Moana 2 (Disney Animation - November 2024)

[Casper Gutman]

Mehhh… this will probably make money.

That said, the decision to devalue one of the studios bankable and prestigious IPs by rushing out some hastily repackaged TV episodes absolutely SHOULD come back to bite Disney. It was a stupid desperation move. Moana 2 underperforming would likely be a better thing for fans then if it finds wild success - it would deter Disney from this kind of cheap, hasty behavior and prove the need to carefully nurture franchises. This isn’t 2023 - Disneys has had a very good year at the box office, animation has proved its worth, and the overall situation is much more stable. Moana 2 was not, I believe, produced by the feature animation division, so that group would not bear the brunt of a box office disappointment. I’m not rooting hard for this one.

 

[Farerb]

 

[LSLS]

For all the doubters… Moana is going to be a hit…it’s just a matter of how big…which will depend on quality

For the record, I'd be SHOCKED if it's not. I still think it and Wicked will cannibalize some because people can't afford two movies in a week, but I don't think it's anywhere close to enough to make it a dud. THOUGH, I'll say, I have been totally wrong on this before (not to derail completely, but I was certain Little Mermaid's baseline was $1 billion). If it doesn't hit at LEAST 3rd for the year at the box office, I think it's a disappointment (that would be just under $1 billion worldwide, $362 million domestic). I'm not sure if it will hit Inside Out 2 levels, but I won't be shocked if it does.

One thing my entire cannibalization idea may do is cause it to have more legs. If you go to Wicked this Saturday, maybe you don't go to Moana next Saturday. Instead maybe you go a few weeks later to spread out the costs a bit (or, you got Moana tickets and you wait a few week on Wicked). This will be an interesting next month or so with so many big hitter movies coming out.

 

[DKampy]

For the record, I'd be SHOCKED if it's not. I still think it and Wicked will cannibalize some because people can't afford two movies in a week, but I don't think it's anywhere close to enough to make it a dud. THOUGH, I'll say, I have been totally wrong on this before (not to derail completely, but I was certain Little Mermaid's baseline was $1 billion). If it doesn't hit at LEAST 3rd for the year at the box office, I think it's a disappointment (that would be just under $1 billion worldwide, $362 million domestic). I'm not sure if it will hit Inside Out 2 levels, but I won't be shocked if it does.

One thing my entire cannibalization idea may do is cause it to have more legs. If you go to Wicked this Saturday, maybe you don't go to Moana next Saturday. Instead maybe you go a few weeks later to spread out the costs a bit (or, you got Moana tickets and you wait a few week on Wicked). This will be an interesting next month or so with so many big hitter movies coming out.

Wicked will be the blockbuster of the season…especially given the word of mouth... Apparently it is excellent… have not seen yet myself… but essentially it is this years Barbie…. But that still does not discount Moana

 

[MisterPenguin]

Wicked will be the blockbuster of the season…especially given the word of mouth... Apparently it is excellent… have not seen yet myself… but essentially it is this years Barbie…. But that still does not discount Moana

I thought Inside Out 2 was this years Barbie and Deadpool and Wolverine was this years Oppenheimer. Or is Despicable Me 3 this year's Oppenheimer and Dune Part II this year's Super Mario Bros?

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

Wicked will be the blockbuster of the season…especially given the word of mouth... Apparently it is excellent… have not seen yet myself… but essentially it is this years Barbie…. But that still does not discount Moana

I wonder if Mufasa will surprise this December and take people away from Wicked, if the new story and the new songs are strong.

 

[DKampy]

I wonder if Mufasa will surprise this December and take people away from Wicked, if the new story and the new songs are strong.

I think it will be a strong season…. And Mufasa could surprise people with how well it could do…. This is usually the season where films can show a significant amount of legs