SingleRider
Premium Member
They probably want to have it so they don’t have to refund tickets…
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Hurricane Milton coming to FL
- Thread starter Touchdown
- Start date
MerlinTheGoat
Well-Known Member
I know, that's why I said I know about the statistical chances. But the chances of this not hitting the coast as a hurricane are obscenely slim. Like not even worth considering for the layman. People shouldn't look at those chances and think there's actually any hope the thing will fizzle out to a tropical storm and/or take a turn away from FL entirely.
One of the staff of Storm2k, wxman, was claiming the other day that he believed it would end up turning south and hitting between Sarasota and Ft Myers. Even boldly saying closer to Ft Myers was plausible. He's a moderator over there and well respected among the hurricane watching community and apparently has a great track record (he has a career at a private weather prediction company I gather). However, while he was still saying a southern turn was possible as of yesterday, he has since softened on the prediction and deferred to the Tampa projection of the NHC.
There are degrees for what damage it could cause and maybe some minor changes to where it touches land. But I don't see any possibility it won't hit the central western coast of FL as a nasty hurricane.
The consensus of the path in the major (and even most minor) models has been disturbing. I also had a sort of morbid laugh the other day when the NHC threw some shade at some of the models that were showing a shift away from Tampa. That was a bold thing to call out, but also to me indicates they're extremely confident in their claims. That sort of uncharacteristic confidence from them isn't comforting. I can't remember any other point where they've outright called out model dissent like that.
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This is how things change in the final 30 hours or less. Fort Myers was bye bye two days ago and Cape Coral and Fort Myers were fearing/prepared for the worst and hoping for the best. It could still wobble back that way but now Orlando is going to get this far worse compared to most Hurricanes they have had in the past with wind speeds of 100 mph and Cape Coral and Fort Myers will only see 100mph as gusts.
And things can still change quite a lot.
And things can still change quite a lot.
Vegas Disney Fan
Well-Known Member
I may be the exception but I enjoy these, I find it fascinating seeing how the resorts take care of their guests during the storms. (As long as they’re reporting in a safe way)
Smart, I feel like this is the future everywhere. We’ll never be able to prevent damage from the extremes (like a 20’ storm surge) but simple solutions like raising foundations a couple feet would prevent flooding in a lot of normal cases.
This is how I feel about the heat in Vegas, it sucks for a few months every summer but in the 2 decades I’ve lived here I’ve never once had to worry about losing my life, or losing my home.
The last couple years have really made me reevaluate my “retire to Florida” plan, 50% as a result of storms, 50% a result from how negatively Disney has changed.
I am the opposite. I would take a Hurricane over a winter. Hurricanes are mass catastrophic, but I have time to prepare. I am still expected to work and drive in the harsh -20 degree weather windchill environments I am in now where there is death by exposure. Extremes everywhere you go, but I miss the tropics.
There really isn't much a reason why it can't go ahead tonight. The forecast for MK this evening is actually pretty pleasant.
A disclaimer. Things can change, but as of now, Naples will see strong winds and potential flooding in certain areas. WIthout knowing specifics that is what I can say but if it makes you feel better at this point, the big picture Naples will not recieve anything they have not had before if your family has been there for decades.
Google Wink Tv for the SWFL Fort Myers, Cape Coral, Naples, Sanibel area news.
MerlinTheGoat
Well-Known Member
Seminole County spokesperson is speaking live on the local channels, he's stating it will be worse than Charlie and is likely to cause tornadoes. Charlie tore many roofs off in Orlando and the surrounding areas. I didn't move here until 2016, but I know from permits that my home's roof received some significant damage during Charlie. Not sure how old it was though. We just got a new roof last year. Hopefully its youth improves its chances of surviving, but I really don't know...
Yes, because of the way it is hitting and where landfall will happen, its strength will very likely be more powerful than what Charley was by the time it reached Orlando.
lazyboy97o
Well-Known Member
The Florida Building Code, despite being a direct response to Hurricane Andrew, did not go into effect until 2002. Hopefully the stricter standards that had not really had a chance to be implemented 20 years ago will help.
Just looked on YT, no rain version for FOF.....
I'm sure USF would have HHN if it was scheduled......
DisneyCane
Well-Known Member
That actually might make a lot of sense. Retire where you are and travel to cooler, less congested places during the summer.
Gringrinngghost
Well-Known Member
Due to Hurricane Milton, Universal Orlando Resort is making the following operational changes for Wednesday, Oct. 9 and Thursday, Oct. 10:
- On 10/9, Universal Studios Florida, Islands of Adventure and Universal CityWalk will be open until 2 p.m. and will be closed on 10/10.
- Universal Volcano Bay will be closed 10/9 and 10/10.
- Halloween Horror Nights at Universal Studios Florida is canceled 10/9 and 10/10.
- Our hotels remain operational as they focus on taking care of our guests.
We anticipate a full reopening of our destination, including Halloween Horror Nights, on Friday, Oct. 11 at our normal operating hours pending the outcome of storm impacts.
EricsBiscuit
Well-Known Member
Is it just me or does it seem to be on the eastern portion of the track? Does this mean anything?
SoFloMagic
Well-Known Member
It's so interesting because I feel like everyone is always confident that it will turn and avoid Tampa Bay. It's been an excuse for 20+ years to do next to nothing to mitigate risk, especially in pinellas.
Most likely, Then again, let's see if Disney closes the parks and Disney Springs as early as Uni does their property tomorrow.