Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

[Disney Irish]

Another weekend with not much new to report. Wild Robot opens, but so far preview numbers aren't stellar. I saw it, it was good, and funny. But not sure if it'll spread like a wild fire or die off just a quick. And Coppola's magnum opus Megalopolis appears to be not anything that anyone wants to see but a few cinephiles.

DP&W and Romulus appear to be on their last weekend, both ended up doing extremely well for Disney.

Thursday preview numbers -

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

Another weekend with not much new to report. Wild Robot opens, but so far preview numbers aren't stellar. I saw it, it was good, and funny. But not sure if it'll spread like a wild fire or die off just a quick. And Coppola's magnum opus Megalopolis appears to be not anything that anyone wants to see but a few cinephiles.

DP&W and Romulus appear to be on their last weekend, both ended up doing extremely well for Disney.

Thursday preview numbers -

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I actually think Deadpool & Wolverine’s last weekend in the Top 10 will be the opening weekend of Joker 2.

 

[Disney Irish]

I actually think Deadpool & Wolverine’s last weekend in the Top 10 will be the opening weekend of Joker 2.

It goes digital on October 1st, which is usually when movies drops a majority of theaters.

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

It goes digital on October 1st, which is usually when movies drops a majority of theaters.

Didn’t hurt Inside Out 2 when it came out on digital August 20th. Nor did it hurt Avengers: Endgame either. As long as it holds its ground and get a boost on Columbus Day Weekend, it should pass Barbie domestically right before it hits Disney+.

 

[Disney Irish]

Didn’t hurt Inside Out 2 when it came out on digital August 20th. Nor did it hurt Avengers: Endgame either. As long as it holds its ground and get a boost on Columbus Day Weekend, it should pass Barbie domestically right before it hits Disney+.

Point taken on IO2, however Endgame was prepandemic so it doesn't count as box office rules are different now.

Joker 2 opens next weekend, so it still is likely to lose a majority of its theaters by next weekend anyways. So we'll see what happens but I don't see it still being in 2000+ theaters much past this weekend. As for beating Barbie, we'll see.

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

Point taken on IO2, however Endgame was prepandemic so it doesn't count as box office rules are different now.

Joker 2 opens next weekend, so it still is likely to lose a majority of its theaters by next weekend anyways. So we'll see what happens but I don't see it still being in 2000+ theaters much past this weekend.

Might still hold well enough to pass Barbie. It hasn’t lost steam so far.

 

[Disney Irish]

Might still hold well enough to pass Barbie. It hasn’t lost steam so far.

You missed the edit in my post, but I said we'll see on Barbie. DP&W only brought in $5M domestic for all of last weekend, and I think it'll be lucky to get maybe more than half of that this weekend, as its been dropping every weekend for the last few weeks. So we'll see what happens, but if it drops theaters next week it'll be harder.

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

You missed the edit in my post, but I said we'll see on Barbie. DP&W only brought in $5M domestic for all of last weekend, and I think it'll be lucky to get maybe more than half of that this weekend, as its been dropping every weekend for the last few weeks. So we'll see what happens, but if it drops theaters next week it'll be harder.

Harder, but not impossible.

 

[Disney Irish]

Harder, but not impossible.

True, its only ~$8M away. I just think it'll be harder, but we'll see what happens.

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

True, its only ~$8M away. I just think it'll be harder, but we'll see what happens.

Indeed we shall.

 

[Minnesota disney fan]

Where is TP2000????? Seems to be missing lately.

 

[Chi84]

Where is TP2000????? Seems to be missing lately.

Disney’s doing well at the box office.

 

[LittleBuford]

Where is TP2000????? Seems to be missing lately.

He's happily contributing to other threads, so the more pertinent question is what's changed to have stopped him posting here? I would second the answer given by @Chi84. Keep your fingers crossed for a flop if you'd like to see him back.

 

[Phroobar]

I'm seeing The Wild Robot today.

 

[Vegas Disney Fan]

He's happily contributing to other threads, so the more pertinent question is what's changed to have stopped him posting here? I would second the answer given by @Chi84. Keep your fingers crossed for a flop if you'd like to see him back.

2024 looks pretty safe from flops with only Moana 2 and Mufasa left to release, Mufasa being a little questionable but I think with IO2s massive success it will at the very least be profitable. 2025 will be far more interesting with Brave New World, Snow White, Thunderbolts, another Tron movie, etc… Disney didn’t take many risks in 2024 and it’s paid off, 2025 is a far more interesting lineup but also a bit riskier with more movies across a much broader spectrum, it’ll be interesting to see if that results in massive profits or losses.

 

[LittleBuford]

2024 looks pretty safe from flops with only Moana 2 and Mufasa left to release, Mufasa being a little questionable but I think with IO2s massive success it will at the very least be profitable. 2025 will be far more interesting with Brave New World, Snow White, Thunderbolts, another Tron movie, etc… Disney didn’t take many risks in 2024 and it’s paid off, 2025 is a far more interesting lineup but also a bit riskier with more movies across a much broader spectrum, it’ll be interesting to see if that results in massive profits or losses.

I've given up on trying to predict the box office, but your assessment seems sound to me.

 

[LittleBuford]

Saw Beetlejuice Beetlejuice last weekend. Great fun, and a worthy sequel in my book!

 

[DKampy]

Saw Beetlejuice Beetlejuice last weekend. Great fun, and a worthy sequel in my book!

Agreed about Beetlejuice Beetlejuice…. I appreciated they kept the special Fx in line with the original…. Rather than feel the need to to go too modern… it helped to bring me right back to that workd

 

[Miss Rori]

The Wild Robot so far is having a decent opening for a non-sequel animated feature with $35 million currently expected (and great audience response).

‘Wild Robot’ Powers To Third Best September Animated Debut With $35M; ‘Megalopolis’ Collapses With $4M & D+ CinemaScore; ‘Saturday Night’ Alive In Limited Release — Sunday Box Office Update

'The Wild Robot' is outperforming its box office projection with a $35M opening while Francis Ford Coppola's 'Megalopolis' is bombing with under $5M.

deadline.com

If that number holds out that would be a bigger 3-day take than the 5-day Thanksgiving weekend take for Wish!

 

[Disney Irish]

2024 looks pretty safe from flops with only Moana 2 and Mufasa left to release, Mufasa being a little questionable but I think with IO2s massive success it will at the very least be profitable. 2025 will be far more interesting with Brave New World, Snow White, Thunderbolts, another Tron movie, etc… Disney didn’t take many risks in 2024 and it’s paid off, 2025 is a far more interesting lineup but also a bit riskier with more movies across a much broader spectrum, it’ll be interesting to see if that results in massive profits or losses.

Disney also has 3 Searchlight movies left to release this year (if the dates hold) -

A Real Pain - November 1st
NightB*tch - December 6th
A Complete Unknown - December 25th