I don’t disagree about the mind changing.
I do like to hear opinions from all sides even if I don’t agree.
As far as opening up goes, I’m pretty optimistic so far. It’s not going to be an instant fix. The recovery is going to be slow and painful and the only real magic bullet would be a vaccine which isn’t happening this year. One positive from a macroeconomic perspective is that the areas of the economy that were the most greatly impacted are also areas where people tend to spend most of their disposable income. Retail, leisure, travel and restaurants are all much easier to ramp up than manufacturing or even something like banking and financial services that got crippled in the last recession. A large portion of the economy is still functioning right now. People with office jobs work remotely, online retailers, grocery and essential goods, government, utilities, education are all still going. Healthcare was one of the biggest hit industries for layoffs and furloughs. That’s mostly because people are delaying elective procedures. That will reverse quickly as those services ramp back up.
One area that may be very challenging for a while still is business travel. Hotels, airlines and restaurants in urban centers rely heavily on business and convention travel. I think it will be slow to ramp that up. Companies will still be in cost cutting mode and will also be worried about sending people away and then exposing their workers when those people come back.