It's so interesting because I feel like everyone is always confident that it will turn and avoid Tampa Bay. It's been an excuse for 20+ years to do next to nothing to mitigate risk, especially in pinellas.
I don't find this to be true. Tampa and the Bay gets plenty of damage, even from storms as recently as well, two weeks ago. However, what is true is that there has not been a direct major storm make landfall in Tampa in 103 years.