Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs
- Thread starter Disney Analyst
- Start date
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
You’re lying!!Here's the first pass at box office this weekend, gang.
Thunderbolts had a $75 Million opening domestically, which puts it right in line with the estimate of $75 Million (good call from Variety!). The Amateur is now dropping, and miraculously Rachel Zegler's Snow White is still hanging on to 300 theaters (how many screens?!?!) nationwide in her attempt to break $90 Million domestically for that mega-budget bomb.
View attachment 857021
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The Numbers - Weekend Box Office Chart for September 5, 2025
Weekend Domestic Box Office Chart for the weekend of September 5, 2025thenumbers.com
(I just want ahead and got it out of the way so the posters with the Iger fan club podcasts don’t have to bother
)
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
The expectations change over time
The trend is a clear loss in momentum for marvel
As is the case with Disney on the whole
Now the excuses of how Disney+ makes so much money with these things…even though it does NOT are sure to flow (please not today
)…these are problems that don’t seem to be self correcting
Bad management
…I feel like that’s enough. Can’t wait for the contrarian to be contrarian stuff to start
TP2000
Well-Known Member
Adjusted for inflation in US Dollars, a 160.7 Million global opening weekend in 2014 would be the equivalent of $216.7 Million in 2025. Or roughly, Thunderbolts just had a global opening weekend that was 60% of Guardians of the Galaxy.
And domestically, Thunderbolts just had an opening weekend that was 58% of Guardians of the Galaxy.
Here's how those domestic opening weekends and overall numbers look adjusted for inflation from 2014 to 2025. Thunderbolts will need to do over $1 Billion global box office to meet the Guardians of the Galaxy numbers ...
CPI Inflation Calculator
www.bls.gov
Last edited:
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Adjusted for inflation in US Dollars, a 160.7 Million global opening weekend in 2014 would be the equivalent of $216.7 Million in 2025. Or roughly, Thunderbolts just had a global opening weekend that was 60% of Guardians of the Galaxy.
Here's how those domestic opening weekends looks adjusted for inflation from 2014 to 2025. Thunderbolts will need to do over $1 Billion global box office to meet the Guardians of the Galaxy numbers ...
View attachment 857022
CPI Inflation Calculator
This really isn’t that hard, is it?
And my thing - as always - is that Disney is not doing ART!!
they need the cash from this kinda thing - to say nothing of the ancillaries where they bank profit - way more now that in 2014. They’re in a totally different place now than they were from a business standpoint then
And not a “good” one at all
TP2000
Well-Known Member
It's not. And I hate math and at 2:30pm I'm still working off one sociable Mimosa from brunch, which is hard as an older man who has never been a day drinker.
To be fair, it was the Google and The Numbers (with their handy Inflation Adjusted tab on each page) that did most of the work. But it's easy for anyone to see on your screen.
The Numbers - Where Data and the Movie Business Meet
The Numbers provides detailed movie financial analysis, including box office, DVD and Blu-ray sales reports, and release schedules.
thenumbers.com
Casper Gutman
Well-Known Member
Both films introduce a new team of emotionally damaged antiheroes. Both got ecstatic reactions from critics and the public. Thunderbolts made slightly more in its opening weekend.The expectations change over time
The trend is a clear loss in momentum for marvel
As is the case with Disney on the whole
Now the excuses of how Disney+ makes so much money with these things…even though it does NOT are sure to flow (please not today
…these are problems that don’t seem to be self correcting
Bad management
…I feel like that’s enough. Can’t wait for the contrarian to be contrarian stuff to start
GotG was released right after Avengers, Iron Man 3, Winter Soldier, and right before Avengers 2.
Thunderbolts comes after what you and others have been screaming is a historic string of MCU flops. In some cases, as with The Marvels, that’s even been true.
You have NOTHING. And the people telling you this aren’t the contrarians. Read the trade press - you’re the contrarian here.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
It's not. And I hate math and at 2:30pm I'm still working off one sociable Mimosa from brunch, which is hard as an older man who has never been a day drinker.
To be fair, it was the Google and The Numbers (with their handy Inflation Adjusted tab on each page) that did most of the work. But it's easy for anyone to see on your screen.
The Numbers - Where Data and the Movie Business Meet
The Numbers provides detailed movie financial analysis, including box office, DVD and Blu-ray sales reports, and release schedules.
But what about the “4th dimension Disney excusy math” that has infected this thread since it started with frequency?
…try and keep with the times, slacker
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
It’s Disney…stock ticker DIS
They need to make money on these…now more than ever.
It’s not “art”. That’s the deal…cry and scream all you want.
Now…if they get legs and this succeeds…I’ll welcome it.
That is not the place where it’s at right now
Disstevefan1
Well-Known Member
This is what makes it so FUN!
How can an opinion be wrong?
Mostly everyone is free to express their opinion here. Some, not so much
Serpico Jones
Well-Known Member
He signed a contract with Netflix and knew very well what their release strategy is.
Serpico Jones
Well-Known Member
Why is Snow White not on digital yet? What is Disney waiting for?
Does Bob Iger still think it’s 2003 with the 3 month window?
Does Bob Iger still think it’s 2003 with the 3 month window?
Disney has been the most patient studio… and it has worked out for them… as they have also been awarded with longer legs… there is no rush…. Disney plus is not going anywhere
CaptJackSparrow
Active Member
Is an 80m opening bad?
Isn’t this movie kind of a budget version of a Marvel Film?
This seems like a pretty solid opening for that type of film.
Isn’t this movie kind of a budget version of a Marvel Film?
This seems like a pretty solid opening for that type of film.
Phroobar
Well-Known Member
They are still working out a deal with the virus scanning companies to not flag it.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
How can an opinion be wrong?
Mostly everyone is free to express their opinion here. Some, not so much
Opinions are not wrong
Opinions conveyed as “personal truth” usually are
Vegas Disney Fan
Well-Known Member
Depends on what you’re comparing it too.
Compared to the Marvels $45 million opening weekend it’s solid, compared to other post Covid MCU flicks (that aren’t sequels) it’s about average, compared to the Avengers peak when they consistently had $250 million (or more) opening weekends it’s pretty bad.
I think it’s a good example of how expectations for the MCU overall have become far more realistic, there was a time you just expected a MCU film to be a billion dollar + blockbuster, now if one makes $500 million and makes a profit it’s considered a win.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Considering the earning lifespan of most movies is a month…if you’re lucky…then this is not good
But we will see. If the buzz is good they can capitalize on little competition for now
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Problem is too many have expectations still at pre-pandemic levels. I’ve long argued that the pandemic should have reset expectations back to realistic level, and it has for every other studio that doesn’t have a mouse mascot (even with the same budgets). One wonders why expectations can’t be reset to realistic levels for Disney.
So these new… proposed tariffs on movies? Is Hollywood itself exempt, can they still film in Canada, the UK, etc.?
Are foreign films going to suddenly have crazy ticket prices?
What’s the madhatter doing?
Are foreign films going to suddenly have crazy ticket prices?
What’s the madhatter doing?