and Blu-ray sales reports, total earnings and profitability.

www.the-numbers.com

To quote @TP2000 ”oof”

 

[LittleBuford]

To quote @TP2000 ”oof”

I'm glad I could put an end to his consternation! It was rough there for a while!

 

[Disney Analyst]

“After two weekends on the big screen, the live-action ‘Lilo’ remake has grossed $330.7 million internationally and $280.1 million domestically.”

Box Office: ‘Lilo & Stitch’ Flies to $610 Million Globally, ‘Mission: Impossible 8’ and ‘Sinners’ Hit $350 Million Milestone

Box office milestones abound for Disney's "Lilo & Stitch," Paramont's "Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning" and Warner Bros. "Sinners."

variety.com

Lilo & Stitch (2025) - Financial Information

Financial analysis of Lilo & Stitch (2025) including budget, domestic and international box office gross, DVD and Blu-ray sales reports, total earnings and profitability.

www.the-numbers.com

1 billion incoming.

 

[TP2000]

No one here is anywhere close to being in the movie industry…or they wouldn’t be here. Just like people who “know”
Parks plans aren’t here either…cause they wouldn’t be bothered with it.

This is a fan forum…a Disney one…only certain bugs are attracted to the light. It’s not an academic think tank or cultural round table here

Thank you for the reminder! Even I sometimes can be convinced I'm chatting with "experts" in the topic's field, when clearly none of us are experts at anything we discuss here; E Ticket hourly capacity, box office trends, executive strategy for mature park development, WDI priorities in modern storytelling, etc., etc.

As for box office and the movie industry, I'd imagine the waiter at a Silver Lake brunch place is more informed on that topic than we are!

What I’ve gleaned from this exchange is that it is common for the overseas box office to start out relatively slower but pick up over time… I wonder why that is? Do movies tend to run longer overseas?

I don't think movies overseas run longer, but maybe they do? If anything, I'd imagine they have more competition from local/national movies in their respective lands. Generally though, the recent live action remakes from Disney have had foreign box office that was 150% or higher than the domestic box office.

Even disastrous Snow White got 136% of its domestic box office overseas. Probably because some of Rachel Zegler's publicity hand grenades she was throwing at her own movie got lost in translation over there.

“After two weekends on the big screen, the live-action ‘Lilo’ remake has grossed $330.7 million internationally and $280.1 million domestically.”

For those of us keeping score, that's a foreign box office that is 117% of its domestic total so far.

To quote @TP2000 ”oof”

It's actually spelled "Oof". It's almost always it's own sentence. It's an old Swedish thing my parents and grandparents used for little unfortunate events that deserved, well, an.... Oof! It's actual origins were the Norwegian language "Uff da!", which was also used, but much less often, in my Swedish household. But "Uff da" was sort of Americanized into Oof! by the mid 20th century by my grandparents. And now you can use it too!

 

[TP2000]

Here's the first pass at weekend box office, gang! Lilo & Stitch dropped 57% and Thunderbolts dropped 50% from last weekend.

It does not appear as though Thunderbolts will hit $400 Million globally at this point. And with a production budget of $180 Million, that means it will lose a substantial amount of money for Burbank at the box office. That's definitely an Oof!

As always, final numbers will be available for this weekend by tomorrow afternoon.

The Numbers - Weekend Box Office Chart for October 31, 2025

Weekend Domestic Box Office Chart for the weekend of October 31, 2025

thenumbers.com

 

[TP2000]

1 billion incoming.

Will it though? It would seem to be more on a trajectory towards $850 Million or less, even with Japan's debut next weekend.

Regardless of whether it makes $800 Million or $1 Billion at the global box office, it's a huge money maker for Burbank and the Rideback Ranch kids over the hill. Thanks to its very modest $100 Million production costs from Rideback Ranch, it already crossed into profitability just as this weekend was starting.

I wonder if Burbank learns a lesson from that? The cubicle army on the Burbank lot can't be pleased at what the success of Lilo & Stitch means for their future.

