DisneyCane
Well-Known Member
I think the issue based on the analysis is that this virus must have been spreading undetected in the NYC metropolitan area since early February. When they showed the per 100,000 population infections chart it was shocking how much higher NY and NJ were than anywhere else. I think that's why the fatality projections with distancing are so high because that area has such a high concentration of cases.In the next two weeks? I hadn't heard that timeline before.
I know they're not making them up, but those numbers still seem crazy to me. We have 187,000 cases right now. Even at 1.5% mortality we'd need 11.3 million cases to hit the midpoint of that projection for deaths. And that's with distancing...
Dr. Fauci did contradict himself a little first saying that the 100,000-200,000 number was with mitigation but then saying that hopefully if we put the pedal to the metal we can push it down below that range.