yensidtlaw1969
Well-Known Member
On Broadway the definition of "Flop" is a show that didn't make back its initial capitalization - which, truthfully, it most shows that open on Broadway. So, yes, by that standard Frozen was a flop. A show either closes at a loss and is a "flop" or runs long enough to turn a profit and is a "hit", but the word "hit" gets used casually in marketing, and seeing an ad for a show that calls itself a "Hit Broadway Musical" is not necessarily one that made a profit. It's really, really rare to have a "Hit", which actually turns a profit, and usually requires running for a year or sometimes many more for big shows. And it's even MORE rare to have a hit that can then also make back its running costs every week and actually keep making you a profit. But Disney sunk big money into Frozen feeling that this was for sure their next mega-hit on Broadway and, well, turned out they were way off.Did Frozen on Broadway really flop? I've seen it twice and thought it was fantastic. Much better than Aladdin.
Also as far as where it could fit:
MK: Adventureland expansion
EPCOT: If they build a Columbia country
DHS: This one feels like more of a stretch, don't think the IP is large enough to have an Encanto-land, also don't think there is any existing land where you could plop it.
AK: No fit at all, apart from Antonio's minor story line, the move has nothing to do with animals, nature, or conservation.
That's part of why Lion King will be around seemingly for eternity - that show pays for itself and just keeps making Disney money and they know how rare that is. The odds that they'll ever have another hit that big are astronomical. Truly no show in the history of Broadway has ever made as much money as Lion King. In 2013 it became the first show on Broadway to have ever made a Billion Dollars from just the New York production - Four years later Phantom of the Opera reached that same milestone, despite having an 11 year headstart over Lion King.
Disney has a strange and surprising history with flop shows - Tarzan and Little Mermaid both flopped pretty famously, but I recall hearing that Mary Poppins was also technically a flop when it closed, despite running on Broadway for 8 years. Apparently they just never turned the corner. I'm not sure whether or not Aida turned a profit, but I suspect it would be easier to find the answer if it were yes.
Beauty and the Beast was a big financial hit and was still making money when they closed its Broadway production, but Disney thought they could make more money by putting The Little Mermaid in that theater. Whoops. That's part of why Disney has been exploring a Broadway Revival of Beauty - it's got a proven track record and the Live Action remake only restated its popularity. But Broadway's had a very bumpy road and nothing is clear at the moment.