News Major Hurricane Dorian impacts to Walt Disney World 2019

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
The latest Wednesday late night cone update from NOAA.

205313_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

What’s the spread on this one? I think it’s rather loose and not too big currently...right now about 100 miles across.

Bad news is it’s supposed to now go Cat 3...so that will mean a gain in size and strength.

Sorry you’re looking at heavy rain at a minimum from around noon Saturday through Monday night.
That’s a guess for those who are traveling/planning. Not to upset those biting on their pearls...

Hopefully she spins out northeast.
 

Touchdown

Well-Known Member
It’s events like this that always lead me to rent a car during hurricane season, I like the option of getting the hell out of Dodge if I need to. If you can avoid going to Florida this weekend do so, if not be prepared Parks will be closed for part of the Labor Day Weekend.
 
If my drive time is accurate (driving from Buffalo, NY), I'll be getting to the resort about 9am Saturday. Will they be able to check us in that early? Will they close the parks in advance of the storm, or will they wait until it gets really bad?

I looked into rescheduling, but it's just not possible. So I'll be riding it out....just want to be prepared as possible at this point
 

monothingie

Evil will always triumph, because good is dumb.
Premium Member
Original Poster
I want to share the euro model snapshot for Sunday Evening. The Euro model (considered to be the most accurate) has been consistent over the past 3 runs with a southern solution and into the gulf. Ensemble models this morning have reversed their northern trend yesterday and are now south again below route 528. If this trend continues and there is more agreement with the euro model I would expect he NHC track to be adjusted south for their 8 and 11am advisories.

14DE4584-1998-4EAE-B82E-5B2C8C8E9AFB.jpeg
 

Attachments

  • B8DD31C2-35BB-4D44-A70B-06B327BB6B17.jpeg
    B8DD31C2-35BB-4D44-A70B-06B327BB6B17.jpeg
    185 KB · Views: 80

LAKid53

Official Member of the Girly Girl Fan Club
Premium Member
I want to share the euro model snapshot for Sunday Evening. The Euro model (considered to be the most accurate) has been consistent over the past 3 runs with a southern solution and into the gulf. Ensemble models this morning have reversed their northern trend yesterday and are now south again below route 528. If this trend continues and there is more agreement with the euro model I would expect he NHC track to be adjusted south for their 8 and 11am advisories.

View attachment 403135

Good for Orlando. Bad for Dade/Broward/Palm Beach.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
He's obnoxious for telling you to not visit our state during a serious natural disaster and putting unnecessary strain on our resources?
That’s not exactly what I’m saying...Close though

I’m saying if you’re “on the fence” of whether to cancel or not...you’ve already made the decision that you don’t want to be there and it’s just gonna be stressful and not fun anyway - in addition to what you just said.

It’s disappointing...I get...but not the end of the world.

And I try to keep it light...which of course dusters use as a defense/catchall EXCEPT when it doesn’t support getting exactly what they want to pamper themselves...but that’s another story for a less serious topic.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Good for Orlando. Bad for Dade/Broward/Palm Beach.
as is typical
I prefer the latter.
of course...but the gulf is in for a “rough” next “however number of years it’s still there” when it comes to tropicals...as the water temps rise, the storms are being drawn to it like a magnet
Intensification seems to be the developing problem...wouldnt be surprised at all if it picks up more steam than they are predicting now.
 
Last edited:

CJR

Well-Known Member
Even with it going further south, Orlando will still get its share of wind and rain.

I woke up thinking about how my favorite island Castaway Cay will fare, as well as Disney's Vero Beach Resort, which looks to be close to a near direct hit with current tracking.
 

jrhwdw

Well-Known Member
Even with it going further south, Orlando will still get its share of wind and rain.

I woke up thinking about how my favorite island Castaway Cay will fare, as well as Disney's Vero Beach Resort, which looks to be close to a near direct hit with current tracking.
Isn't the NE corner of the Eye the worst?? How far south does it need to go to keep the Eyewall out of Orlando?
 

LAKid53

Official Member of the Girly Girl Fan Club
Premium Member
Isn't the NE corner of the Eye the worst?? How far south does it need to go to keep the Eyewall out of Orlando?

You don't want to be on the back end of the storm....or have the eyewall pass over you.

Haven't seen any reports of the size of the eye from NWS. They skipped the 8:OO AM update as the storm is no longer impacting land.
 

DisneyFreak

Well-Known Member
Even with it going further south, Orlando will still get its share of wind and rain.

I woke up thinking about how my favorite island Castaway Cay will fare, as well as Disney's Vero Beach Resort, which looks to be close to a near direct hit with current tracking.

Vero Beach Resort is the red dot. This is from the 5am update. Still no 8am update from NHC.

403143
 

Register on WDWMAGIC. This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.

Back
Top Bottom