Hurricane Ian expected to impact Florida (updates and related discussions)

Gringrinngghost

Well-Known Member
A tropical storm watch is now in effect for Walt Disney World until Further Notice
Ian Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL092022
1110 AM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022

FLZ053-270315-
/O.NEW.KMLB.TR.A.1009.220926T1510Z-000000T0000Z/
Osceola-
1110 AM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm-force winds are possible
somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58
to 73 mph
- PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical
storm force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be
underway. Prepare for significant wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with
damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few
buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door
failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.
Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,
and access routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more
prevalent in areas with above ground lines.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally
higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas, destructive
runoff may run quickly down valleys while increasing
susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control
systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
few tornadoes.
- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
hazardous weather arrives.
- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
quickly.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

$$
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
Mandatory evacuations just announced for parts of Zone A, Hillsboro County, including the city of Tampa.
With that said the residents of Tampa in 2004 Charley made a beeline to Kissimmee / Orlando and filled up the hotels thinking Charley would not impact those areas, sadly mistaken. I would think Tampa folks would drive up to Orlando again.
 

CJR

Well-Known Member
Our forecast got downgraded (now showing below 30mph winds) with the new update. I'll take it. We're much more northeast compared to WDW though. Hopefully this means we'll keep our power on.
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
Yeah. I moved up AK from Wed. to Tue. As for the rest of the week. We'll see. I'm riding it out at WDW.
Times like these that it would nice to have a hotel room that an interior hallway to the front door of the hotel room ( Contemporary , Grand F, Yacht, Boardwalk, Wilderness etc ). If one opens their front hotel room door at All Star one might be blown out by wind rain and debris. Last place I would be is at Ft Wilderness campgrounds.
 
Last edited:

JenniferS

When you're the leader, you don't have to follow.
Times like these that it would nice to have a hotel room that an interior hallway to the front door of the hotel room ( Contemporary , Grand F, Yacht, Boardwalk, Wilderness etc ). If one opens their front hotel room door at All Star one might be blown out by wind rain and debris. Last place I would be is at Ft Wilderness campgrounds.
And that’s where we’re supposed to be as of 10/2. If FW sustains major damage like Irma, that’s clearly not happening.
 

DryerLintFan

Premium Member
Times like these that it would nice to have a hotel room that an interior hallway to the front door of the hotel room ( Contemporary , Grand F, Yacht, Boardwalk, Wilderness etc ). If one opens their front hotel room door at All Star one might be blown out by wind rain and debris. Last place I would be is at Ft Wilderness campgrounds.

Last few trip reports I’ve read during hurricanes they’ve evacuated the campgrounds to the lodge
 

cindy_k

Well-Known Member
Disney World is a good place to be for riding out the storm. Just make sure you give yourself 24 hours of food in your room. Get some staple supplies to snack on. Peanut butter and Jelly, water bottles etc.
When we stayed for Frances, they closed all the food services for 24 hours and asked everyone to stay in their rooms.
We had prepped for it, knowing it was coming and had food and drinks on hand.
We were at Saratoga Springs and never lost power the whole time. Just a long mostly boring room stay.
 

JohnD

Well-Known Member
Disney World is a good place to be for riding out the storm. Just make sure you give yourself 24 hours of food in your room. Get some staple supplies to snack on. Peanut butter and Jelly, water bottles etc.
When we stayed for Frances, they closed all the food services for 24 hours and asked everyone to stay in their rooms.
We had prepped for it, knowing it was coming and had food and drinks on hand.
We were at Saratoga Springs and never lost power the whole time. Just a long mostly boring room stay.
Good thought. Wed. and Thu. are iffy at this point for going to the parks.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
With that said the residents of Tampa in 2004 Charley made a beeline to Kissimmee / Orlando and filled up the hotels thinking Charley would not impact those areas, sadly mistaken. I would think Tampa folks would drive up to Orlando again.
Orlando is still a “safer” zone no matter where a storm tracks…especially from the gulf side.

In a state with no “high ground”…land is your friend.
 

Ayla

Well-Known Member
Disney World is a good place to be for riding out the storm. Just make sure you give yourself 24 hours of food in your room. Get some staple supplies to snack on. Peanut butter and Jelly, water bottles etc.
When we stayed for Frances, they closed all the food services for 24 hours and asked everyone to stay in their rooms.
We had prepped for it, knowing it was coming and had food and drinks on hand.
We were at Saratoga Springs and never lost power the whole time. Just a long mostly boring room stay.
If you are in FL (including WDW) and don't have bottled water, yet, odds are good you're out of luck.
 

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