ImperfectPixie
Well-Known Member
And provided that in the interim the virus doesn't continue to infect and hospitalize younger and younger populations.No it is, but only if enough adults get vaccinated to get to herd immunity.
And provided that in the interim the virus doesn't continue to infect and hospitalize younger and younger populations.No it is, but only if enough adults get vaccinated to get to herd immunity.
I completely agree. If the CDC and governments overall would set goals to lift restrictions then people in general would be more trusting. But continually moving the goal posts makes it seem like they’re shady and not to be trusted. Which is why a lot of the people I know won’t get a vaccineYou are way off base here. My kids go to school. They can’t just not get together with anyone else. I would not take m kids to WDW today due to the overall situation. I think that will change pretty soon.
This is agree with. Except I’d change it to the more adults we get vaccinated the less risk there is to kids who can’t get the vaccine. That’s why we should wait until more adults get vaccinated to lift restrictions. In less than a month it’s likely that more than half the kids 12-15 will also be vaccinated and that will help to further reduce the spread. Having a target vaccination percentage where restrictions will be lifted is a direct incentive. We aren’t saying get vaccinated and maybe if cases drop enough we drop masks (no direct, certain outcome from getting vaccinated) we are saying if 70% of adults get vaccinated we will drop masks. That’s a clear incentive to get the shot and a certain outcome.
But the vaccine is not available to everyone and there is still too much community spread to lift all restrictions regardless of what some politicians think. I want things to return to normal just as much as you do, but we can’t have normal in the future if we don’t handle things intelligently now.They shouldn’t have any restrictions because the vaccine is widely available. And the CDC made the guidelines reflect what people were already doing. I’d hardly call that easing... I’m well aware of what endemic means. It’s here to stay in the US for sure.....
The restrictions are set at the state and local level and not by the Federal government. However, I would not be opposed to Biden saying if we get 70% of American adults vaccinated we can drop all covid restrictions. It would be non-binding because states and businesses could still do what they want but it would be a symbolic gesture to encourage vaccine acceptance.I completely agree. If the CDC and governments overall would set goals to lift restrictions then people in general would be more trusting. But continually moving the goal posts makes it seem like they’re shady and not to be trusted. Which is why a lot of the people I know won’t get a vaccine
By everyone you mean kids? Thats going to be a hard sell if so to the general population. Personally, and only anecdotal, my son in law came down with COVID after his Chief tested positive a few weeks ago. It kicked his tail for about 6 days. My two Granddaughters were all over him the day of and all around him the entire time. Nothing. It's negative effects are just not prevalent enough to motivate a great deal of public (general) concern in regard to children. Otherwise I would assume in the USA it's widely available. But there needs to be enough time to get that full immunity because some haven't had enough time for the full cycle.But the vaccine is not available to everyone and there is still too much community spread to lift all restrictions regardless of what some politicians think. I want things to return to normal just as much as you do, but we can’t have normal in the future if we don’t handle things intelligently now.
Just because people were ignoring previous guidelines doesn’t mean that the CDS
For those who say that "get vaccinated and you can stop masking" messaging wouldn't make a difference in vaccine adoption rates, new polling data out shows that it would. In fact, the poll shows that people across all political groups as well as across all racial/ethnic groups would be more likely to take the vaccine if they could stop masking once they did. Overall, the number of people willing to get vaccinated increased by 13% if they could drop mitigation measures once vaccinated, which the science says they should be able to do.
Here is a brief Twitter thread from the former surgeon general commenting on this as well as other potential incentives, and it contains the actual poll results.
I think age matters too. Teenagers are very mobile and social and have a lot of opportunity to spread Covid. Little kids are less likely to spread it in general. I still think once the 12-15 year old kids get approved we will see acceptance rates around the same level as adults under 65. 5-11 will probably be early Fall and lower rate. For kids under 5 I’m hoping the vaccine isn’t really needed, but who knows.By everyone you mean kids? Thats going to be a hard sell if so to the general population. Personally, and only anecdotal, my son in law came down with COVID after his Chief tested positive a few weeks ago. It kicked his tail for about 6 days. My two Granddaughters were all over him the day of and all around him the entire time. Nothing. It's negative effects are just not prevalent enough to motivate a great deal of public (general) concern in regard to children. Otherwise I would assume in the USA it's widely available. But there needs to be enough time to get that full immunity because some haven't had enough time for the full cycle.
