New data from Spanish study from the Carlos III Health Institute: The report also underlines the key factor of age: nearly 90% of those who died were over the age of 70 (19.8% between 70 and 79, and 68.9% 80 or over).
We just had a 13 year old die in the UK. And a 19 year old before then. Both with no underlying conditions. The percentage is still small but the percentages for the younger age groups are slowly rising as time goes on.
In the next two weeks? I hadn't heard that timeline before.
I know they're not making them up, but those numbers still seem crazy to me. We have 187,000 cases right now. Even at 1.5% mortality we'd need 11.3 million cases to hit the midpoint of that projection for deaths. And that's with distancing...
The UK (our little island) was forecast to have 500,000 dead in a do nothing situation. This was revised down to 250,000 in a do minimal situation. Hopefully we will never know how accurate those predictions were.
Edit; and from the opposite end of the spectrum showing that this attack is so unpredictable :
From the BBC
“Man, 93, becomes oldest Indian to beat coronavirus
Amid all the doom and gloom coronavirus updates, it's always nice to read of those who have beaten the odds - especially when they fall into a vulnerable category.
In India's Kerala state, a 93-year-old man and his 88-year-old wife have both recovered from Covid-19 and will be discharged from hospital in a few days, officials say.
The elderly couple's recovery has made headlines across the country, where it's been hailed by medical professionals since both also suffered from age-related problems.
The man also has hypertension and diabetes - underlying conditions which have caused fatal complications in many cases across the world.
Doctors told BBC Hindi's Imran Qureshi that the 98-year-old man's condition deteriorated briefly, prompting them to put him on a ventilator for 24 hours, before he staged a remarkable recovery”