I'm trying to keep my response on topic, which mostly is about DVC, particularly a potential conversion of Wilderness Lodge hotel rooms to DVC. So, let's give it a try ...
Affordability (or lack there of) is a central concept in understanding corporate Disney's thinking, in understanding why "WDW is effectively done with deluxe resorts" (as
@WDW1974 wrote in his first post on this thread), in understanding why Disney is essentially being forced to convert what once were full hotel rooms to DVC.
Disney needs to convert these rooms because they no longer can fill them. One large chunk of WDW's customer base no longer can afford them while another large chunk of WDW's customer base doesn't see the value in paying $500/night for a small (by luxury hotel standards) hotel room.
With its current management approach of charging more for less, the only way Disney is going to get these rooms filled is to hope that some unsuspecting tourist stops by a DVC kiosk while the pixie dust is flowing and signs up for a loan at 15% to finance their next 40 years of vacations.
There's a reason Disney is allowing a Four Seasons to be built on property, close to the Wildness Lodge. It's because those used to spending $500/night for a room know that Disney's Deluxe Resorts don't make the grade. Disney is losing that crowd to other hotels such as the nearby Waldorf Astoria. The Four Seasons is Disney's way of trying to recapture some of that lost revenue.
Even the $500/night hotel shopper looks for value.
Whether its ticket price or hotel rates, declining quality, delayed attractions, falling food quality & choices, generic napkins, non-functioning animatronics, or burned out bulbs at the Grand Floridian, these are all symptoms of a bigger problem:
corporate Disney's contempt for WDW's paying customers.
In growing numbers, people from North America and Europe have seen this and have stopped paying WDW's prices. They are either being priced out or no longer see the value. Disney's attendance from these markets has declined.
What has propped up WDW's attendance (and revenue) over the last few years has been a growing market from South America, a market that appears to have plateaued. (At WDW prices, Disney was chasing after the top 2-3% of income earners in those countries, a relatively small market anyway.)
WDW's current approach (higher prices, declining quality, delayed attractions) is driving away its traditional market and there are no more new markets on the horizon to replace South America.
What's next? How does WDW grow?
Disney needs to come up with a long-term strategy for WDW growth.
Continued price increases is not a path to sustainable growth. It's like deficit spending. It works today but boomerangs later. As I've analyzed in other posts in the past, there are signs that the price increases of the last few years have backfired on hotel occupancy, as well as food, beverage, and merchandise spending.
Disney needs to stop with the price increases & petty quality cuts and start adding value back into a WDW vacation.
Whether it's someone staying in a $100/night Value Resort or a $500/night Deluxe Resort, Disney needs to make its paying customers feel like they are getting their money's worth. Both onsite and offsite guests need to see the theme parks as dynamic, exciting centers of excellence.
Disney leadership needs to create
new opportunities for revenue growth at WDW instead of cashing in on what prior leadership created.
Disney is a company built on creativity. Corporate leadership needs to stop running WDW like a Wall Street investment firm and start running it like a company whose core business is imagination.