Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
Unless something changes tomorrow, Furiosa is looking like it may come in under $30M domestic for the holiday weekend. Not good at all....

Also Kingdom of Apes should hit $300M WW by tomorrow. So far it seems to be the only summer hit until Inside Out 2 and Deadpool and Wolverine come out.
A genuine shame about Furiosa (and Fall Guy… and Dungeons and Dragons… and a bunch of other good movies).

To be fair, don’t forget Despicable Me 4 - that will hit.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
A genuine shame about Furiosa (and Fall Guy… and Dungeons and Dragons… and a bunch of other good movies).

To be fair, don’t forget Despicable Me 4 - that will hit.
Yes DM4 too, but after this year I'm not even sure that would be a "hit". Tracking hasn't even really started on it yet and its a little over a month away. And I don't see many trades even talking about it in terms of being a potential summer hit. So we'll see, I hope it does well for the overall box office, but won't be surprised if it falls short too.
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
Garfield really just performed opening weekend superior to any family film Disney has had in recent years including Wish and Elemental.

It will be interesting to see how Fall Guy does with its little legs that may hang a bit. It is not as dire as Wish, Madame Webb, Haunted Mansion or The Marvels Situation for big budget meh comparison

A rougher time for Inside Out 2 to open between Garfield if it holds for a bit and Despicable Me after.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Garfield really just performed opening weekend superior to any family film Disney has had in recent years including Wish and Elemental.

It will be interesting to see how Fall Guy does with its little legs that may hang a bit. It is not as dire as Wish, Madame Webb, Haunted Mansion or The Marvels Situation for big budget meh comparison

A rougher time for Inside Out 2 to open between Garfield if it holds for a bit and Despicable Me after.
Fall Guy is already on digital, so whatever legs it had probably got cutout from underneath it.
 

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
Yes DM4 too, but after this year I'm not even sure that would be a "hit". Tracking hasn't even really started on it yet and its a little over a month away. And I don't see many trades even talking about it in terms of being a potential summer hit. So we'll see, I hope it does well for the overall box office, but won't be surprised if it falls short too.

Minions 2 did quite well in the 'post-pandemic' box office world (summer 2022). So I'd be very surprised if it completely underperformed all of a sudden in 2024.

I was getting suspicious that animated family moving going was completely broken by streaming, but Inside Out 2 prospects seem to be calming that down.

Though the expectations on DM4 would be quite high. It will be a disappointment for them and show signs of fatigue if it's not clearing 750-800 million as it's a pretty consistent franchise for them to hit around a billion.
 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
Unless something changes tomorrow, Furiosa is looking like it may come in under $30M domestic for the holiday weekend. Not good at all....

Also Kingdom of Apes should hit $300M WW by tomorrow. So far it seems to be the only summer hit until Inside Out 2 and Deadpool and Wolverine come out.
I am not a fan but a question mark for me is the next Bad Boys film… It will not be a billion dollar movie like Inside Out and Deadpool has the potential to…but I could see it being an Apes size hit… the last one did better than I thought it would and right now it is tracking to open between 50 and 70
 

Communicora

Premium Member
Has Mad Max ever been a hot franchise you can bank on…I liked Furiosa… But I go weekly and open minded about any genre if it’s good… However Mad Max has always felt more like a film with a cult following… I am a Gen xer who grew up in the 80’s and I don’t ever remember a Mad Max film putting up blockbuster numbers… Heck Fury Road was beat by a Pitch Perfect sequel… I feel like people overestimated the pull of a Mad Max film
Right? I don't think it's a bankable IP like some others. The effects also look pretty bad compared to the earlier films in the series. The CGI was terrible in the trailer.
 

brideck

Well-Known Member
Minions 2 did quite well in the 'post-pandemic' box office world (summer 2022). So I'd be very surprised if it completely underperformed all of a sudden in 2024.

Minions 2 had the viral benefit of youngsters going out to see it all gussied up. I'm not sure that sort of thing will be recreated here.

 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
I am not a fan but a question mark for me is the next Bad Boys film… It will not be a billion dollar movie like Inside Out and Deadpool has the potential to…but I could see it being an Apes size hit… the last one did better than I thought it would and right now it is tracking to open between 50 and 70
The issue with Bad Boys is this will be the first one post-slap for Will Smith. It’s unknown how audiences will react to a new movie of his, we’re about to find out.
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
Minions 2 did quite well in the 'post-pandemic' box office world (summer 2022). So I'd be very surprised if it completely underperformed all of a sudden in 2024.

I was getting suspicious that animated family moving going was completely broken by streaming, but Inside Out 2 prospects seem to be calming that down.

Though the expectations on DM4 would be quite high. It will be a disappointment for them and show signs of fatigue if it's not clearing 750-800 million as it's a pretty consistent franchise for them to hit around a billion.

It is the sixth movie with Minions in it. I don't think fatigue is avoidable and I don't necessarily thinking it not hitting 1, 2 or 3 means it is a disappointment.

Still plenty bankable.
 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
The issue with Bad Boys is this will be the first one post-slap for Will Smith. It’s unknown how audiences will react to a new movie of his, we’re about to find out.
That is the reason I said it is a question in my head…although I think most people tend to have short term memories
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
That is the reason I said it is a question in my head…although I think most people tend to have short term memories
Celebrity scandals are different though, when a celebrity breaks the public trust it tends to take a long time before their image is rehabilitated and the public is willing to forgive and trust them again. Its why PR firms exist in the first place, to ensure that any scandal is either squashed ahead of time or spun in the favor of the celebrity when it happens.

So we'll see if the audience has forgiven Will.
 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
Celebrity scandals are different though, when a celebrity breaks the public trust it tends to take a long time before their image is rehabilitated and the public is willing to forgive and trust them again. Its why PR firms exist in the first place, to ensure that any scandal is either squashed ahead of time or spun in the favor of the celebrity when it happens.

So we'll see if the audience has forgiven Will.
Oh I definitely could see Audiences turning away… especially on Will… as he had some negative publicity even before the slap… so it is definitely a wait and see
 

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
It is the sixth movie with Minions in it. I don't think fatigue is avoidable and I don't necessarily thinking it not hitting 1, 2 or 3 means it is a disappointment.

Still plenty bankable.

Ya that’s the reason I gave that parameter. I think a reduction to 750 million is totally fine, maybe expected. It will still make oodles of money at 500 million, but that would be quite a precipitous drop and would surely be disappointing for them.

I have no real reason to personally think it won’t hit up there, though it seems other posters are more negative on its prospects.
 

TP2000

Well-Known Member
Hi, gang. I hope everyone had a great Memorial Day Weekend! 🇺🇸 I learned yesterday, the hard way, that a vinegar pre-soak is needed to take out BBQ sauce stains from white linen shorts. 🤣

Here's the Box Office thru Sunday, although today's numbers to be reported will outperform the average Monday obviously. It was a rather miserable holiday weekend at the Box Office. The Top 5 movies had a combined box office of about $86 Million, compared to the $150 Million that last year's Memorial Day Weekend Top 5 box office produced.

So far, nothing is getting Americans out in droves to the theaters yet this summer.

BBQ Stains.jpg


 

Register on WDWMAGIC. This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.

Back
Top Bottom