Only a "Fool" Would Believe the 5th Park is Near...

MagicHappens1971

Well-Known Member
Yep. They may actually be about 2 years behind already the way they build. Iger has been so focused on China he's missing what's going on at the flagship resort. They are already missing out on hotel revenue with occupancy rates close to 90%.
:( It's honestly so upsetting, does anyone know what prompted TWDC to want to build SDL when they could've easily spent that money on improving WDW?
 

Progress.City

Well-Known Member
My premise is that adding parks eventually becomes a case of diminishing returns. Disney is much closer to that point then Universal is.
Not when potential market share is up. As long as there is market growth, there shouldn't be diminishing returns.

Also, don't forget that Universal shares its market with Sea World and the OCCC (as well as all the businesses on I-Drive).

New content also drives market growth. Universal's new parks may do just that. If Disney's fifth gate is original, it may do just that as well.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
What if Universal's 4th gate is Sea World? It's probably for sale for the right price and desperately needs help. If they really build a 3rd gate by say 2020 they would be at 4 gates, equal with WDW. We all know WDW can't build a 5th gate by 2020 unless they break ground tomorrow.
 

MagicHappens1971

Well-Known Member
What if Universal's 4th gate is Sea World? It's probably for sale for the right price and desperately needs help. If they really build a 3rd gate by say 2020 they would be at 4 gates, equal with WDW. We all know WDW can't build a 5th gate by 2020 unless they break ground tomorrow.
Would Universal really wanna go that far out of their bubble? I honestly feel one of WDWs best factors is (as Walt wanted) that they have everything within a "bubble". And I feel like SeaWorld is a little far out of reach just compared to the rest of Universals stuff.
 

GhostHost1000

Premium Member
What if Universal's 4th gate is Sea World? It's probably for sale for the right price and desperately needs help. If they really build a 3rd gate by say 2020 they would be at 4 gates, equal with WDW. We all know WDW can't build a 5th gate by 2020 unless they break ground tomorrow.

That could be possible actually however there are sea worlds in other places as well and not sure they'd want those
 

Disneyhead'71

Well-Known Member
Would Universal really wanna go that far out of their bubble? I honestly feel one of WDWs best factors is (as Walt wanted) that they have everything within a "bubble". And I feel like SeaWorld is a little far out of reach just compared to the rest of Universals stuff.
Universal's new property is about a mile from Sea World. I am sure Universal would love the SeaWorld real estate. They don't want "SeaWorld".
 

danlb_2000

Premium Member
Not when potential market share is up. As long as there is market growth, there shouldn't be diminishing returns.

Also, don't forget that Universal shares its market with Sea World and the OCCC (as well as all the businesses on I-Drive).

New content also drives market growth. Universal's new parks may do just that. If Disney's fifth gate is original, it may do just that as well.

I don't necessarily agree with that. It seems that the main point of having more parks is to convince people to stay longer, but there is a limit to how long most people will spend on a vacation. If Disney suddenly doubled their attendance what would make more sense, having 10 parks, or just 5 with the same number attractions?
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Would Universal really wanna go that far out of their bubble? I honestly feel one of WDWs best factors is (as Walt wanted) that they have everything within a "bubble". And I feel like SeaWorld is a little far out of reach just compared to the rest of Universals stuff.
I don't think they have a choice. With buses they can move people around pretty easy although the roads around there are really congested. Maybe a light rail or monorail system but that expensive.
That could be possible actually however there are sea worlds in other places as well and not sure they'd want those
No clue if they would only be sold as a package deal. I'm not even sure that they would keep the sea animals and theme. They have a bunch of coasters and rides already. Maybe a reboot of the park.
 

Progress.City

Well-Known Member
What if Universal's 4th gate is Sea World? It's probably for sale for the right price and desperately needs help. If they really build a 3rd gate by say 2020 they would be at 4 gates, equal with WDW. We all know WDW can't build a 5th gate by 2020 unless they break ground tomorrow.
Comcast won't make a move to acquire it until it goes bankrupt. That's what they did with the 475 acres they recently acquired for USO. The previous owner of those acres went bancrupt and the properties went to court for bancrupcy procedure and they moved in for the kill.

They're like sharks. They'll wait by the gates with extreme patience for the right moment to attack.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Comcast won't make a move to acquire it until it goes bankrupt. That's what they did with the 475 acres they recently acquired for USO. The previous owner of those acres went bancrupt and the properties went to court for bancrupcy procedure and they moved in for the kill.

They're like sharks. They'll wait by the gates with extreme patience for the right moment to attack.
Blackstone will be tough to negotiate with. They don't like to lose either.
 

Progress.City

Well-Known Member
I don't necessarily agree with that. It seems that the main point of having more parks is to convince people to stay longer, but there is a limit to how long most people will spend on a vacation. If Disney suddenly doubled their attendance what would make more sense, having 10 parks, or just 5 with the same number attractions?
Let me give an example of what I'm talking about. In this example, I am making up numbers to make a point...

Let's say there are 40 million Star Wars fans who have never been to an Orlando theme park and had no intention of ever going to an Orlando-area theme park.

Let's say, after Star Wars Land opens, these 40 million changed their mind and decide to go to WDW to experience Star Wars Land.

Not only has WDW gained 40 million new visitors, but the Orlando-area theme park market grew as well by 40 million people.

