Where are you getting the population numbers? I calculated it out of the case report using the number of deaths and mortality rate per 100k population for each age range? I get a 15-24 yo population of 2,529,412 and a 25-34 yo population of 2,828,125.
The question is will we get there. These next people are going to be tough. I really think the # is 60%. We need to have the vaccinations stop dropping so fast, 12-15 should add 5% with the first wave of vaccines but we still need an additional 10% from adults.Some bad news for the doom and gloom crowd
As US nears vaccine tipping point, dramatic decrease in COVID-19 cases could come without herd immunity, some experts say
Some researchers say just 10% to 15% more Americans need to be vaccinated against COVID-19 to reach a tipping point at which cases dramatically fall.www.yahoo.com
The private High School in town is requiring it for Fall 2021.
Yep, that’s the trick. We are at 45%, 12-15 gets us to around 50% and then we need 33M more adults to go in to get to 60%. If pace holds and states actually try a little (some are not) then maybe we get there in early June. If the pace of adults going drops to half where it is today it may take until the end of June. The point is we shouldn’t just give up on vaccinations and accept these clickbait headlines that we have no hope. The other thing to consider is cases can and will drop off before we reach 60% vaccinated. We may be seeing the start of the drop off already in states that have crossed over 50% of the population vaccinated. So it’s not like we have to wait until June or July to see the results.
Assuming the 12-15 approval comes in next week as expected I could see that at the High School level. For public schools it may be more of an uphill battle but it could happen.
And there is a school in Miami that will fire a teacher if they get vaccinated. People....
Is the outbreaks and surges will get worse if we will reach herd immunity this summer/fall and winter? As we will herd immunity as 75% or 80% people got vaccinated?
Well yeah! They have rights! You give those up if you decide to be a sensible person who gets vaccinated.
Yeah, I also wonder about Patcheslee's 15-24 age. I just used this for a rough estimate http://edr.state.fl.us/content/population-demographics/data/pop_census_day.pdf . 2020 is just projected, but for age 15-24 you would get 2,555,315 people, which is over a million different than Patcheslees, and close to DisneyCane's. You'd have to go back to the 1980 census to get a number as low as 1.5 million for that age group. That's the erroneous one.
Yes, the State legislature (I'm assuming in all States but talking about FL here) has the power to supersede any "political subdivision" in the State if they want to.
If Internet click-bait were to take human form, its name tag would say: Bill Maher.
I’m trying. I have lost most of my faith in humanity at this point, but I am still all in on the vaccines. I think it’s too early to give up on people getting vaccinated. As a matter of fact I actually think the growing narrative that people have stopped getting vaccinated is definitely hurting the vaccination process. People are sheep (all of us to some extent). If the people who aren’t vaccinated are blasted day after day with headlines talking about how nobody is getting vaccinated anymore they will be less likely to go in themselves. The fact is we are still vaccinating around a million new people a day. The pace has slowed since the peak for sure but that was always expected and part of the plan and so is having appointments available everywhere. If you think of a retail analogy Jan-Mar for vaccines was like getting a PS5 around Christmas. You had to fight to have a shot. Vaccines today are like PS5 will eventually be where they are in stock at Amazon and Best Buy and Walmart and you can pick one up anywhere. Just because the stores all stock inventory doesn’t mean people aren’t buying any of them.Thank you for a small dose of positivity!
-Yes, vaccinations have slowed down, but of course they did. Everything starts with a deluge and ends with trickle. We are still getting a steady stream of vaccinations everyday. I have no doubt we will get to where we need to be to see cases start dropping quickly and then stay down.See, you give us hope.Some bad news for the doom and gloom crowd
As US nears vaccine tipping point, dramatic decrease in COVID-19 cases could come without herd immunity, some experts say
Some researchers say just 10% to 15% more Americans need to be vaccinated against COVID-19 to reach a tipping point at which cases dramatically fall.
The question isn't if we get one of these or not. The question is, are we doing the things to encourage getting one of these?
I would think enough of the population refusing to be vaccinated and giving the virus plenty of opportunity to spread.See, you give us hope.
I'll wait for the dystopian future that arrives if hope doesn't win out.
Then, there's this:
The question isn't if we get one of these or not. The question is, are we doing the things to encourage getting one of these?
Which failure of hope creates the dystopian future that encourages the horror-movie like mutation creating a vaccine resistant strain causing us to start all over?
If we knew that, then we could totally make it happen. Give it that can do attitude.
Site called statista I think it was. Yours sound close to what 2021 should be.