Anecdotal and specific to our town, but the numbers here have been pretty consistently spread equally among age groups. The two exceptions being nearly zero cases in the under 2 group, and very low numbers in the 30-40 group. All other groups share spread relatively equally. (Per the last month to month-and-a-half of dailly numbers.)I think age matters too. Teenagers are very mobile and social and have a lot of opportunity for spread Covid. Little kids are less likely to spread it in general. I still think once the 12-15 year old kids get approved we will see acceptance rates around the same level as adults under 65. 5-11 will probably be early Fall and lower rate. For kids under 5 I’m hoping the vaccine isn’t really needed, but who knows.
One other thing to consider, once the vaccines are approved for kids under 12 both Pfizer and Moderna will have full FDA approval and we will have a year’s worth of trial data from the original adult trials. The vaccines will no longer be under Emergency use authorization. I get my kids a flu shot every year, I wouldn’t think a Covid vaccine would be considered any riskier at that time.
Except.... Doing that is literally how we became a country.
The monetary payout could work. They would have to have some way of proving your vaccine status but in theory setup an IRS form to fill out and send people a check or direct deposit. This way anyone already vaccinated applies and anyone who hasn’t gone yet gets one too. A stimulus check tied to the vaccine. That’s a slam dunk success in my mind.I first saw these survey results on May 4 in the NYT that was titled:
$100 as Incentive to Get a Shot? Experiment Suggests It Can Pay Off.A cash reward works best with Democrats, and relaxing safety guidelines seems to motivate Republicans, a survey study shows.
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And:
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The article's content was summarized in the following paragraph:
These results show both the difficulty of getting the remaining unvaccinated people to clinics and the promise of efforts aimed at doing so. While most messaging effects were small, monetary payments seem to motivate Democrats, and relaxing cautionary guidelines seems to work for Republicans.
But it would be much harder for private companies to enforce or keep mask policies in place if the majority of people refused to wear them because they are vaccinated and in compliance with health guidelines. Not to mention that most private companies make their rules based on public health guidelines. So it’s not really pipe dream. It’s going to get to that point sooner than later.The monetary payout could work. They would have to have some way of proving your vaccine status but in theory setup an IRS form to fill out and send people a check or direct deposit. This way anyone already vaccinated applies and anyone who hasn’t gone yet gets one too. A stimulus check tied to the vaccine. That’s a slam dunk success in my mind.
The relaxing of restrictions for individuals is a pipe dream. Unless we want the Federal government to prevent a private business from requiring masks it can’t work. So if that plan happened Disney would be forced by the government to operate without masks or distancing because they would have no way to know who was vaccinated and who isn’t in FL since it’s illegal there to ask for proof of vaccination.
Just to be technically correct, the full approval Pfizer has requested is only for ages 16 and up. Because younger people weren't included in the initial clinical trials, they won't be included in the initial full approval either. The vaccine will still be under an emergency use authorization for the 12-15 category (likely next week) and the 5-11 category (likely in the Fall). They will still have to wait the same amount of time to get their full approvals, which means we are likely looking at 5-6 months of them being under EUA's before they get full approval for those age groups.I think age matters too. Teenagers are very mobile and social and have a lot of opportunity to spread Covid. Little kids are less likely to spread it in general. I still think once the 12-15 year old kids get approved we will see acceptance rates around the same level as adults under 65. 5-11 will probably be early Fall and lower rate. For kids under 5 I’m hoping the vaccine isn’t really needed, but who knows.
One other thing to consider, once the vaccines are approved for kids under 12 both Pfizer and Moderna will have full FDA approval and we will have a year’s worth of trial data from the original adult trials. The vaccines will no longer be under Emergency use authorization. I get my kids a flu shot every year, I wouldn’t think a Covid vaccine would be considered any riskier at that time.
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