Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
No the billion
It may get there…BO is weird this time of year
A solid intentional hit…not so much domestic
Mufasa was predictable
The crossover with the little mermaid looks like a longshot now
-
Welcome to the WDWMAGIC.COM Forums!
Please take a look around, and feel free to sign up and join the community.
Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs
- Thread starter Disney Analyst
- Start date
It may get there…BO is weird this time of year
A solid intentional hit…not so much domestic
Mufasa was predictable
The crossover with the little mermaid looks like a longshot now
BrianLo
Well-Known Member
My convictions on the end point over 1B hasn't really changed, I think that's going to look a little more clearly with where we're landing in the 900 spectrum post holidays. It seems to be limping, versus sprinting over 1B though.
What is clear to me is that every DIS movie the last 2 years has been under-called by 10-15% as people really don't seem to get how things slowly chug along for months. Stop writing post mortem's on movies still adding 100M WW per week...
What is clear to me is that every DIS movie the last 2 years has been under-called by 10-15% as people really don't seem to get how things slowly chug along for months. Stop writing post mortem's on movies still adding 100M WW per week...
Disney Irish
Premium Member
As I said we'll see, its possible to still get there. As even you acknowledge international its a hit and box office is weird this time of year.
Since my post wasn't about Mufasa not sure why bring that up now. But yes its fairly predictable that it won't be a success overall. Don't know what crossover you're talking about, but whatever.
This is still a good year for Disney with almost every single release minus Mufasa being a hit. So no matter what happens in the final numbers for Moana 2 they are extremely happy with its results even if it doesn't cross a Billion.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
If I was to guess (if it doesn't cross $1B), Moana 2 will end up in the $960-$975M range. Would still be a great run for a $150M movie that started life as a series.
BrianLo
Well-Known Member
I’d be pretty surprised if it only posts a 2.25-2.5X multiple of what it did last week with a 10 day holiday window thrown into the mix to juice things.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
What’s the title of the thread?
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
This is like week 5
BrianLo
Well-Known Member
Ya… a 2.5X multiple of week 4, not week one.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Does that include the 9 flops last year?
Quite the slate of thoroughbreds.
They had a good year this year…though other than inside out…I can’t remember what else they had?
..:forgot Deadpool
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Oh right…yeah…still some work to do
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Not the blockbusters inside out and Deadpool were but Aliens and Apes did ok too
Well since the thread is still locked…
This is the first preview to really make me excited for the film. She sounds incredible.
This is the first preview to really make me excited for the film. She sounds incredible.
brideck
Well-Known Member
She is a really great singer. Loved her take on Appalachian folk in the Hunger Games prequel last year, too.
Ghost93
Well-Known Member
I hope the song is in addition to, and not "instead of" "I'm Wishing" from the original fim.
Mr. Sullivan
Well-Known Member
Massive Christmas day rebound for Mufasa. 100% increase over yesterday which is good news following an insanely good hold yesterday.
Now that Sonic’s core audience has seen it, the gap between the two movies has been closing daily. Now Mufasa’s posting a $15+ million Christmas Day domestic, potentially looking to have an above $30 million domestic second weekend. With international doing well, I think this thing is very safely gonna go $600+ million worldwide.
Everyone counted this thing dead last weekend but it is absolutely back on track to turn profitable when just a few days ago it didn’t look like it would. Christmas box office is always so fun to watch. Things can change dramatically in the span of a few days. Mufasa’s gone from looking dead on arrival to the box office trackers completely changing their tune.
It’s not gonna hit a billion, but it’s going to do significantly better than most (myself included) thought based on opening.
Now that Sonic’s core audience has seen it, the gap between the two movies has been closing daily. Now Mufasa’s posting a $15+ million Christmas Day domestic, potentially looking to have an above $30 million domestic second weekend. With international doing well, I think this thing is very safely gonna go $600+ million worldwide.
Everyone counted this thing dead last weekend but it is absolutely back on track to turn profitable when just a few days ago it didn’t look like it would. Christmas box office is always so fun to watch. Things can change dramatically in the span of a few days. Mufasa’s gone from looking dead on arrival to the box office trackers completely changing their tune.
It’s not gonna hit a billion, but it’s going to do significantly better than most (myself included) thought based on opening.
BrianLo
Well-Known Member
Definitely turning into a *small* interesting comeback story. We always have one every Christmas. Apparently the soundtrack is hitting very well - which was the missing LMM from Moana 2 secret sauce.
We've left the Alice through the looking Glass and The Marvels comps behind.
We've left the Alice through the looking Glass and The Marvels comps behind.
TalkingHead
Well-Known Member
Wonder if this will be like The Color Purple last year which did big numbers with black audiences at Christmas and sank like a stone afterward.
CinematicFusion
Well-Known Member
It will be interesting to see how that movie does at the box office. Should be a slam dunk and Disney pushed it back for over a year… but did Rachel Zegler hurt the film?
Time will tell…
This movie should be an easy 1 billion dollar film.
Should be a layup… it’s Snow White.