News Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

rowrbazzle

Well-Known Member
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I’ve been saying that for two weeks now... WDW does not open until the majority of the country is under control. How can they control it if 20 states are still hot beds?
Thankfully that doesn't seem like it will be an issue. How many states would qualify as hotbeds even now? NY, NJ, maybe a few others. It's not that bad most places and projections are looking much better than they were even a week ago. The numbers reported for deaths in the US keep coming in under the model's projections. By June 1 you're looking at zeros for almost every state, with many by mid-May. Of course, it's still early...
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
Thankfully that doesn't seem like it will be an issue. How many states would qualify as hotbeds even now? NY, NJ, maybe a few others. It's not that bad most places and projections are looking much better than they were even a week ago. The numbers reported for deaths in the US keep coming in under the model's projections. By June 1 you're looking at zeros for almost every state, with many by mid-May. Of course, it's still early...
Have you been following what's going on in Louisiana?
 

jyn erso

Well-Known Member
In the Parks
No
I honestly think Disney will do temp checks and nothing more. I don’t think they would ever do virus testing because it just opens up a huge can of liability worms. I don’t know what they’d do if a guest had a fever, though.

I mean, I know it is a completely different situation, but it’s not Disney’s fault if you caught the flu on your trip and it turned into pneumonia and you became extremely ill. Disney is not a necessity, and if you’re going to the park you have to calculate that risk. I just don’t think park-wide testing is feasible, but of course I could be proven wrong.
 

Seanual757

Well-Known Member
I said earlier in the thread that I don’t see a whole lot of people booking travel for the summer even if things open up. I think a lot of people will do more low key stuff and stay more local. There are probably people with trips already booked in July or August that will consider still going but I don’t see a lot of people booking a trip to WDW today for the summer. That’s the general public, I know Disney park fanatics may be more likely to book sooner. Locals who can drive have a lot more flexibility too. Another factor is come fall when (God willing) schools will be back people may be hesitant to pull kids out of school for a week for a vacation due to all the time missed. This is before factoring in the financial impact of the pandemic. Even people with jobs and the means to travel may hesitate until they are sure the economy will fully recover. I think if you combine all of that it‘s probably 6+ months before crowds are anywhere close to normal and that assumes there’s not a major outbreak or 2nd wave.
I agree we are lucky we are local so a quick 20 minute drive is not a problem.

The bigger issue besides is health will be the health of Disneys bottom line. The hit they are taking is going to be measured into the Billions and not millions, lower crowds for pretty much the remainder of the year will put a damper on projects. Reflections I can see being postponed until further notice, they can continue the site work and even pour the foundations. I am not sure they will go full tilt on a resort they will not be able to sell out like previous DVC resorts.

The Star wars resort is at a point of no return it will need to be built. But anything further I have a feeling will be put in a holding pattern for the next 6-12 months to see how the economy and world recover.

As stated I have 4 more trips to our DVC resorts this year June, July, September, and November.

The Disney we go to will be totally different for the near future even the next few years I am afraid.
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
That's one of the hot spots.
Pennsylvania is extremely low which is boggling my mind.
Philly, a major city hasn't had 100 deaths. IMO that's what's making this thing so hard to follow.
I'm impressed with Philly especially since it is so close to NJ/NY . Probably PA is more cooperative in this pandemic, don't roam, stay at home attitude.
 

wdwmagic

Administrator
Moderator
Grim news from airline Lufthansa today

The Executive Board of Deutsche Lufthansa AG does not expect the aviation industry to return to pre-coronavirus crisis levels very quickly. According to its assessment, it will take months until the global travel restrictions are completely lifted and years until the worldwide demand for air travel returns to pre-crisis levels.
More at https://newsroom.lufthansagroup.com/english/newsroom/all/lufthansa-group-decides-on-first-restructuring-package/s/0695cc64-1a64-4939-b409-7da5d5b2c0d3
 

eliza61nyc

Well-Known Member
I'm impressed with Philly especially since it is so close to NJ/NY . Probably PA is more cooperative in this pandemic, don't roam, stay at home attitude.
Lilo, I left "impressed" way behind. Lol our city government is the butt of jokes so I'm flabbergasted that they are ahead of the curve.

Lol this is the city that closed down the wrong street for the Superbowl parade.🤯
 

marni1971

WDW History nut
Premium Member
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hopemax

Well-Known Member
That's one of the hot spots.
Pennsylvania is extremely low which is boggling my mind.
Philly, a major city hasn't had 100 deaths. IMO that's what's making this thing so hard to follow.
I would take this as as sign that the lockdowns started before the virus reached a critical mass point, and a later arrival than the "I was sick in January" crowd wants to believe. The social distancing was able to work, instead of starting too late.
 

thomas998

Well-Known Member
I think it's probably in the others category I mentioned. But the latest projections have it peaking in a few days and hitting zero new deaths before the end of the month.
The problem that you will have is that once you relax the lockdown and people start moving about freely again the virus will pick right back up where it left off. Until you have a vaccine you can't stop the spread especially when so many people can be asymptomatic with it. Remember that in some cases a person was shown to still be carrying the virus over 30 days after they stop showing symptoms from having it. So right now there are people with it and by the end of the April assuming they aren't dead they will very likely still be capable of infecting others. It only takes a couple of infected people in any city to start the whole thing over again.

I would be shocked if large gathering places were allowed to be opened in May. Frankly I see no way you could justify opening amusement parks until there is a vaccine... or until we reached the point where an overwhelming majority of the people had already contracted the virus.
 

hopemax

Well-Known Member
The sports leagues are the the cue for what Disney will do. The NBA and MLB are trying to figure out how to hold games. But no where does their plan involve fans in the seats. If the NFL's plan includes empty stadiums, US Disney Parks are not anywhere near opening.
 

ifan

Active Member
USA Update:
Deaths today are going up and will continue to increase this week before decreasing.
New cases, hospitalizations, ventilator usage is decreasing in the big hot spots (NY, Jersey, etc.)

Happy to report that any person who has needed a ventilator in the USA has received one, but the prognosis of those patients is very poor (super low survival rate.)

Next week will will start to see deaths decrease or at least stabilize (lagging indicator) following the already seen decrease in new cases.

Next steps will be a further increase in rapid testing and the hopefully soon FDA approval of antibody testing/mass production. Admiral Giroir is hopeful that if things go well we will have millions/tens of millions of antibody tests available before May.
 
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