Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

[Vegas Disney Fan]

Nothing I said implied otherwise. The question I responded to was whether people are aware the movie exists.

It’s a research firm that asks people to list what movies are forthcoming, without prompting them. We don’t typically talk about them because it doesn’t really correlate super well to intent. But it certainly is a good measure of current awareness.

I knew it was coming but didn’t know it was opening Thanksgiving until I saw this thread. I haven’t seen a single ad for it anywhere.

That said I don’t think it’s going to matter in the big picture, it might have an impact on the opening weekend box office but if it’s anywhere near as good as the first I think word of mouth will be all it needs, if word of mouth is good I’ll be shocked if Moana 2 doesn’t surpass IO2 as the new record holder.

Moana is still consistently in the top 10 for streaming, and it’s nearly an decade old, I think the potential audience is huge.

 

[Farerb]

‘Moana 2’ “Could Eclipse” ‘Inside Out 2’ At The Box Office: What AMC Boss Adam Aron Heard

Despite the sluggishness of the fall box office with the bombing of Joker: Folie à Deux and the flat-footed start of Venom: The Last Dance, the holiday frames are coming up roses. Specifically Disney’s Moana 2 could help fuel the year along with Wicked and Mufasa: The Lion King to nearly $9...

deadline.com

 

[Farerb]

‘Moana 2’ Tracking for Record-Shattering $125M-$135M Thanksgiving Opening

The animated feature is eyeing the biggest debut ever for the holiday, besting fellow Walt Disney Animation's 'Frozen.' It could also beat 'Frozen II' to become the top Thanksgiving earner of all time.

www.hollywoodreporter.com

 

[Vegas Disney Fan]

TWDC will do what TWDC will do regardless of who is in office. In my opinion Disney will continue to make the content it wants to make, I think going forward, they will try to reduce budgets so they can still make the content they want to make and be able to at least break even at the box office.

Combine that with a blockbuster here and there and they should to ok.

For the most part I agree, I think they’ve already made minor course corrections this year and have already started releasing “safer” movies at the box office.



Whether that’s good or bad is debatable, good for the bottom line but probably bad from a choice perspective, I expect a lot more safe sequels and less new content that’s not already proven at the box office.

 

[Farerb]

‘Mufasa: The Lion King’ Hopes To Roar $66M+ Opening Or More – Box Office Early Look

Six weekend projection from Quorum has 'Mufasa: The Lion King' at $66M+

deadline.com

 

[Disney Irish]

Weekend Box Office -

Not much changes in the last weekend before the start of the Holiday movie blitz the rest of the year.

Wicked and Gladiator 2 start us off next weekend before Moana 2 comes in the weekend after for Thanksgiving.

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

Weekend Box Office -

View attachment 825032

Not much changes in the last weekend before the start of the Holiday movie blitz the rest of the year.

Wicked and Gladiator 2 start us off next weekend before Moana 2 comes in the weekend after for Thanksgiving.

Actually Red One comes out this coming weekend.

 

[Disney Irish]

Actually Red One comes out this coming weekend.

Yes I’m aware, but it’s not predicted to be a huge movie only opening $20-$30M, so that is why I didn’t mention it. But thank you for mentioning it.

 

[BrianLo]

This weekends big budget misfire, brought to you by Amazon.

Dwayne Johnson & Chris Evans’ $200M+ Christmas Action Movie ‘Red One’ Opens To $34M: Is It A Bomb Or A Streamer’s Rounding Error? — Sunday AM Box Office

The expensive Red One from Amazon MGM Studios made $3.7 million in previews, with the Dwayne Johnson and Chris Evans movie now eyeing a $35M opening.

deadline.com

 

[Disney Analyst]

Well, as 2024 quickly comes to an end, is it safe to say Disney is back this year as the king of the box office? It looks like they will indeed top the rest, landing as the #1 studio again.

Welcome back Disney. I guess all it takes is to avoid originals, and focus on IP …

 

[Disney Irish]

Well, as 2024 quickly comes to an end, is it safe to say Disney is back this year as the king of the box office? It looks like they will indeed top the rest, landing as the #1 studio again.

Welcome back Disney. I guess all it takes is to avoid originals, and focus on IP …

Yes, 2023 was more the anomaly than the rule. And despite all the rants from posters here about lack of originals the market has spoken, they like continued use of familiar IP.

 

[MisterPenguin]

Yes, 2023 was more the anomaly than the rule. And despite all the rants from posters here about lack of originals the market has spoken, they like continued use of familiar IP.

Maybe "Red One" would have done better if they called it "Red One II."

 

[Animaniac93-98]

Wild Robot has now made about 4x its opening weekend, up to an estimated $137.7 million domestically.

This will be the last weekend it's in the top 5 (8 total), but its example of real word of mouth building box office.

 

[Disney Analyst]

Anyone seeing Wicked this week? I’m so stinking excited: going to a Wednesday early access screening, which looks very well sold. Thinking this may be a BIG box office.

 

[Disney Irish]

Here is the weekend box office -

Fairly slow for the last weekend before the major holiday releases start.

 

[Disney Irish]

Anyone seeing Wicked this week? I’m so stinking excited: going to a Wednesday early access screening, which looks very well sold. Thinking this may be a BIG box office.

I'll probably go on Thursday. So far predictions I've seen show ~$100M weekend, some have it around $80M, so we'll see.

 

[Disney Analyst]

I'll probably go on Thursday. So far predictions I've seen show ~$100M weekend, some have it around $80M, so we'll see.

I certainly hope it shocks everyone with a bigger than expected box office.

 

[Vegas Disney Fan]

This weekends big budget misfire, brought to you by Amazon.

Dwayne Johnson & Chris Evans’ $200M+ Christmas Action Movie ‘Red One’ Opens To $34M: Is It A Bomb Or A Streamer’s Rounding Error? — Sunday AM Box Office

The expensive Red One from Amazon MGM Studios made $3.7 million in previews, with the Dwayne Johnson and Chris Evans movie now eyeing a $35M opening.

deadline.com

I’m curious to see if this gets a word of mouth boost next week… the critics hate it but it has a 90% audience score on rotten tomatoes.

Sounds like a silly and fun Christmas movie, something critics hate but “real” people tend to love.

 

[Tony the Tigger]

Anyone seeing Wicked this week? I’m so stinking excited: going to a Wednesday early access screening, which looks very well sold. Thinking this may be a BIG box office.

We are hosting a soundtrack listening party at my store, with promotional posters to give to all attendees, plus one beanie of some kind via raffle at the end. Folks are encouraged to dress up or at least wear pink or green.

I am interested to see both Wicked and Gladiator, so we’ll see how that plays out. I tend to avoid a theater unless it’s at least half empty.

 

[Tony the Tigger]

I’m curious to see if this gets a word of mouth boost next week… the critics hate it but it has a 90% audience score on rotten tomatoes.

Sounds like a silly and fun Christmas movie, something critics hate but “real” people tend to love.

I wonder if the TV commercials are missing the mark. I was under the impression the older guy playing Santa was the lead, rather than it being “a Dwayne Johnson movie.”

I wasn’t really paying attention, though.