At a Target in Del Mar, California this weekend I couldn't find a single Little Mermaid doll or anything in the toy department.
Barbie had an entire aisle to herself, very picked over with lots of empty shelf space in Barbie Land. The ninja turtles had a big end cap display, as to be expected the week their movie came out.
But Little Mermaid was nowhere to be found in a big Target in an upper-middle class SoCal suburb this weekend. Take that scientific evidence and input it into the Univac and see what that gets you.