From the Wall Street Journal (For those who believe Disney will attempt to purchase the Spiderverse from Sony)
Don’t Count on a Hollywood Showdown at Sony
By Jacky Wong
April 9, 2019 6:25 a.m. ET
Activist investor Daniel Loeb seems to be taking aim at Sony SNE 8.20% for the second time in six years. He failed to rally support for a spinoff of movie and music assets in 2013, and he may fail again.
Shares in the Japanese company jumped 9% Tuesday after Reuters reported that Third Point, Mr. Loeb’s $14 billion New York-based hedge fund, is building a stake to push for changes, including the sale of assets. The fund has tried this before: It amassed as much as 7% of Sony in 2013, after a weak couple of years for the stock, and asked it to spin off its entertainment business. The company rejected the proposal and Third Point sold its stake in 2014, its defeat sweetened by a nearly 20% profit.
This time, Mr. Loeb’s move may be similarly opportunistic. Sony has lost around a quarter of its value in the past six months due to slowing sales of its PlayStation consoles. The activist investor may also have been emboldened by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s corporate-governance reforms: Third Point won a rare boardroom fight at Tokyo-based Seven & i Holdings , the owner of 7-Eleven, in 2016.
Sony has lost around a quarter of its value in the past six months due to slowing sales of its PlayStation consoles. But the battle with Sony will be tougher. It will likely revolve once again around Sony’s entertainment assets. The value of quality content has ballooned with the popularity of video and music streaming. Disney last month completed its acquisition of the entertainment assets of 21st Century Fox for $71.3 billion after a bidding war with Comcast .
The assets at stake include one of the five big Los Angeles movie studios and one of the world’s top three music labels. If they were for sale, they would likely attract the likes of Amazon.com or Netflix. Brokerage house Jefferies estimated the value of Sony’s movie and music assets at around $35 billion, equal to about 60% of its total market value, in a research note last week. Selling or spinning off those assets would provide a short-term boost but at the expense of long-term growth potential.
Sony’s biggest pushback against the activist investor is that it managed to deliver superb returns—its shares have more than tripled in the past six years—by not succumbing to Third Point’s demands in 2013. It did take some of Mr. Loeb’s advice, such as selling the unprofitable personal-computer business, but Sony largely stayed its course, transforming the old Walkman maker into an entertainment company. Movies, music and games now account for more than half of operating profit, versus 24% in 2013.
Mr. Loeb is unlikely to end up losing his shirt on Sony, particularly given his timing. But investors hoping for a Hollywood showdown could end up disappointed.