Wilma?

SpongeScott

Well-Known Member
mousermerf said:
I don't take anything seriously beyond a 2 day warning. The trackers have made mistakes many times before - so i'm not too worried at the moment.
there's a big difference between being worried and being informed.
 

HauntedPirate

Park nostalgist
Premium Member
If you're in Orlando and south, either batten down the hatches or start getting out of town now.

I don't see any chance this is going to weaken once it moves into the warmer Gulf waters. Better to get out now than take a chance.
 

Boray

Member
So what do I do now? My family and I are supposed to leave our home on Friday morning (driving), arrive at our timeshare on Saturday afternoon. Should we push our vacation back a week? (which isn't an impossibility, but slightly inconvenient) or do we take a chance that the storm will go south? I've never been near, much less in, a hurricane before. I don't know what to do. I've got a 6 year old son and a 3 year old daughter. I guess we'll just have to wait and see. Anyone with any advice on this would be a big help.
 

SpongeScott

Well-Known Member
Boray said:
So what do I do now? My family and I are supposed to leave our home on Friday morning (driving), arrive at our timeshare on Saturday afternoon. Should we push our vacation back a week? (which isn't an impossibility, but slightly inconvenient) or do we take a chance that the storm will go south? I've never been near, much less in, a hurricane before. I don't know what to do. I've got a 6 year old son and a 3 year old daughter. I guess we'll just have to wait and see. Anyone with any advice on this would be a big help.
Go. The first day or two may be wet and windy, but it will move on out.
 

disneygirl_wdw

New Member
arsonheart said:
OMG I can not belive this could ruin my whole vacation. I'm going to Orlando on thursday this is just so sad. :(
I will be flying down Thursday night for my birthday trip. I am not cancelling my trip for another hurricane. I already had to reschedule one for Frances last year. I just hope MNSSHP is going to be ok. I already have tickets for the 23rd.
Right now on the weather channel it's saying storms. Does anyone know if this is affecting the cruise they will be back at the dock on Thurs. ? My parents are on it and this was my mom's worst fear.
 

pinkrose

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
After Fl, they say she'll go back out to sea, then to New England. This is posted on weathertalk.com

12z ECMWF...Once again with a massive phasing, New England landfall of Wilma indicated.

EURO indicates a **Sub 940 mb** low slamming into Maine!!!


and...

The high resolution maps (according to DT, pro met on Eastern US WX) do indeed confirm the Euro outputting a 940 mb low landfalling on the New Brunswick/Maine Border. This solution would bring hurricane force winds to Much of New England and perhaps portions of the Northeast, and may produce some snow on the backside in mountainous areas of NH, VT, etc.
 

SpongeScott

Well-Known Member
pinkrose said:
After Fl, they say she'll go back out to sea, then to New England. This is posted on weathertalk.com

12z ECMWF...Once again with a massive phasing, New England landfall of Wilma indicated.

EURO indicates a **Sub 940 mb** low slamming into Maine!!!


and...

The high resolution maps (according to DT, pro met on Eastern US WX) do indeed confirm the Euro outputting a 940 mb low landfalling on the New Brunswick/Maine Border. This solution would bring hurricane force winds to Much of New England and perhaps portions of the Northeast, and may produce some snow on the backside in mountainous areas of NH, VT, etc.
not trying to throw cold water on your post (you know me better than that), but that's crazy--in what they say it might do and speculating that far out. How many days would it be before it would hit the New England area? Two weeks?

I'm preparing for a wet, windy weekend--and hopefully nothing more.
 

pinkrose

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
SpongeScott said:
not trying to throw cold water on your post (you know me better than that), but that's crazy--in what they say it might do and speculating that far out. How many days would it be before it would hit the New England area? Two weeks?

I'm preparing for a wet, windy weekend--and hopefully nothing more.
I'm hoping it's wrong too. As you know with the models, they are off the wall sometimes.

Hopefully it won't get to windy for you down there.:wave: :wave:
 

NemoRocks78

Seized
SpongeScott said:
084537W_sm.gif
:fork: :brick:
 

NemoRocks78

Seized
AliciaLuvzDizne said:
um
I'm flying in on sunday around noon
is this thing going to affect my flight? probably
There might be a delay....not sure if it'd be canceled all together, especially since it looks like O-Town will be spared.....

