OK, I have a new short term NDA, so not going to make too many personal comments, but let me share this public comment from the city Finance Director.
http://www.anaheimblog.net/2018/05/15/14614/
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Last Tuesday, city Finance Director Debbie Moreno gave a budget workshop for the Anaheim City Council. It was an overview of city finances and administration. While the $18 minimum wage initiative sponsored by Anaheim Resort unions wasn’t formally on the agenda, it was clear from the numbers that Anaheim city revenues and services will be negatively impacted if it passes.
Moreno reviewed the sources of general fund revenue and where the money goes. The big three tax revenue sources are Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT), sales and use tax and property tax. TOT makes up 39% of general fund revenues, compared to 21% for sales tax and 18% for property tax.
TOT is also the only revenue sources that is both growing robustly and is expected to to continue doing so. TOT revenue grew from $82.6 million in Fiscal Year 2010/11 to $150.3 million in FY 2016/17 – nearly doubling in six years. TOT revenue is projected to hit $195.9 million in FY 2022/23.
By contrast, city revenues from sales and use tax and property tax are relatively flat. Sales tax revenue was $85 million in FY 2010/11 and is projected to be $99.2 million in FY 2022/23. Property tax revenue growth is similarly lethargic.
The online retail revolution will continue to eat away at city sales tax revenue. Cities that bet big on retail-oriented development are going to find themselves in painful financial straits. TOT revenue is largely immune from that trend: you have to physically leave your home and check into a hotel.
Moreno made some other critical points during her presentation. First, she said city “revenues continue to grow but are barely able to keep pace with PERS increases.” She said those increases range from $1.1 million in FY 2018/19 to nearly $12 million in FF 2022/23.
Secondly, factored into those projected revenues are the approved and currently planned 4-Diamond hotels.
79% of general fund revenues go to city services.
Moreno noted that “if any of our assumptions on hotel development don’t materialize, we may need to make adjustments in future years.” Translation, revenues will take a hit of the planned 4-Diamond hotels are cancelled.
Keep in mind the developers of those projects have made it clear they will not proceed with their 4-Diamond hotel projects if the $18 minimum wage initiative passes. If that happens, Anaheim would end up losing millions in future TOT revenues, according the to city’s forecast.<<