Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
The 7.4% is fatalities of officially documented cases...I believe?
If the total fatality rate is 0.7%...that’s pretty inline with the early predictions.
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Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion
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If the total fatality rate is 0.7%...that’s pretty inline with the early predictions.
Cuomo comments on that in the article. He points out that these were people that were out and about and thus more likely to be infected than someone who hasn't gone out at all.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
I said this once before i think...I was sick for weeks in February (ironically after coming back from Orlando and not setting a foot in wdw for the first time ever) and had weird, persistent symptoms for awhile. Primarily what felt like diverticulitis or kidney infections. Painful...lots of fatigue.
I had full scans at the hospital on 2/17 and they found nothing...tested negative for flu, mono and pneumonia also.
I’m not prone to illness...never had anything like that.
I’d be very interested in the anitbody tests. Which look to be required soon by my governor.
Disney Analyst
Well-Known Member
Disney hasn't even posted earnings yet and already S&P is downgrading their credit rating out of pure speculation. Idiotic IMO.
Disney Credit Rating Downgraded Over Theme Park Uncertainty Amid COVID-19
S&P Global Ratings on Thursday downgraded Walt Disney Co.'s credit rating over concerns the coronavirus crisis will slow a reopening of the studio's theme parks and film and TV production.www.hollywoodreporter.com
That reminded to look up the next investors call, May 5th, 1:30 PM PST. Reminder set. Will be very fascinating.
wannabeBelle
Well-Known Member
Potentially. However if I was infected and was actually feeling sick ( fever coughing etc) I probably wouldnt be out and about. If I had caught the virus and was asymptomatic, I'd certainly want to know!!! I agree that these people (myself included, I have to go out for groceries) stand a better chance of being infected but I dont know how much that would skew the numbers for me. I think that would be the exact numbers you would want to test honestly. Of a normal population, how many people have the antibodies is a more interesting question for me, than testing someone who had virtually no chance of catching COVID due to the fact that they were in isolation the entire time. Marie
Disney Analyst
Well-Known Member
This is related to strange blood clotting they've noticed this virus can cause.
And with studies that it can live in male genitalia hidden, keeping men infect longer, it can also attack the GI tract and the heart... I think we have to realize this is not just a respiratory disease.
Knowing the pool you are sampling from is important. If say, 10 million people had been hunkering down the whole time and don't have antibodies, that would be good to know. It not only impacts mortality calculations (impacts the number you are dividing by), but also gives information about the timeliness of the lockdown, the effectiveness of the lockdown, etc.
I hope you're doing alright. I've got to get back to work. Its hard to resist being on here all the time with my virtual Disney friends during this surreal time.
Slpy3270
Well-Known Member
Looks like this article from earlier this month aged well...
www.fool.com
How Disney Made Sure It Will Get Through the Coronavirus Crisis | The Motley Fool
The company is hunkering down and increasing its financial flexibility.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Did they announce earnings?Looks like this article from earlier this month aged well...
How Disney Made Sure It Will Get Through the Coronavirus Crisis | The Motley Fool
The company is hunkering down and increasing its financial flexibility.
I saw they borrowed a cool $5,000,000,000 from BofA on the DL a couple weeks back...
Well so much for Gilead. Failure with remdesivir (the drug they had for COVID-19) on clinicals. Sunk the market until Powell plugged in the printing machines.
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Slpy3270
Well-Known Member
That was Citi, if I recall. Suspiciously they affirmed a "Buy" rating despite downgrading the stock price.
Gov. Cooper extends NC Stay at Home order through May 8: ‘We need more time’
Gov. Roy Cooper extended North Carolina’s Stay at Home order through May 8, announcing a gradual three-step phase.
www.wbtv.com
Gov. Roy Cooper extended North Carolina’s Stay at Home order through May 8. Cooper made the announcement in a press conference Thursday.
“Our state is not ready to lift restrictions yet,” Cooper said, “We need more time.”
GoofGoof
Premium Member
They are disputing the report and saying the study was inconclusive. But it’s a disappointment either way.
Gilead disputes report that its drug flopped in leaked coronavirus trial
A closely-watched Gilead Sciences Inc <GILD.O> experimental antiviral drug failed to help patients with severe COVID-19 in a clinical trial conducted in China, but the drugmaker said the findings were inconclusive because the study was terminated early.
www.reuters.com
You're putting words in my mouth. I did not say that everything should open up because grocery stores are open. I simply asked how is an environment such as a restaurant that is much more easy to control and keep sanitized any less safe then an environment such as a grocery store that is nowhere near as easy to keep clean and sanitized on a constant basis?
there have not been major spikes in coronavirus cases for grocery store workers or big-box store workers since they have remained open. These are the same employees going there 5 to 7 days a week and being continually exposed to that environment that is nowhere near as controlled as a smaller office space or restaurant. Again, I am not championing that every business should just open up and go back to business as normal. nor should people begin to crowd restaurants or other businesses that do decide to reopen in the next few days. But slightly easing restrictions over time doesn't seem extremely crazy considering that we can use the current state of stores that are open as a litmus test of sorts.
if grocery and other big box stores had seen a dramatic spike in their employees contracting the virus then we would know that we would require more shelter-in-place time. That simply has not happened though.
The almost 14% number is surprisingly high compared to the 2 California studies which both were at approx. 4% (USC/LA https://news.usc.edu/168987/antibody-testing-results-covid-19-infections-los-angeles-county/ Stanford/Santa Clara https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-antibodies-widespread-in-santa-clara.html )and the Netherlands blood bank study @ 3% (https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/202...ers-health-coronavirus-netherlands-study.html)New study suggests 2.7 million New Yorkers had the virus.
New York antibody study estimates 13.9% of residents have had the coronavirus, Gov. Cuomo says
The state's mortality rates remains persistently high at about 7.4%. The antibody testing indicates the actual death rate may be far lower.www.cnbc.com
wannabeBelle
Well-Known Member
Im fine. For the most part, I've been doing what I was told to, and being fairly cautious when I have to go into a store etc. I can't wait for life to get back to normal though!!! Hope you and your family are doing good as well. Marie
Andrew C
You know what's funny?
well, if they don’t meet phase 1 requirements, the recommendation is to not start reopening. I don’t know NCs current situation.
GoofGoof
Premium Member
I would be shocked if WDW didn’t open in some capacity in 2020. I would probably be equally shocked if it opened in full by June 1. I think both extremes are unlikely. There’s likely a middle ground that makes sense, but things change a lot so quickly so who really knows.
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