Let's just hope it'll be pushed south of Florida.
 

Tim G

Well-Known Member
mousermerf said:
I don't take anything seriously beyond a 2 day warning. The trackers have made mistakes many times before - so i'm not too worried at the moment.
Well... I do... If they issue a "watch" on this thing it might be to late...
 

AliciaLuvzDizne

Well-Known Member
NemoRocks said:
There might be a delay....not sure if it'd be canceled all together, especially since it looks like O-Town will be spared.....

Let's just hope it'll be pushed south of Florida.
im more worried about my actual flight being affected (im not the best flyer) rather than delays
i can handle delays
 

CapnStinxy

Member
Fine, you don't think it's funny.

What I find bothersome is that people all over the country, many of whom have lived their whole lives in places that have never felt a hurricane, are generating quite a lot of (ultimately) useless foaming and fear-mongering. It's not just this board, but - seemingly - everywhere I turn across the internet. It's as if everyone who watched CNN storm coverage or perused the appalling "Weather Underground" site is suddenly an expert. The immediate manefestation of that dubious expertise is, in the main, FREAKING OUT.

If you look at the NOAA/NHC's forecast map, and dotted line at the center of the much-discussed cone of uncertainty, it intersects the west coast of Florida at Naples. I live a scant 35 miles north of that intersection, so it doesn't take much drift for me and most everyone I know to really be in the soup. If it makes landfall anywhere between here and Punta Gorda, there's a good chance my home could be flooded and badly damaged. If it stays to the south...well, my house took a beating from Charley and stayed in one piece, so I'd be less concerned.

I'm about as prepared as I'm going to be. I've lived here long enough to have honed my plans to the least bad of the available alternatives. If the storm is coming, it's coming, and there's nothing I can do to change that. I can take prudent steps to minimize the risk to my own life, that of my pets, and damage to my property, but there are no guarantees. To (figuratively) flail around accomplishes exactly nothing but spreading a lot of bum information.
 

Woody13

New Member
000
Wtnt34 Knhc 190552
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Wilma Intermediate Advisory Number 15a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
2 Am Edt Wed Oct 19 2005

...wilma Becomes An Extremely Dangerous Hurricane...

A Hurricane Watch Is In Effect For The East Coast Of The Yucatan
Peninsula From Cabo Catoche To Punta Gruesa.

A Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect In Cuba For The Provinces Of
Matanzas Westward Through Pinar Del Rio...and For The Isle Of
Youth. A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are
Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For Honduras From The
Honduras/nicaragua Border Westward To Cabo Camaron.

A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Remain In Effect For
The Cayman Islands.

All Interests In The Florida Keys And The Florida Peninsula Should
Closely Monitor The Progress Of Wilma.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 2 Am Edt...0600z...the Center Of Hurricane Wilma Was Located Near
Latitude 17.0 North...longitude 82.2 West Or About 170 Miles...
270 Km...south-southwest Of Grand Cayman And About 400 Miles...640
Km...southeast Of Cozumel Mexico.

Wilma Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 8 Mph...13 Km/hr. A
Turn Toward The Northwest Is Expected During The Next 24 Hours.

maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 150 Mph...240 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Wilma Is An Extremely Dangerous Category Four Hurricane On
The Saffir-simpson Scale. The Hurricane Could Become A Category
Five Hurricane Today.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 15 Miles...30 Km...
From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up
To 155 Miles...250 Km. Noaa Buoy 42057 Recently Reported A Wind Gust
To Near 60 Mph...96 Km/hr.

Latest Minimum Central Pressure Just Reported By An Air Force
Reconnaissance Plane Was Is 901 Mb...26.61 Inches.

Wilma Is Expected To Produce Storm Total Accumulations Of 10 To 15
Inches...with Local Amounts Near 25 Inches In Mountainous Terrain
Across Cuba Through Friday. Additional Rainfall Accumulations Of 5
To 10 Inches...with Local Amounts Of 15 Inches...are Possible
Across The Cayman Islands...swan Island...and Jamaica Through
Thursday. Storm Total Accumulations Of 4 To 6 Inches...with
Isolated Amounts Of 8 To 12 Inches...are Possible From Honduras
Northward To The Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico Through Thursday.

Repeating The 2 Am Edt Position...17.0 N... 82.2 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...150
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...901 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
5 Am Edt.

Forecaster Avila
 

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