 

[LittleBuford]

It's actually spelled "Oof". It's almost always it's own sentence. It's an old Swedish thing my parents and grandparents used for little unfortunate events that deserved, well, an.... Oof! It's actual origins were the Norwegian language "Uff da!", which was also used, but much less often, in my Swedish household. But "Uff da" was sort of Americanized into Oof! by the mid 20th century by my grandparents. And now you can use it too!

Though I don't doubt you have family and cultural reasons for using it, the English "oof" is a cognate of the Swedish "uff" rather than a derivative of it (it exists in many Germanic languages). It is attested as far back as the eighteenth century.

Oxford English Dictionary

The OED is the definitive record of the English language, featuring 600,000 words, 3 million quotations, and over 1,000 years of English.

www.oed.com

Definition of OOF

—used to express discomfort, surprise, or dismay… See the full definition

www.merriam-webster.com

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

1 billion incoming.

Not sure about that…

But if true it shows how easy this is because I thought that months ago

At first glance….looks like it slow a little more than I thought domestically but picked up internationally?

Let’s see if it becomes “the choice of grandma” as the rest of US schools dump out?

 

[Disney Irish]

Here's the first pass at weekend box office, gang! Lilo & Stitch dropped 57% and Thunderbolts dropped 50% from last weekend.

It does not appear as though Thunderbolts will hit $400 Million globally at this point. And with a production budget of $180 Million, that means it will lose a substantial amount of money for Burbank at the box office. That's definitely an Oof!

As always, final numbers will be available for this weekend by tomorrow afternoon.

View attachment 861860

The Numbers - Weekend Box Office Chart for October 31, 2025

Weekend Domestic Box Office Chart for the weekend of October 31, 2025

thenumbers.com

The same thing was said about Cap4 and look it hit over $400M, $413.6M to be exact. Thunderbolts has been tracking ahead of Cap4 for the most part since its second weekend, and is only $3.8M behind it now domestically at its same point at the 31 day mark. Btw, that is how you do a real comparison.

So I’d say it still has a good shot at breaking $400M, and coming in around the same as Cap4.

 

[Disney Irish]

Not sure about that…

But if true it shows how easy this is because I thought that months ago

At $610M WW on it second weekend, basically doubling its first weekend. So I wouldn’t say it’s for sure hitting $1B, but at this point I’d be surprised if it doesn’t.

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

The same thing was said about Cap4 and look it hit over $400M, $413.6M to be exact. Thunderbolts has been tracking ahead of Cap4 for the most part since its second weekend, and is only $3.8M behind it now domestically at its same point at the 31 day mark. Btw, that is how you do a real comparison.

So I’d say it still has a good shot at breaking $400M, and coming in around the same as Cap4.

JHC…get off the marvel flops for the good of humanity
Stop trying to parse them.

They’re wet farts…they need to do way the hell better

 

[Disney Analyst]

It’s a shame as Thunderbolts is a really good addition to the MCU library.

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

At $610M WW on it second weekend, basically doubling its first weekend. So I wouldn’t say it’s for sure hitting $1B, but at this point I’d be surprised if it doesn’t.

You would say…there’s also a disconnect between the reality - which is movies makes like 80% of their box office gross or more in the first 3 weeks - and some opinions around here.

This one has a shot because of what it is and a lack of options for the target demographics…for sure. But $400 mil after it’s no longer a new release is a hill to climb for sure.

I won’t doubt the little blue animal too much though…I think I’ve been mention all year what he is and why it hit…and also why the others that haven’t, never were gonna

 

[Disney Irish]

JHC…get off the marvel flops for the good of humanity
Stop trying to parse them.

They’re wet farts…they need to do way the hell better

This is a box office discussion thread as I’ve been told many times, I’m discussing the box office. And I’m trying to keep things honest here with the calculations and comparisons. You are more than welcome to join in on the discussion or if you think it’s a waste of time you can bow out. But please refrain from telling me to stop talking about a current movie and how it’s doing at the box office, as many have told me the same.