In this case, WDW not only won those 40 million new park guests, but their market share for the Orlando-area also went up because these same 40 million stayed within the 4 theme parks and WDW property and did not go to the other area attractions.

Now, let's say half of those 40 million are also Star Trek fans. Let's say, Universal builds a Star Trek theme park in Orlando - its third gate. That will mean that 20 million of those 40 million Star Wars fans will also visit Universal. This would decrease Disney's market share growth because they will now be sharing 50% of that growth with Universal.

Now let's say also that there are 60 million Star Trek fans who said they would never go to an Orlando-area theme park. This changes, of course when Universal opens its Star Trek park. This results in Universal growing the Orlando-area theme park market by 40 million guests (60 million minus the 20 million Disney attracted because of Star Wars).

These numbers are pure market growth - growth that would not have happened had either company not opened Star Wars and Star Trek attractions. As you can see, this new growth also has the potential of feeding off one another.

My point is, if Universal is creating new market growth, Disney will loose its share of that market growth if it does nothing to attract it.
 

Mike S

Well-Known Member
Yes the point that Universal can do know wrong, we all know that's how you feel. The ride opens soon we will judge it then.
I don't know why I'm even bothering with you but here's some of my older posts.
Ripsaw Falls needs a 'light' overhaul? It needs a HUGE one. It's literally like floating through a warehouse with some Dudley Do-Right props lying around. It's especially disappointing with Popeye and Jurassic Park right next to it which are both so much better done.
Well, what are you gonna do. Universal was expecting HUGE crowds for this and based on last time it's hard to blame them. On the topic of Hogsmeade station can I just say how even more visibly intruding Dragon Challenge is now that you can see it from even more angles? It's just a little pet peeve of mine to have a huge honking coaster in the middle of an otherwise highly themed environment.View attachment 59562 It sits on a lot of land as well, land that could be used for something more fitting like the Forbidden Forest.View attachment 59563 Just my $0.02, I know it probably wouldn't be a popular decision. I just think after Diagon Alley they could work on plussing Hogsmeade since DA has outdone it completely.
I'm also not a fan the human mannequins in E.T. or most of KidZone. Thankfully I won't have to deal with the latter much longer. The Cat in the Hat ride could also use some work. Fear Factor and the unused Toon Lagoon theater need to go as well. The Lost Continent may look great but the attractions are completely lacking (sound familiar?). I really hope the rumor of removing Dr. Doom for an Avengers E Ticket is true as well. Tower of Terror is the much superior drop ride. I have plenty of criticisms for Universal but based on their recent actions I also see from them a want to fix things unlike Disney who takes two steps forward with things like Avatar and Star Wars and 4 steps back with Frostrom and Toy Story Land. Don't even get me started on the missed potential of New Fantasyland.

You'll probably just ignore all of this and continue to paint me as super Universal fanboy so just go ahead.
 

odmichael

Well-Known Member
I think your comment is extremely accurate, but how much longer is Disney going to wait to fight back? With the glacial rate of Disney's construction, they'd need to start taking action now to get anything done so it opens near Universals newer offerings.
Can't speak for everyone. But Star Wars Land is enough for me to bounce back to Disney World for a vacation. That's probably part of what they are banking on is that people won't just go to Hollywood Studios but all of the parks.
 

Stripes

Premium Member
If Universal starts building a third park, Disney is going to respond. Bob Iger is incompetent but he's not a dumba**. Either they'll do a full-scale remodel of Epcot or build a great number of new E-tickets across all of the parks (and market the h*** out of it). Personally, I think a video-game theme park as being rumored is an incredibly moronic move. Let's be honest here, hardly any females play them (there goes 50% of your market), Nintendo is pretty stale nowadays (due to their complete inability to produce mobile games). Obviously that's just rumors, just putting my opinion out there. If Universal ends up doing a Dreamworks oriented park, that would be much, much better, IMO, so many strong IPs they could use.
 

MagicHappens1971

Well-Known Member
I don't know why I'm even bothering with you but here's some of my older posts.


I'm also not a fan the human mannequins in E.T. or most of KidZone. Thankfully I won't have to deal with the latter much longer. The Cat in the Hat ride could also use some work. Fear Factor and the unused Toon Lagoon theater need to go as well. The Lost Continent may look great but the attractions are completely lacking (sound familiar?). I really hope the rumor of removing Dr. Doom for an Avengers E Ticket is true as well. Tower of Terror is the much superior drop ride. I have plenty of criticisms for Universal but based on their recent actions I also see from them a want to fix things unlike Disney who takes two steps forward with things like Avatar and Star Wars and 4 steps back with Frostrom and Toy Story Land. Don't even get me started on the missed potential of New Fantasyland.

You'll probably just ignore all of this and continue to paint me as super Universal fanboy so just go ahead.
Love this post, especially the part about all the missed potential of New Fantasyland. I've noticed that while Universal has made substantial upgrades, yet they're still lacking a bunch in many areas.
 

odmichael

Well-Known Member
Comcast won't make a move to acquire it until it goes bankrupt. That's what they did with the 475 acres they recently acquired for USO. The previous owner of those acres went bancrupt and the properties went to court for bancrupcy procedure and they moved in for the kill.

They're like sharks. They'll wait by the gates with extreme patience for the right moment to attack.
Sea World has Sharks...3rd gate?
 

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