I can’t say for sure. I’ve been looking at DVC availability for Summer but that’s a whole different ballgame. BCV is still booking solid on the first day of the 7 month window in June and July which is on par for last summer. I didn’t look before that. Hotels are different than DVC. Disney did decide to bring BC and Wilderness Lodge back around Memorial Day so to me that points to an expected ramp up of park capacity and bookings. Disney knows what bookings look like and has better projections than any of us do so I do think it’s a good indication of expected demand increasing then but there’s no direct evidence anyone is cancelling earlier in the year in favor of that time. That’s pure speculation. They did push the re-opening of one of the All Stars from beginning of Feb to end of March. The assumption is demand for Feb and early March is lighter than hoped or expected when the original date was set. There’s no direct evidence anyone cancelled during that time either but it seems possible given the roll out of the vaccine and the current 2nd wave hitting most of the country right now.I suppose the other piece of this anecdotal puzzle might come from people who have been checking room availability in late spring/early summer, to see if anyone has noticed a decrease in available rooms for that period of time--which would correspond to people cancelling their early April reservations and moving them back.
But if availability during that time has remained the same (or possibly even increased), then it would seem to point to WDW unlocking more rooms for a planned increase in capacity.
Is there anybody following this thread who's been in the middle of booking a late spring/early summer reservation and noticed any changes one way or the other?