I am not a fan but a question mark for me is the next Bad Boys film… It will not be a billion dollar movie like Inside Out and Deadpool has the potential to…but I could see it being an Apes size hit… the last one did better than I thought it would and right now it is tracking to open between 50 and 70
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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs
- Thread starter Disney Analyst
- Start date
Communicora
Premium Member
Right? I don't think it's a bankable IP like some others. The effects also look pretty bad compared to the earlier films in the series. The CGI was terrible in the trailer.
Agreed…for a movie that touted the practical effects I could practically see the green screen in some scenes
brideck
Well-Known Member
Minions 2 had the viral benefit of youngsters going out to see it all gussied up. I'm not sure that sort of thing will be recreated here.
The Rise of #Gentleminions: Why Gen-Z Is Wearing Suits to See ‘Minions: The Rise of Gru’
#Gentleminions, a new trend on TikTok involving wearing suits to see "Minions: The Rise of Gru," exploded over the film's opening weekend.
variety.com
Disney Irish
Premium Member
The issue with Bad Boys is this will be the first one post-slap for Will Smith. It’s unknown how audiences will react to a new movie of his, we’re about to find out.
Good point. My mind was on animated, and I typed family.
It is the sixth movie with Minions in it. I don't think fatigue is avoidable and I don't necessarily thinking it not hitting 1, 2 or 3 means it is a disappointment.
Still plenty bankable.
That is the reason I said it is a question in my head…although I think most people tend to have short term memories
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Celebrity scandals are different though, when a celebrity breaks the public trust it tends to take a long time before their image is rehabilitated and the public is willing to forgive and trust them again. Its why PR firms exist in the first place, to ensure that any scandal is either squashed ahead of time or spun in the favor of the celebrity when it happens.
So we'll see if the audience has forgiven Will.
Chicken Little
Member
Crazy that pitch perfect 2 made more money on its opening weekend than the first one did in its whole domestic run.
Oh I definitely could see Audiences turning away… especially on Will… as he had some negative publicity even before the slap… so it is definitely a wait and see
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Yep, especially since this is the first theatrical release post-slap. I don't envy his publicist right now.
BrianLo
Well-Known Member
Ya that’s the reason I gave that parameter. I think a reduction to 750 million is totally fine, maybe expected. It will still make oodles of money at 500 million, but that would be quite a precipitous drop and would surely be disappointing for them.
I have no real reason to personally think it won’t hit up there, though it seems other posters are more negative on its prospects.
TP2000
Well-Known Member
Hi, gang. I hope everyone had a great Memorial Day Weekend! 
I learned yesterday, the hard way, that a vinegar pre-soak is needed to take out BBQ sauce stains from white linen shorts. 
Here's the Box Office thru Sunday, although today's numbers to be reported will outperform the average Monday obviously. It was a rather miserable holiday weekend at the Box Office. The Top 5 movies had a combined box office of about $86 Million, compared to the $150 Million that last year's Memorial Day Weekend Top 5 box office produced.
So far, nothing is getting Americans out in droves to the theaters yet this summer.
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www.the-numbers.com
I learned yesterday, the hard way, that a vinegar pre-soak is needed to take out BBQ sauce stains from white linen shorts. Here's the Box Office thru Sunday, although today's numbers to be reported will outperform the average Monday obviously. It was a rather miserable holiday weekend at the Box Office. The Top 5 movies had a combined box office of about $86 Million, compared to the $150 Million that last year's Memorial Day Weekend Top 5 box office produced.
So far, nothing is getting Americans out in droves to the theaters yet this summer.
The Numbers - Weekend Box Office Chart for August 2, 2024
Weekend Domestic Box Office Chart for the weekend of August 2, 2024
www.the-numbers.com
TP2000
Well-Known Member
Good question. I don't remember seeing the Mad Max movies in the 80's, just not my scene then or now, so I had to Google up the franchise.
There's only 4 movies, that came after the surprise hit from the low budget first movie. For this latest reboot, according to the articles Google provided there's pushback from fans that they turned Mad Max into a movie about a girl.
Here's how the five movies stack up at the box office, adjusted for inflation. The '24 version with the girl in it looks like it's going to do less than half the box office that the '15 reboot sequel did at the domestic and global box office.
Movie Comparison: Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (2024) vs. Mad Max: Fury Road (2015) vs. Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome (1985) vs. Mad Max 2: The Road Warrior (1981) vs. Mad Max (1979)
Domestic box office comparison between Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (2024) and Mad Max: Fury Road (2015) and Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome (1985) and Mad Max 2: The Road Warrior (1981) and Mad Max (1979)
www.the-numbers.com
TP2000
Well-Known Member
Here's how the box office panned out for Garfield through Sunday of Memorial Day Weekend. What is most shocking is that Garfield had a production budget of $60 Million, less than a third the production budget for Wish or Elemental.
Barring a complete collapse of its global box office, Garfield will be very profitable, unlike Wish or Elemental.
Movie Comparison: The Garfield Movie (2024) vs. Wish (2023) vs. Elemental (2023)
Domestic box office comparison between The Garfield Movie (2024) and Wish (2023) and Elemental (2023)
www.the-numbers.com
brideck
Well-Known Member
So... you want Disney to save a bunch of money on their production budgets by including "several instances of shamelessly conspicuous product placement" in their animated features? [Source: Variety] Because that's at least part of how Garfield kept its budget to something you find reasonable.
I don't think Disney could make that work anyway, all the product placement for other Disney movies in Wish didn't work.
brideck
Well-Known Member
I don't think Disney could make that work anyway, all the product placement for other Disney movies in Wish didn't work.
With how it was described here, I don't think Sony et al made it work either. This got a B+ Cinemascore, which is below pretty much all of the animated movies that people like to rag on here.
TP2000
Well-Known Member
No, I don't even have any idea what that means.
Does Garfield have a bunch of commercials in it, or sponsor tie-ins? Like when the Stevens' on Bewitched drove nothing but Chevrolets for 9 years and their first commercial break always went into a Chevy ad? Or when Sly Stallone in Demolition Man drove swanky futuristic Oldsmobiles (RIP) and ate at Taco Bell while singing the Jolly Green Giant jingle?
My point is just that it's a heckuva lot easier to make a profit from the box office receipts when your modestly successful family film only has a $60 Million budget, compared to a modestly successful family film that has a $200 Million budget.