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News Major Hurricane Dorian impacts to Walt Disney World 2019

monothingie

Skyliner Survivor
Premium Member
Original Poster
NWS and NOAA models have this making a beeline for Central Florida this weekend. (There's nothing big happening at WDW this weekend is there?) Several computer models including the Euro and GFS show this developing into a major hurricane before reaching the Space Coast. Map is updated at 5 and 11AM/PM


For Reference Disney Resorts Hurricane Policy.


For Reference DVC’s Hurricane Policy.
 
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TJ Vazquez

Well-Known Member
Supposed to be going to Uni this weekend. Guess there is always a risk when booking a trip to Florida Labor Day weekend.
 

Liberty6

Active Member
At most will be a tropical storm. With tropical systems there’s no lightning which will allow most outdoor rides to continue operations. Really only the ferry could be closed due to winds if they get that high. So minimal to no impact at all.
 

MM311

Active Member
So, we are supposed to go to the Water Parks on Saturday for the first time ever, I know so much is unknown right now, wondering if we should start planning something else...
 

monothingie

Skyliner Survivor
Premium Member
Original Poster
Its a small storm. NHC said they don't expect Dorian to become hurricane (These storms are pretty unpredictable though).
Mostly a rain event. Bring your poncho! (WDW's don't come cheap.)
Once it clears Hispaniola and enters the warm waters of the Bahamas, models will get a better handle on how the system will intensify.

For perspective Hurricane Harvey in 2017 rapidly intensified from a TD to a major Hurricane in a little more than 24 hours once it hit the warm clear waters of the western gulf. Models did not anticipate it until it cleared the Yucatán.

Dorian appears to be taking a similar initial track to Maria, but shifts over the the west rapidly instead of up and out to sea. Granted it’s no where near as powerful as Maria was, the possibility for rapid intensification exists.
 

monothingie

Skyliner Survivor
Premium Member
Original Poster
Usually if it's weather related the airlines won't give you anything since it's not there fault.
Not really. Most airlines will issue travel waivers allowing you to make changes without incurring a change fee. For example United will wave the $200 fee per ticket to change to another later or earlier flight. Provided you are going to the same destination and in the same fare class.
 

WDW862

Well-Known Member
Once it clears Hispaniola and enters the warm waters of the Bahamas, models will get a better handle on how the system will intensify.

For perspective Hurricane Harvey in 2017 rapidly intensified from a TD to a major Hurricane in a little more than 24 hours once it hit the warm clear waters of the western gulf. Models did not anticipate it until it cleared the Yucatán.

Dorian appears to be taking a similar initial track to Maria, but shifts over the the west rapidly instead of up and out to sea. Granted it’s no where near as powerful as Maria was, the possibility for rapid intensification exists.
Dorian is struggling to develop. Path isn't everything. I'd recommend watching Tropical Tidbits, Levi is great.

Reddit.com/r/tropicalweather is also a great place to get information on these storms.
 

Pooh.sHoneyHuntTDL

Well-Known Member
Not really. Most airlines will issue travel waivers allowing you to make changes without incurring a change fee. For example United will wave the $200 fee per ticket to change to another later or earlier flight. Provided you are going to the same destination and in the same fare class.
I was takling about hotel
 

monothingie

Skyliner Survivor
Premium Member
Original Poster
Dorian is struggling to develop. Path isn't everything. I'd recommend watching Tropical Tidbits, Levi is great.

Reddit.com/r/tropicalweather is also a great place to get information on these storms.
Definitely Tropical Tidbits, up where I am in the northeast his site is fantastic for our winter storms.

The question for intensification depends on how organized it is past Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Conditions there are very favorable for development. Let’s see what the models look like then.
 
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