Disney Experience
Well-Known Member
Every virus is like a lottery player buying a ticket. Almost all will not win, and in this analogy when there is a winner they do not win if they cannot quickly find a vaccinated person to replicate in. But if there is a winner then we may all have to get a booster shot someday and have to mitigate the spread once again.Hang on. Just to make sure I understand... the people who refuse to get a vaccine due to it lacking FDA approval (or some other reason) ... they only pose a threat to other non-vaccinated people, correct? What would vaccinated people have to fear?
So we want as few "lottery" tickets so that a winning ticket is unlikely. (The winning ticket is one that has selection bias when in a vaccinated host). We want people to get vaccinated globally, but as a start nationally and locally. National borders can have controls to mitigate risk until the world is vaccinated.
(i.e. selective bias helps the mutated virus over non-mutated virus replicate better only if there are hosts that the bias helps it to replicate better (i.e. the vaccinated)
So every unvaccinated person is a potential hosts to virus who play the lottery game. So they are a threat to the vaccinated. If we get enough people vaccinated and the virus dies out, then the unvaccinated are not a threat because there is little or no virus to infect them either.