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Do you think that Disney world will reclose its gates due to the rising number of COVID cases in Florida and around the country?
- Thread starter Logan L
- Start date
October82
Well-Known Member
In everyday life, it's fine to say "might be this, might be that, don't know". But science doesn't really work that way. We know that the number of deaths is a substantial undercount, and we have very good knowledge of by how much. As with everything in science, there is an uncertainty associated with that number, but that doesn't mean the number is unreliable, unknown or unknowable.
To be clear, states are taking a proactive approach but different from the one you want. I have found it interesting that you find the facts actually funny in a pandemic, but that is just an opinion.
uh that is exactly what I am saying, we know there are excess deaths and the exact amount and that is how science works.
Jrb1979
Well-Known Member
What should be done is what California is doing.
Jrb1979
Well-Known Member
Another reason to shut some things down again.
schuelma
Well-Known Member
Florida isn't doing nearly enough.
oceanbreeze77
Well-Known Member
are they doing anything???
and that is a 100% valid opinion
October82
Well-Known Member
Okay, I misread your post. Just wanted to be really clear that things that are uncertain in everyday life often aren't in science.
Andrew C
You know what's funny?
Mods have warned in other threads that doing the laughing emoji repeatedly on the same poster could get ya a temp ban. Just a heads up.
threvester
Well-Known Member
California Coronavirus Update: New Case Average Up 295 Percent In Past Month, Now Regularly Near All-Time Highs
sure...seems like they are doing a wonderful job
Parker in NYC
Well-Known Member
Can we make this retroactive?
Jrb1979
Well-Known Member
They have closed things again and theme parks aren't opening.
Miss Bella
Well-Known Member
Yeah I figured that out about these boards a long time ago.He’s only laughing, because we still don’t have thereaction emoji.
Most causes of death are "assumed" by your logic. That's how medical diagnosis works -- A physician looks at all of the factors, looks at the evidence, and reaches the best possible conclusion.
I can't go into details, but I am working with a client now: He suspected his patient had a condition, we will call it X.... but the tests were all negative. Still, based on clinical findings, he continued to suspect condition X and offered surgery. Performed surgery and sure enough -- in the surgery, discovered the patient had X. Very few diagnoses have a black and white diagnosis based on a single test.
We will never know the EXACT number of people who died from Covid. But using actual science, statistics, etc... we will be able to get a pretty darn good estimate.
I do find it interesting to see how far off the million dollar models paid for cited by governments are off a bit. According to the official MN state model revised in mid May, MN expected deaths to total to be 29,000 with full lockdown stay at home in place until 6/1, and 49000 if no lockdown. MN cumulative total today is 1573
Attachments
kong1802
Well-Known Member
Why does the graph you attached look like it was done in crayon?
The graphs below are from that PDF....not sure why I was intrigued enough to look. I though certainly no one could have made a graph that bad as the one you posted...
As you can see they are scenario based. Where are the scenarios in the one you posted?
Polkadotdress
Well-Known Member
Nah. Apparently despite that article listing FL as one of the states that should “roll back” and consider reclosing some things, we will NOT be closing gyms because having a healthy lifestyle makes you less at risk to suffer adversely from the virus.
*Feeling like I’m living a real-life Hunger Games down here.
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oceanbreeze77
Well-Known Member
may the odds be ever in your favor