Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Dranth

Dranth

Well-Known Member
Ghost93 said:
A Quiet Place: Day One was a pretty good movie, but much more somber and character-driven than I think people will expect. It's about a woman with a terminal illness trying to find a reason to go on. I have no idea how well it will perform at the box office.
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Just got back from it. It was pretty good but I had to reset my expectations about 30 minutes in. Those going in for a monster movie may find it a little slow or be disappointed but it is worth a watch if you take it for what it is.
 
BrianLo

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
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Just an incredible performance on this one. It’s almost 40 million ahead of Incredibles 2 now.

DM4 has to take some bite out of it (but who knows it seems invincible), but we’ll know by Sunday how that final trajectory is impacted.

On the flip side I feel like Canada day and July 4th are both optimally placed this year to extend the respective weekends.
 
Disney Analyst

Disney Analyst

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
BrianLo said:
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Just an incredible performance on this one. It’s almost 40 million ahead of Incredibles 2 now.

DM4 has to take some bite out of it (but who knows it seems invincible), but we’ll know by Sunday how that final trajectory is impacted.

On the flip side I feel like Canada day and July 4th are both optimally placed this year to extend the respective weekends.
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I’m very curious about DM4, what’s the word? I feel like there’s zero hype or chat about it. Inside Out 2, you could sense the excitement for it.
 
BrianLo

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
Disney Analyst said:
I’m very curious about DM4, what’s the word? I feel like there’s zero hype or chat about it. Inside Out 2, you could sense the excitement for it.
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It’s going to do very well. It has already been slowly releasing in quite a few international markets and setting records in them for the franchise.

Probably 100+ -ish million (but it’s a five day weekend) and 900-1.1 worldwide prospects.
 
TP2000

TP2000

Well-Known Member
BrianLo said:
On the flip side I feel like Canada day and July 4th are both optimally placed this year to extend the respective weekends.
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Shoutout to Canada Day! 🇨🇦 (Or Dominion Day, if you're that old.)

I'd forgotten it was today, and it's a good thing my Canadian great uncles are long since gone, or else they'd whoop my behind for forgetting it was today. 🤣
 
BrianLo

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
deadline.com

‘Despicable Me 4’ To Set Off Fireworks Over Independence Day Frame, Global Cume Bound For Potential $200M+ By Sunday – Box Office Preview

'Despicable Me 4' is eyeing $110M-$120M at domestic box office over five-day Independence Day holiday and a running total of $200M worldwide by Sunday.
deadline.com deadline.com

DM4 is poised to do very well as expected. While its start is meaningfully lower than Rise of Gru, that was also the best domestic take. These movies are always more carried by international markets anyways.

Can anyone help me parse out this comment?


DM4 is on a staggered release pattern abroad to take advantage of holiday play. Left to open are France, China, Germany, the UK and Italy. So far, the fourthquel is setting franchise records, and as of Sunday was seeing the biggest result for a Despicable Me/Minions film in like-for-like markets at the same point — well above DM, DM2, DM3, Minions and marginally above Minions: The Rise of Gru.
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Rise of Gru has the worst International market performance of the lot (other than the original), so how can it be well ahead of the better performers and only marginally ahead of Rise of Gru? Meanwhile Rise of Gru has the stronger domestic, but this comment seems to be referring to International.
 
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D

DKampy

Well-Known Member
A Quiet Place was announced it is going to PVOD a month after it’s release… That is crazy… especially announcing it so early after having a good opening weekend and decent word of mouth for a Horror pic…. Sure to deter some to wait… seems Disney is one of the smartest with their theatrical windows

Also Deadpool seems to have settle down after projecting 200… it is now projected at 165… still a great number… but if that sticks for opening weekend… I think it is safe to say it won’t beat IO2 numbers
 
Sirwalterraleigh

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
DKampy said:
Also Deadpool seems to have settle down after projecting 200… it is now projected at 165… still a great number… but if that sticks for opening weekend… I think it is safe to say it won’t beat IO2 numbers
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It never really should be expected to best a Pixar tentpole anyway…to be honest
 
W

WoundedDreamer

Well-Known Member
Very impressive performance. Pixar's team ought to be proud of this one. This feels like a return to form. A true Pixarian mega hit like ones of old. Particularly impressive is the performance in Latin America and Asia. Mexican performance distinguished itself. Mexico ❤️'s Inside Out. By contrast, Europe showed a relative malaise. But in totality, a true victory for a storied studio!

Inside Out 2015 grossed ~1.146 Billion USD in May 2024 dollars. Inside Out 2 should surpass this number shortly. This is extremely encouraging.

Well done, Pixar!
 
W

WoundedDreamer

Well-Known Member
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes continues its weak performance relative to its 2017 predecessor. War for the Planet of the Apes grossed ~627 Million in April 2024 Dollars. This means Kingdom is sitting at around ~62% of its predecessor. Even accounting for the reduced production costs, this is disappointing. The future of the franchise will be determined on streaming...
 
BrianLo

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
WoundedDreamer said:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes continues its weak performance relative to its 2017 predecessor. War for the Planet of the Apes grossed ~627 Million in April 2024 Dollars. This means Kingdom is sitting at around ~62% of its predecessor. Even accounting for the reduced production costs, this is disappointing. The future of the franchise will be determined on streaming...
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If you are going to correct one part for inflation, then War had a production budget pushing 244 million (or perhaps 225 million, sources are mixed) in nominal dollars versus Kingdom's current 160.

War also generated a huge amount of receipts internationally, particularly from China, with its poor box office splits. Versus Kingdom has a much higher domestic split and very little Chinese contribution.

Most of the hard line difference between the two is China in totals, though. That market really collapsed for NA film.
 
Animaniac93-98

Animaniac93-98

Well-Known Member
Very curious to see how Twisters does at the box office, because I feel like it could go either way.

Looking forward to the inevitable bad puns the trades will come up with to describe its performance:

"Twisters blows away competition!"

"Twisters sucks up box office receipts!"

"Twisters spirals out of control, leaves disappointing weekend a wreck..."
 

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