Better not take the chance, get there at 4am and be the first in line....
On another note I’m starting to think the Ebay scalper prices are worth it. If you re patient you can usually find one on eBay that is maybe $15-$30 more than the sticker price, depending on how many were made. Sounds better than waking up really early and waiting in line for a couple hours. Of course that’s not considering the added perk of waking up early - having Disneyland to “yourself” for a few hours.