I am calm. You misunderstood.
Answers the question of why we were not seeing the death numbers go up despite cases Spiking for a few weeks. Looks like the lag is pretty bad. I am starting to think that daily reported deaths is not going to be a good number to look at to understand what the situation really is.
I imagine the lag isn’t like this for all deaths.
It will be but, your just going to have to wait 3-4 weeks for it to catch up with reality.
My point is that one of the positives we had in FL was even though cases were spiking pretty bad hospitals were not initially under stress and death numbers were not increasing at a rate that kept pace with cases. There was a lot of speculation that the main reason for that was the lower median age of positive cases. Younger people not getting as sick. Now we are starting to see some stress on the hospitals. Not a reason for panic, but it’s definitely getting worse. In addition we are starting to see an increase in deaths reported but those deaths are on a lag so if we go back and look at the days those deaths actually occurred it seems like deaths were increasing more than we realized. Again, not a reason to panic, but definitely not positive trends. The median age is also going up a little. Still much lower than Mar/Apr timeframe but it could be a sign of the start of second level infections coming from the bar crowd.
but the point now is that we are 6 months into this thing and the hospitals are overwhelmed in numerous cities. That should not be the case.
The 15 days was always a starting point, not a claim of a set timeline.
No reason to panic but now is the time do something about it. Make masks mandatory, shut down bars I don't know but do something. Instead all is said everything is ok. Like I said I just shake my head.
Not up here in MA. We locked down hard. Opened up slowly and methodically and look at us now..... They didn't open up slowly and methodically.
catawbacountync.gov
