There are many rooms free for cash next week. Disney looses out when people rent from people. I'm sure Disney will stop or find a way to limit this even more. Right now there is only a percentage of your points you can rent. Soon, they will make it so you can only give it away to relatives. Then, you won't be able to at all. I think they will continue to cut back on what they allow DVC members... they have already cut back quite a bit in just one year. Wait for two.
Nah. Probably not.
Let’s take captainkidd’s example. Imagine Disney finds out captainkidd canceled his reservation at the Poly, and now people with captainkidd’s name and his family members’ names are booked in a 1BR villa at Wilderness Lodge using Slappy Magoo’s points.
Here’s what Disney DOES NOT KNOW:
Would captainkidd cancel his reservation at the Poly anyway? Would he have had to downgrade to a moderate? Or a Value? A campground? Would he have (gasp!) opted to stay offsite, where he’s more prone to spend less money ON-site? Would he have (double gasp!) NOT GONE TO WDW AT ALL?!?!?!
That’s what they DON’T know. Here’s what they DO know:
Slappy Magoo rented his points to captainkidd. Ergo, Slappy Magoo wasn’t planning to go to WDW this year. Nooooo tourism dollars from Slappy Magoo in 2012.
Now, glass-half-empty thinking, they lost Slappy Magoo in 2012, AND they lost the money captainkidd was going to spend to stay in the Poly.
Glass-half-FULL thinking, instead of definitely losing one guest this year, and possibly losing another entirely, they definitely kept someone on site.. They’re buying Disney food. Disney drinks. Disney souvenirs. Maybe now they’ll upgrade to park hoppers, or water park options. Maybe they’ll upgrade to annual passes, so we know they’ll be back NEXT year spending money! It's better to make a lot of money than a little, but it's better to make a little than nothing. As my boss used to say when I used to work retail and people would put something on layaway, or order something with a deposit - until you have their money, you DON'T have their money.
And if captainkidd’s room at the Poly never gets booked, you know what could conceivably happen? They’ll upgrade someone at the Wilderness Lodge. Then they’ll upgrade someone at Caribbean Resort to stay at Wilderness, and someone at Pop to stay at Caribbean. Now, that one Poly room wasn’t sold, but there are three incredibly happy families, who just might thank Disney for their upgrades…by spending more money because the trip is now that much more magical.
Oh, and here's what WE don’t know: whether or not captainkidd got the Poly room in the first place using a PIN code, or promotional offer. It’s possible that Disney wasn’t making that much of a profit on the room in the first place, but they were willing to rent it cheap to get captainkidd on property…to spend money. Captainkidd is pretty savvy; I’d bet a dollar he isn’t paying rack rates, and probably getting the best potential room discount a fella can get. Sure, Disney would probably still get a profit from that room, but as I suggested before, maybe to get that Poly room, captainkidd was scrimping elsewhere, not getting park hoppers, going offsite for meals, etc. Now that he's saving even more money by renting DVC points, he might loosen up that wallet even more. They could, conceivably, make MORE money this way. Probably not, but that could be why they don't sweat renters so much. And maybe the next person who rents that room at the Poly captainkidd was going to get doesn't know beans about discounts, and they're paying rack rate. Who's got the last laugh now?
NOW, let’s say Disney decides to put the kibosh on DVC members renting points. What they still don’t know is if all those people who would’ve rented points from DVC members would still go to WDW, and if they DO go to WDW, whether they’d stay on-propery. While I don’t think the number of renters is enough to make Disney make an effort to stop them, if there WERE that many, they may see a situation where certain resorts get oversold, resulting in make-good upgrades…probably in DVC resorts Disney could try to punish DVC members who rent points – technically, they already can; DVC members agree that they will not use their membership as a moneymaking venture, but generally speaking, DVC doesn’t attack many people because anyone renting points is often doing it once in a while, when they can’t go to WDW or perhaps money is tight. It’s worth it for Disney to keep those people happy, because the alternative is yet another DVC resale on the market, which is already as full as I’ve ever seen it. Besides, what Disney is really looking for are the people who are routinely renting some or all of their points, at which case they violated the terms of their agreement with DVC and I believe (not sure, someone can correct me if I’m wrong) Disney can flat-out take the points back. That alone is probably incentive enough for people to not take advantage of renting their points out.
Maybe one day they’ll try to change the rules, but I don’t think they’ll ban the rental of points. What I can imagine them doing is making it policy that you can only rent points THROUGH them, essentially doing what “Dave” at dvc rentals does and profiting form it. The fact that they haven’t done it yet makes me think it’s currently not worth the effort to set up such an exchange. Which goes to the heart of the original question: No, I don’t think Disney care all that much when a DVC member rents their points. Because…oh, just read my post again…and again…and again…
(cue Twilight Zone music and lightning)